27 W 44th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this totally remodeled gem located in the heart of the city that features a new roof, remodeled bathrooms, new doors, fresh paint on exterior and interior and brand new flooring.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Public water available
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Used as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; No private pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
- Interior features: Refrigerator included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.34%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,021
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264 E 45th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (+0%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $79 | 78 |
| 317 W 41st St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-4%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 317 Chestnut Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-2%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $89 | 71 |
| 140 E 45th St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (-12%) | 4mo | $194,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 118 E 45th St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (-14%) | 3mo | $161,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 6560 Perry St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-5%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 4710 Springfield Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-9%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $141 | 58 |
| 662 Beechwood St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-9%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 329 Demper Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $127 | 51 |
| 6724 Drayton St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-9%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $116 | 48 |
| 33 E 29th St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,169 (-12%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $185 | 42 |
| 182 W 61st St | 0.73mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,161 (-12%) | 3mo | $125,770 | $108 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $14,206
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $35,168
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,746/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,231 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 205 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,459 | $1.79 | 24d | 69 | 0.23mi |
| 217 E 48th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,096 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 331 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,375 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1083 | $1,193 | $1.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 345 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 349 E 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 33 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,321 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6418 Sapphire Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 41 Tallulah Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,390 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 28 W 33rd St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $898 | $0.64 | 8d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4526 Fairview St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1575 | $980 | $0.62 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 549 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 555 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 567 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 516 E 58th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,725 | $1.40 | 8d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7115 Lucky Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 646 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 664 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 343 W 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,299 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3747 Peachtree St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,410 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3728 Silver St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 118 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 524 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,195 | $0.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 525 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,471 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 26 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 421 Golfair Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $1,381 | $0.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 503-char remark
-
2026-06-08$70,000 Active Under Contract 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,746 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,746 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$2,746
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,828
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,159
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Contingent — realMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $70,000 realMLS
- 2022-04-05 Sold (MLS) $189,900 realMLS
- 2022-03-05 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-02-19 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-02-17 Contingent — realMLS
- 2022-02-07 Price Changed $189,900 realMLS
- 2022-01-21 Listed $199,000 realMLS
- 2014-07-10 Sold (MLS) $21,500 realMLS
- 2014-06-17 Listed $25,400 realMLS
- 2011-04-20 Listed $25,000 realMLS
- 2007-08-23 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2007-08-03 Sold (MLS) $105,000 realMLS
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-01 Listed $105,000 realMLS
- 2007-01-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2007-01-25 Sold (MLS) $39,601 realMLS
- 2006-12-12 Listed $38,900 realMLS
- 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1988-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,746 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…