8101 Tippin Ave Unit O · Ferry Pass, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you’re a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
Key facts
- Covered balcony
- Lvp flooring
- $300 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.4% in Ferry Pass — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#664 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 221 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $110k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.99%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,361
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -22.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-6,343
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $804
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32514
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,527 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $641/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3205 E Olive Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,540 | $1.71 | 14d | 8 | 0.28mi |
| 8108 Ridgefield Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4051 E Olive Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,425 | $1.67 | 23d | 37 | 0.56mi |
| 7650 Kipling St Unit 1 Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7650 Kipling St Unit 3 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7601 N 9th Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,467 | $1.72 | 14d | 7 | 0.79mi |
| 7155 N 9th Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,575 | $1.85 | 14d | 4 | 0.89mi |
| 7171 N 9th Ave Unit D6 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,450 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7322 Mangum Dr Unit 7322 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1843 San Dollar Cir Unit 1843 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8487 Old Spanish Trail Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,550 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8990 N Davis Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1019 | $1,565 | $1.54 | 14d | 20 | 1.32mi |
| 6409 Concord Way Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,100 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8707 N Davis Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,983 | $1.95 | 14d | 38 | 1.41mi |
| 9165 Loomis St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9184 Arand Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,575 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2345 Langston St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $109,900 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you're a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2026-04-30price $109,900 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you're a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2026-02-12price $114,900 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
This well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you’re a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2026-02-12price $114,900 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
This well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you’re a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2026-01-15$124,900 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you're a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2026-01-15$124,900 Active 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers comfort and convenience in an ideal location near West Florida Hospital, the University of West Florida, and easy access to I-10. Step inside to find durable and stylish LVP flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with low maintenance living. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the spacious covered balcony. Whether you're a student, medical professional, or commuter, this condo delivers a smart layout, great location, and everyday comfort all in one.
-
2007-11-29soldstatus $61,000
-
2007-11-26soldstatus $61,000
-
2007-02-15$72,900
-
1993-11-02soldstatus $33,500
-
1992-04-01soldstatus $20,000
-
1985-11-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $641 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $912 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 42.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$641
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,244
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$298
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,467/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ferry Pass
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #664
- US rank
- #13543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferry Pass, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 43,072
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,447
- Household income
- $66,644
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1962.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.99%
- Current HPI
- 266.7408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.76%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+214.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $109,900 PARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $109,900 ECAR
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $114,900 ECAR
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $114,900 PARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $124,900 ECAR
- 2026-01-15 Listed $124,900 PARMLS
- 2007-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-26 Sold (MLS) $61,000 PARMLS
- 2007-02-15 Listed $72,900 PARMLS
- 1993-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
- 1992-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $641 · +25.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…