CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
None 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 29.3
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,900

None · North Port, FL 34286
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,696 sqft · Land · 43 Days on market
Built 2026 10,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under Construction. The Palmetto plan includes LGI Homes’ CompleteHome™ package, featuring impressive upgrades already included and at no extra cost to you. Through the energy-efficient Whirlpool® appliances, such as the refrigerator, stove, microwave, Moen® faucets and LED flush mount ENERGY STAR kitchen lights, homeowners and guests can use the chef-ready kitchen as soon as they move in. In addition, gorgeous granite countertops, lush front yard landscaping and a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener are included with the Palmetto home! The master bedroom in the Palmetto plan is a retreat of its own. Enjoy starting and ending each day in this space. The sizable bedroom incl

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.23 acre; Zoning: RSF2; Permit number: 24-2462; Builder license: CBC1257972
  • Financial info: Home warranty included
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed; No association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (21 x 20)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Has 1 well and 1 septic
  • Home design: Single family residence (under construction); One story; East-facing; Attached property
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction (projected completion July 31, 2026); Builder: LGI Homes — Model: Delray
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Freezer; Ice maker; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water filtration/purification system; Water softener; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Stone countertops; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-746 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (28.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (37.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (37.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 837 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $237,914 (37.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.94%
Cash-on-cash
-8.41%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.2%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-113,448
Equity at exit
$56,644
10-year hold
IRR
-53.2%
Equity multiple
-0.67×
Total profit
$-177,270
Equity at exit
$32,847

Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34286

Home prices YoY
-9.5%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
837
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,379 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,992
Tax est. 1.5%
$475 /mo · $5,698/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$-746

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,323
Max offer price $271,970
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-483 -5% $-615 +0% $-746 +5% $-877 +10% $-1,008
Rent -10% $-934 -5% $-840 +0% $-746 +5% $-652 +10% $-558
Rate -1.0pp $-555 -0.5pp $-649 base $-746 +0.5pp $-844 +1.0pp $-944

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,975
Closing costs
$11,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1015 Ohana Way North Port, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $1,799 $1.95 14d 33 1.41mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,900 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $379,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $379,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $379,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $379,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $379,900 Active 1185-char remark
  17. 2023-04-14
    historical
  18. 2023-02-22
    listed $25,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,550
− Mortgage interest
−$21,280
− Property taxes
−$5,698
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,284
− Management
−$2,284
− Depreciation
−$11,052
Taxable loss
−$15,948
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,828
After-tax cash flow
$-5,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Port

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Port, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
75,324
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,534
Household income
$80,553
Rent vs Own
20.6% rent · 79.4% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.36%
Current HPI
297.3707
Rent YoY
▲ 1.12%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1366.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $379,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-14 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-22 Listed $25,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $678 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…