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27 W 44th St
B Composite 70.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

27 W 44th St · Jacksonville, FL 32208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1954 4,791 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this totally remodeled gem located in the heart of the city that features a new roof, remodeled bathrooms, new doors, fresh paint on exterior and interior and brand new flooring.

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Public water available
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Used as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; No private pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.34%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,021
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
264 E 45th St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,328 (+0%) 2mo $105,000 $79 78
317 W 41st St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,268 (-4%) 2mo $125,000 $99 76
317 Chestnut Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,294 (-2%) 6mo $115,000 $89 71
140 E 45th St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,166 (-12%) 4mo $194,000 $166 67
118 E 45th St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,132 (-14%) 3mo $161,000 $142 62
6560 Perry St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-5%) 5mo $240,000 $190 60
4710 Springfield Blvd 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,208 (-9%) 4mo $170,000 $141 58
662 Beechwood St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (-9%) 4mo $153,000 $127 52
329 Demper Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-14%) 5mo $145,000 $127 51
6724 Drayton St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-9%) 6mo $139,000 $116 48
33 E 29th St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,169 (-12%) 1mo $216,000 $185 42
182 W 61st St 0.73mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,161 (-12%) 3mo $125,770 $108 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$14,206
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$35,168
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,377 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,746/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $791
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1022 $1,231 $1.20 3d 1 0.16mi
205 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 955 $1,075 $1.13 21d 1 0.22mi
5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $1,459 $1.79 24d 69 0.23mi
217 E 48th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 979 $1,096 $1.12 11d 1 0.30mi
319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 977 $1,200 $1.23 24d 1 0.39mi
331 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,375 $0.90 4d 1 0.40mi
425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1083 $1,193 $1.10 8d 1 0.41mi
345 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1145 $1,150 $1.00 24d 1 0.41mi
349 E 45th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 954 $1,175 $1.23 8d 1 0.42mi
33 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1387 $1,321 $0.95 3d 1 0.43mi
6418 Sapphire Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,350 $1.04 24d 1 0.46mi
511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 0.49mi
562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,195 $1.10 24d 1 0.50mi
451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 24d 1 0.59mi
41 Tallulah Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,390 $1.27 3d 1 0.59mi
643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,325 $1.08 3d 1 0.60mi
5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,195 $1.19 8d 1 0.62mi
28 W 33rd St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1395 $898 $0.64 8d 1 0.62mi
356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1070 $1,425 $1.33 14d 1 0.63mi
4526 Fairview St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1575 $980 $0.62 17d 1 0.63mi
549 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,488 $1.21 11d 1 0.64mi
555 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,488 $1.21 11d 1 0.65mi
5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 941 $1,250 $1.33 2d 1 0.65mi
385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 932 $1,250 $1.34 20d 1 0.65mi
567 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,488 $1.21 15d 1 0.66mi
516 E 58th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,725 $1.40 8d 1 0.69mi
7115 Lucky Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1158 $1,500 $1.30 24d 1 0.71mi
646 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 21d 1 0.72mi
664 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,500 $1.11 17d 1 0.73mi
326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,550 $1.18 24d 1 0.73mi
4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,250 $1.24 24d 1 0.76mi
343 W 60th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,299 $1.05 21d 1 0.79mi
3747 Peachtree St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,410 $1.30 4d 1 0.81mi
3728 Silver St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 916 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 0.81mi
118 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,250 $0.94 24d 1 0.81mi
666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.81mi
524 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,195 $0.99 8d 1 0.83mi
525 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,471 $1.31 24d 1 0.85mi
26 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,300 $0.86 24d 1 0.85mi
421 Golfair Blvd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1761 $1,381 $0.78 16d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active Under Contract 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    remarks 503-char remark
  6. 2026-06-08
    listed $70,000 Active Under Contract 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,746 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,746 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,525
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$2,746
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,322
− Management
−$1,322
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,159
After-tax cash flow
$4,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $70,000 realMLS
  • 2022-04-05 Sold (MLS) $189,900 realMLS
  • 2022-03-05 Pending realMLS
  • 2022-02-19 Relisted realMLS
  • 2022-02-17 Contingent realMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Price Changed $189,900 realMLS
  • 2022-01-21 Listed $199,000 realMLS
  • 2014-07-10 Sold (MLS) $21,500 realMLS
  • 2014-06-17 Listed $25,400 realMLS
  • 2011-04-20 Listed $25,000 realMLS
  • 2007-08-23 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-08-03 Sold (MLS) $105,000 realMLS
  • 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-01 Listed $105,000 realMLS
  • 2007-01-30 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-01-25 Sold (MLS) $39,601 realMLS
  • 2006-12-12 Listed $38,900 realMLS
  • 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1988-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,746 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…