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15751 Monte Vista St
C+ Composite 60.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,900

15751 Monte Vista St · Detroit, MI 48238
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,319 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 196 Days on market
Built 1928 3,920 sqft lot $65/sqft · 32% above area Est $65k · 32% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick colonial home located North of Fenkell and East of Meyers. This home features inviting living room with fireplace, formal dining room, office/den, nice oak kitchen, three good sized bedrooms, and an unfinished basement. Rent ready and ready for a new tenant! Updates include new carpet in the majority of the home, fresh paint throughout, new blinds throughout, and more! PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.

Key facts

  • Brick colonial home
  • Formal dining room
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

BRICK COLONIAL HOMEINVITING LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMOFFICE DENNICE OAK KITCHENUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 7370% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,592 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.35%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,000
List price
$85,900
Delta
32.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15771 Birwood St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,290 (-2%) 0mo $128,995 $100 86
16516 Appoline St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+2%) 1mo $39,500 $29 76
14931 Monte Vista St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,307 (-1%) 0mo $35,000 $27 74
15841 Steel St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,460 (+11%) 1mo $50,000 $34 70
16800 Ilene St 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,298 (-2%) 1mo $210,000 $162 62
14905 Littlefield St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,368 (+4%) 1mo $52,000 $38 61
16176 Tracey St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,270 (-4%) 0mo $70,000 $55 57
14889 Manor St 0.53mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,375 (+4%) 0mo $159,000 $116 57
15824 Snowden St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-15%) 0mo $61,000 $54 53
15824 Snowden St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-15%) 0mo $61,000 $54 53
16180 Snowden St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,137 (-14%) 0mo $61,000 $54 51
16811 Manor St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,516 (+15%) 1mo $71,000 $47 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$12,315
Equity at exit
$12,808
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$57,109
Equity at exit
$7,427

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$450
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,751/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $85,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $396 -5% $372 +0% $348 +5% $323 +10% $299
Rent -10% $250 -5% $299 +0% $348 +5% $397 +10% $446
Rate -1.0pp $391 -0.5pp $370 base $348 +0.5pp $326 +1.0pp $303

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,475
Closing costs
$2,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 44d 1 0.04mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 5d 1 0.17mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.17mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 5d 1 0.22mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.24mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 44d 1 0.34mi
15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1093 $950 $0.87 44d 1 0.35mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 44d 1 0.47mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 22d 1 0.56mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 24d 1 0.57mi
15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 5d 1 0.57mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 17d 1 0.58mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 18d 1 0.62mi
16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,400 $1.02 44d 1 0.63mi
15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1792 $1,100 $0.61 44d 1 0.68mi
16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,100 $0.85 18d 1 0.69mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 24d 1 0.71mi
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 0.71mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 20d 1 0.72mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 0.73mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.78mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 24d 1 0.79mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 11d 1 0.84mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,345 $0.79 44d 1 0.84mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 0.85mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 0.95mi
17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 44d 1 0.97mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 0.98mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.04mi
17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1122 $975 $0.87 5d 1 1.04mi
17195 Northlawn St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 24d 1 1.07mi
17195 Northlawn St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 20d 1 1.07mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 1.08mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.09mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 3d 1 1.12mi
16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,394 $1.06 18d 1 1.12mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 1.18mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 4d 1 1.19mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 1.20mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 18d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,900 Active 196 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,900 Active 195 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,900 Active 193 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,900 Active 191 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,900 Active 190 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,900 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,900 Active 186 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,900 Active 185 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,900 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,900 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,900 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,900 Active 178 DOM
  13. 2026-05-08
    listed $1,150
  14. 2026-05-07
    historical $1,150
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $1,150
  16. 2026-04-09
    price $85,900 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Brick colonial home located North of Fenkell and East of Meyers. This home features inviting living room with fireplace, formal dining room, office/den, nice oak kitchen, three good sized bedrooms, and an unfinished basement. Rent ready and ready for a new tenant! Updates include new carpet in the majority of the home, fresh paint throughout, new blinds throughout, and more! PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.

  17. 2026-04-08
    price $85,900 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Brick colonial home located North of Fenkell and East of Meyers. This home features inviting living room with fireplace, formal dining room, office/den, nice oak kitchen, three good sized bedrooms, and an unfinished basement. Rent ready and ready for a new tenant! Updates include new carpet in the majority of the home, fresh paint throughout, new blinds throughout, and more! PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.

  18. 2025-12-04
    listed $89,900 Active 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Brick colonial home located North of Fenkell and East of Meyers. This home features inviting living room with fireplace, formal dining room, office/den, nice oak kitchen, three good sized bedrooms, and an unfinished basement. Rent ready and ready for a new tenant! Updates include new carpet in the majority of the home, fresh paint throughout, new blinds throughout, and more! PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.

  19. 2025-12-04
    listed $89,900 Active 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Brick colonial home located North of Fenkell and East of Meyers. This home features inviting living room with fireplace, formal dining room, office/den, nice oak kitchen, three good sized bedrooms, and an unfinished basement. Rent ready and ready for a new tenant! Updates include new carpet in the majority of the home, fresh paint throughout, new blinds throughout, and more! PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.

  20. 2021-10-06
    soldstatus $78,000
  21. 2021-09-29
    soldstatus $160,000
  22. 2021-09-15
    soldstatus $160,000
  23. 2015-03-20
    soldstatus $54,000
  24. 2014-05-30
    soldstatus $8,000
  25. 2014-05-30
    soldstatus $8,000
  26. 2014-05-22
    historical
  27. 2014-04-21
    listed $8,900
  28. 2014-04-21
    listed $8,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,885
− Mortgage interest
−$4,812
− Property taxes
−$1,751
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,191
− Management
−$1,191
− Depreciation
−$2,499
Taxable income
$3,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$723
After-tax cash flow
$3,450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-87.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,150 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Rental Removed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $85,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $85,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-04-21 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-04-21 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,751 · -37.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…