16128 1/2 Ridlon St · Channelview, TX 77530

$345,000

5 bd · None ba · 2,556 sqft · MultiFamily · 41 Days on market

Built 1979 0.99 ac lot Est $345k · at est. ↓ 26% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Investor Special! Income-producing property on nearly 1 acre (0.985 acres) in Channelview. Rare opportunity to own two separate homes on one spacious lot, offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants. The main home is currently vacant, featuring 3 bedrooms plus an office, 2 full bathrooms, a primary suite with walk-in closet, dedicated laundry room, and a spacious layout—ready for immediate move-in or the opportunity to place a new tenant. The second home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, providing potential rental income. Additional features include a detached garage, ample parking, and privacy between both homes on

Key facts

• Ample parking
• Two separate homes
• Easy access to i-10

Tags

• INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY
• TWO SEPARATE HOMES
• DETACHED GARAGE
• AMPLE PARKING
• PRIVACY BETWEEN HOMES
• EASY ACCESS TO I-10

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $345k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $344k (0.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $335k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.8% in Channelview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#598 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Channelview ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #640 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Channelview H S (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,893 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 70% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,438/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 966% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $334,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.00% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.12%
• DSCR: 1.18
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $345,060
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
16128 1/2 Ridlon St	0.00mi	5/—	2,556 (0%)	1mo	$345,000	$135	100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.83×
• Total profit: $-16,551
• Equity at exit: $51,441

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.99×
• Total profit: $95,705
• Equity at exit: $29,829

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77530

• Rents YoY: 16.9%
• Active inventory: 100
• Price-to-rent: 15.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,438 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,809
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$431 /mo · $5,175/yr
• Insurance: −$144
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$722
• Net cashflow: $332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,018

Max offer price $345,000

Occupancy floor 85%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
1× unit	3	1.5	$1,853
1× unit	2	1	$1,585
Total (2 units)			$3,438

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $86,250
• Closing costs: $10,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-29
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-22
   status Pending
3. 2026-03-18
   listed $345,000 Active
4. 2025-09-02
   historical
5. 2025-08-02
   price $415,000
6. 2025-07-05
   price $440,000
7. 2025-05-05
   listed $465,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $41,256
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,325
• − Property taxes: −$5,175
• − Insurance: −$1,725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,300
• − Management: −$3,300
• − Depreciation: −$10,036
• Taxable loss: −$1,607
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$386
• After-tax cash flow: $4,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Channelview ISD
• NCES district ID: 4813590
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -22.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $52,320
• Composite: 25.18/100
• National rank: #7513
• State rank: #640 of 826 in TX

Livability — Channelview

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #598
• US rank: #11392

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Channelview, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 31,527
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 31,527
• Household income: $62,195
• Rent vs Own: 30.2% rent · 69.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 966.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 31% White 16% Black 9% Asian 4% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 61%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 37% English-only · Spanish 60% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -172.05%
• Current HPI: 292.1862
• Rent YoY: ▲ 16.85%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-25.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-22 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-18 Listed $345,000 HARMLS
• 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-08-02 Price Changed $415,000 HARMLS
• 2025-07-05 Price Changed $440,000 HARMLS
• 2025-05-05 Listed $465,000 HARMLS