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3012 Anniston Ave
B- Composite 68.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

3012 Anniston Ave · Birmingham, AL 35208
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot $65/sqft · at area comps Est $77k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTN Investors! Welcome to 3012 Anniston Ave in Birmingham! This charming home offers 2 bedrooms 1 full bath and 1152 sq ft of comfortable living space with character throughout. Step inside to find a large great room perfect for entertaining and relaxing! Add this one to your portfolio!!

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 44 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.88%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,546
List price
$75,000
Delta
-2.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2700 30th Street Ensley 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,136 (-1%) 6mo $33,500 $29 85
2716 29th St 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,032 (-10%) 2mo $48,000 $47 73
2712 24th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 8mo $42,000 $34 66
2732 29th St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,242 (+8%) 11mo $105,000 $85 65
3102 Border St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,019 (-12%) 1mo $75,000 $74 59
2568 29th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,275 (+11%) 10mo $159,000 $125 57
2016 26th St W 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,156 (+0%) 11mo $70,000 $61 56
3009 Prince Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+2%) 8mo $50,000 $43 54
1312 1st Ct W 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,148 (-0%) 3mo $177,000 $154 54
1856 Woodland Ave SW 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,195 (+4%) 10mo $24,000 $20 45
1861 Woodland Ave SW 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+8%) 10mo $92,000 $74 39
1723 7th Ave W 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,272 (+10%) 13mo $86,608 $68 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$17,045
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$67,797
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35208

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $587/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $599
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $425 -5% $404 +0% $383 +5% $362 +10% $340
Rent -10% $297 -5% $340 +0% $383 +5% $426 +10% $469
Rate -1.0pp $421 -0.5pp $402 base $383 +0.5pp $363 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2712 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,099 $0.89 24d 1 0.24mi
2421 29th Street Ensley Unit C Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $703 $0.74 24d 1 0.27mi
2329 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 917 $990 $1.08 24d 1 0.33mi
2304 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1381 $980 $0.71 44d 1 0.36mi
2916 24th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $590 $0.69 24d 1 0.39mi
2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1229 $1,550 $1.26 44d 1 0.45mi
2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,550 $1.03 4d 1 0.45mi
2337 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1446 $1,295 $0.90 44d 1 0.46mi
2621 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1117 $1,295 $1.16 44d 1 0.46mi
2356 22nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1500 $985 $0.66 24d 1 0.47mi
2037 26th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1074 $995 $0.93 44d 1 0.47mi
1621 2nd Ct W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,095 $1.02 44d 1 0.49mi
2661 Bush Blvd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,200 $1.17 44d 1 0.54mi
2426 Avenue U Unit U Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,175 $0.93 19d 1 0.56mi
3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,095 $0.93 24d 1 0.65mi
1720 Cullman Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1174 $899 $0.77 22d 1 0.65mi
1720 Cullman Ave Unit 3 Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1174 $950 $0.81 44d 1 0.65mi
132 17th St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 738 $945 $1.28 44d 1 0.68mi
2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 0.73mi
3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,250 $1.05 24d 1 0.75mi
3113 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,275 $1.12 44d 1 0.82mi
1437 Woodland Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1369 $1,100 $0.80 4d 1 0.84mi
1642 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1219 $1,090 $0.89 3d 1 0.86mi
2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1383 $1,250 $0.90 44d 1 0.86mi
1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,050 $0.95 24d 1 0.88mi
219 12th St W Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $799 $1.00 24d 1 0.88mi
1616 28th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1081 $1,100 $1.02 44d 1 0.94mi
1825 18th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,123 $0.85 44d 1 0.96mi
1609 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 820 $800 $0.98 19d 5 0.97mi
4637 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1225 $975 $0.80 2d 1 0.97mi
1816 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,295 $0.93 24d 1 0.97mi
1316 Court R Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 904 $900 $1.00 11d 1 0.97mi
2610 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1014 $850 $0.84 44d 1 1.00mi
1220 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1175 $1,350 $1.15 44d 1 1.00mi
521 16th St SW Unit 523 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 1.02mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 44d 1 1.02mi
1545 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1331 $1,200 $0.90 44d 1 1.02mi
4732 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1372 $1,100 $0.80 44d 1 1.03mi
4736 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,200 $0.92 4d 1 1.03mi
1306 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 980 $950 $0.97 44d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 373-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $75,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    status $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-04-17
    listed $75,000 Active 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    ATTN Investors! Welcome to 3012 Anniston Ave in Birmingham! This charming home offers 2 bedrooms 1 full bath and 1152 sq ft of comfortable living space with character throughout. Step inside to find a large great room perfect for entertaining and relaxing! Add this one to your portfolio!!

  13. 2026-04-11
    historical $925
  14. 2026-02-25
    listed $925
  15. 2023-10-04
    soldstatus $530,000
  16. 2023-10-02
    soldstatus $66,250 Sold 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to the ideal addition to your investment portfolio! This two-bedroom, one-bath with a tenant already in place. Enjoy the benefits of a steady rental income. Tenant remains Rented for $750 per month. Rent roll in documents. Can be purchased separate or as an 8 package deal, properties in close proximity. All sold with tenants in place. Cannot be shown until under contract for inspection. Monthly rental total for all 8 properties - $6,146 Addresses: 1) 1304 Ave G, 2) 2318 Ave H, 3) 4717 Terrace M, 4) 1143 41st Street, 5) 5720 Court I 6) 4720 Court M 7) 915 38th Street.

  17. 2023-08-04
    historical Contingent 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to the ideal addition to your investment portfolio! This two-bedroom, one-bath with a tenant already in place. Enjoy the benefits of a steady rental income. Tenant remains Rented for $750 per month. Rent roll in documents. Can be purchased separate or as an 8 package deal, properties in close proximity. All sold with tenants in place. Cannot be shown until under contract for inspection. Monthly rental total for all 8 properties - $6,146 Addresses: 1) 1304 Ave G, 2) 2318 Ave H, 3) 4717 Terrace M, 4) 1143 41st Street, 5) 5720 Court I 6) 4720 Court M 7) 915 38th Street.

  18. 2023-07-31
    listed $62,500 Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to the ideal addition to your investment portfolio! This two-bedroom, one-bath with a tenant already in place. Enjoy the benefits of a steady rental income. Tenant remains Rented for $750 per month. Rent roll in documents. Can be purchased separate or as an 8 package deal, properties in close proximity. All sold with tenants in place. Cannot be shown until under contract for inspection. Monthly rental total for all 8 properties - $6,146 Addresses: 1) 1304 Ave G, 2) 2318 Ave H, 3) 4717 Terrace M, 4) 1143 41st Street, 5) 5720 Court I 6) 4720 Court M 7) 915 38th Street.

  19. 2021-02-02
    soldstatus $57,000
  20. 2020-12-21
    listed $57,000
  21. 2008-08-19
    soldstatus $15,000
  22. 2002-08-02
    soldstatus $30,000
  23. 1980-03-01
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$587 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$587 · $49/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,009
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$587
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$860
After-tax cash flow
$3,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,412
Household income
$38,561
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.99%
Current HPI
153.414
Rent YoY
▲ 7.24%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+188.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Rental Removed $925 GALMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $925 GALMLS
  • 2023-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-02 Sold (MLS) $66,250 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-08-04 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $62,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-02-02 Sold (MLS) $57,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-12-21 Listed $57,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2008-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2002-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1980-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $587 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…