228 Kirkwood Ave · Springfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
Key facts
- Newer flooring
- Private backyard
- Updated interior
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#472 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.95%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,864
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Kirkwood Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (0%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $138 | 100 |
| 1131 Frisbie Blvd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (+2%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $147 | 84 |
| 114 Wellworth Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (-4%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $137 | 74 |
| 172 25th St N | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-8%) | 2mo | $160,500 | $170 | 73 |
| 322 N 28th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (+3%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $193 | 71 |
| 150 N 23rd St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,086 (+5%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 24 S 31st St S | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+1%) | 4mo | $157,900 | $152 | 64 |
| 121 N 21st St N | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 4mo | $164,000 | $152 | 62 |
| 24 S 31st St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+1%) | 4mo | $157,900 | $152 | 56 |
| 21 N 27th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 963 (-7%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 294 N 20th St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-11%) | 2mo | $103,000 | $112 | 52 |
| 396 & 398 N 20th St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 992 (-4%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $242 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,278
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $56,216
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49037
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $791/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $299 | +0% $259 | +5% $220 | +10% $180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $204 | +0% $259 | +5% $315 | +10% $371 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $295 | base $259 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $186 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 24th St N Springfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1227 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
-
2026-04-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
-
2026-04-24$139,900 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
-
2026-04-24$139,900 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
-
2026-04-24$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Ranch-style home on Kirkwood Ave with a clean, updated interior and open feel throughout. Features newer flooring and a functional layout that flows easily between living spaces. Exterior offers low-maintenance vinyl siding, a spacious driveway, and a private backyard with patio space for relaxing or entertaining. Multiple entry points add everyday convenience. Move-in ready with updates already in place.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $791 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,473 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$682/yr (+$57/mo · 86.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$791
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,358
- − Management
- −$1,358
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $858
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #13384
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,550
- Household income
- $42,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 717.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.62%
- Current HPI
- 273.2446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.76%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $791 · -24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…