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5870 SE 194th St
B- Composite 66.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

5870 SE 194th St · Inglis, FL 34449
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1973 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Schedule your appointment right away. This property will not last. Can be a full time resident or weekend getaway. Mobile home on half an acre. New metel roof, new floors, new front and back doors. This is one of the cleanest homes you will ever go in. Huge pole barn. Inglewood Estates has their own water plant. Easy access to boat launches, the Withlacoochee River and the Gulf of Mexico, Withlacoochee Gulf Preserve, Crsytal River, Ocala, Gainesville, The Suncoast Parkway for access to Tampa. Near shopping, dining, doctors, hospital, boating, kayaking and fishing.

Key facts

  • New floors
  • New metal roof
  • Own water plant

Tags

HALF AN ACRENEW METAL ROOFNEW FLOORSNEW FRONT AND BACK DOORSHUGE POLE BARNOWN WATER PLANT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Out of county zoning

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway parking; RV access/parking; Unpaved parking available; 1 total parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Storage building; Workshop; Rectangular lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning unit
  • Interior features: Drapes and window coverings; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.1% in Inglis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#796 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Yankeetown School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 265 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 62% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.96%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$24,193
Equity at exit
$50,367
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$70,380
Equity at exit
$82,517

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34449

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,132 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 570-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $99,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 93% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,583
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,243
− Insurance
−$1,997
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,087
− Management
−$1,087
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$62
After-tax cash flow
$1,321/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levy
NCES district ID
1201140
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,254
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4673
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Inglis

Score
61/100
State rank
#796
US rank
#18314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,508

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,536 people
By 2030
34,498 · -5.6%
By 2040
30,294 · -17.1%
By 2050
26,368 · -27.8%
By 2075
19,003 · -48.0%
By 2100
13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.03%
Current HPI
319.0929
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,000 RACC
  • 2023-09-08 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-29 Listed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,243 · +21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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