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919 E 9th St
B Composite 72.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

919 E 9th St · Hopkinsville, KY 42240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1960 10,018 sqft lot $62/sqft · 38% below area Est $140k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME TO 919 E NINTH ST! THIS HOME WAS NICKNAMED THE PENTAGON BY THE OWNER! THIS PROPERTY WAS REMODELED WITH NEW VINYL SIDING, WINDOWS, FLOORING, PAINT, HVAC, ELECTRICAL, LIGHT FIXTURES, ETC! TO TOP IT OFF, IT IS ZONED B-2 COMMERCIAL! IT WILL BE CLEANED OUT OF THE CONTENTS BEFORE CLOSING! CLOSE TO FT. CAMPBELL, NASHVILLE, SHOPPING ETC! YOU CAN'T BEAT THIS PRICE!

Key facts

  • Close to nashville
  • Zoned b-2 commercial
  • New vinyl siding

Tags

NEW VINYL SIDINGZONED B-2 COMMERCIALCLOSE TO FT CAMPBELLCLOSE TO NASHVILLECLOSE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.3% in Hopkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#305 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $110k implies a 1732% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,009 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.99%
Cash-on-cash
13.22%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,108
List price
$109,900
Delta
-21.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1304 E 7th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,538 (-13%) 3mo $109,900 $71 51
1907 Oak St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,650 (-6%) 11mo $220,000 $133 51
836 21st St E 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (+5%) 11mo $259,900 $140 39
1823 South Vriginia St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,552 (-12%) 13mo $130,000 $84 37
116 Liberty St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-12%) 21mo $185,000 $120 33
1813 Walnut St 0.49mi 3/2.0 2,001 (+14%) 22mo $16,000 $8 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$9,040
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$58,897
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42240

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,391 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1604 A E 9th St Hopkinsville, KY 3.0 1.0 1782 $1,250 $0.70 44d 1 0.77mi
1523 Canton St Hopkinsville, KY 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,550 $0.91 44d 1 0.79mi
1704 E 7th St Unit Na Hopkinsville, KY 3.0 2.0 1321 $1,550 $1.17 14d 1 0.91mi
601 Moores Dr Hopkinsville, KY 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 21d 1 1.08mi
1050 Denzil Dr Hopkinsville, KY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1105 $1,138 $1.03 14d 21 1.18mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    listed $109,900 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    WELCOME TO 919 E NINTH ST! THIS HOME WAS NICKNAMED THE PENTAGON BY THE OWNER! THIS PROPERTY WAS REMODELED WITH NEW VINYL SIDING, WINDOWS, FLOORING, PAINT, HVAC, ELECTRICAL, LIGHT FIXTURES, ETC! TO TOP IT OFF, IT IS ZONED B-2 COMMERCIAL! IT WILL BE CLEANED OUT OF THE CONTENTS BEFORE CLOSING! CLOSE TO FT. CAMPBELL, NASHVILLE, SHOPPING ETC! YOU CAN'T BEAT THIS PRICE!

  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $109,900 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    WELCOME TO 919 E NINTH ST! THIS HOME WAS NICKNAMED THE PENTAGON BY THE OWNER! THIS PROPERTY WAS REMODELED WITH NEW VINYL SIDING, WINDOWS, FLOORING, PAINT, HVAC, ELECTRICAL, LIGHT FIXTURES, ETC! TO TOP IT OFF, IT IS ZONED B-2 COMMERCIAL! IT WILL BE CLEANED OUT OF THE CONTENTS BEFORE CLOSING! CLOSE TO FT. CAMPBELL, NASHVILLE, SHOPPING ETC! YOU CAN'T BEAT THIS PRICE!

  17. 2024-07-19
    historical
  18. 2024-04-11
    listed $174,900 Active
  19. 2024-04-11
    listed $174,900 Active
  20. 2012-09-17
    listed $15,000
  21. 2012-08-31
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,687
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,648
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,335
− Management
−$1,335
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$2,466
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$592
After-tax cash flow
$3,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christian County
NCES district ID
2101150
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,961
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7118
State rank
#93 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hopkinsville

Score
64/100
State rank
#305
US rank
#14474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hopkinsville, KY
County
Christian County · 51,080 people
City population
41,415
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
Population (ZIP)
41,415
Household income
$51,534
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
1475.0

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,861 people
By 2030
65,808 · -3.0%
By 2040
60,090 · -11.5%
By 2050
54,561 · -19.6%
By 2075
45,859 · -32.4%
By 2100
38,310 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.36%
Current HPI
233.3958
Rent YoY
▲ 6.61%
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1731.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $109,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $109,900 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-07-19 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-11 Listed $174,900 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-04-11 Listed $174,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-17 Listed $15,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2012-08-31 Sold (MLS) $6,000 HCTCBOR

Property tax history

+15.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $217 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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