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B- Composite 66.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

105 S Forest Ave #4 · Carbondale, IL 62901
None bd · None ba · — sqft · Condo · 46 Days on market
Built 1898

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to invest in Carbondale with many possibilities with this rental property. This 1889 2 story Apartment Building houses 4 units! 3 units with 1 bed room @ $400.00 and l - 2 bedrooms @ $500.00 per month. Stove and refrigerator in each unit. Shared Coin Dryer and washer and storage in basement for tenants to use. Plenty of off-street private parking and on street. Utilities are paid for by the owner. CLOSE to SIU. PRICED TO BE SOLD AS IS! NO REPAIRS FROM SELLER. New Price $54,900

Key facts

  • 4 units
  • Shared coin dryer
  • Close to siu

Tags

2 STORY APARTMENT BUILDING4 UNITSSTOVE AND REFRIGERATORSHARED COIN DRYEROFF-STREET PRIVATE PARKINGCLOSE TO SIU

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Reported gross income: $20,700

Exterior

  • Parking: Guest parking; Additional/other parking (tenant parking in back)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two- to four-unit property; Built more than 100 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick/mortar and concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 110.81 x 53

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Common area laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a condo listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($719 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,253 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.71%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310-312 W Monroe St #4 0.32mi —/— 3mo $255,000 70
505 W Cherry St #2 0.31mi —/— 7mo $35,000 67
401 W Monroe St #3 0.30mi —/— 10mo $75,000 66
314 W Elm St #3 0.32mi —/— 10mo $30,000 64
502 W Freeman St #1 0.43mi —/— 4mo $700,000 64
801 W College St Unit A/B 0.34mi —/— 1,644 10mo $88,100 $54 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$4,223
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$23,864
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$719 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$151
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $226 -5% $207 +0% $188 +5% $169 +10% $150
Rent -10% $132 -5% $160 +0% $188 +5% $217 +10% $245
Rate -1.0pp $216 -0.5pp $202 base $188 +0.5pp $174 +1.0pp $160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
516 S Rawlings St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 450 $625 $1.39 44d 5 0.30mi
600 W Mill St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 615 $750 $1.22 44d 2 0.48mi
405 E College St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 351 $690 $1.96 44d 10 0.83mi
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL 3.0 1.0 622 $650 $1.04 44d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $54,900 Active
  2. 2026-02-27
    soldstatus Closed
  3. 2026-02-03
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-05
    historical
  6. 2025-05-22
    status Active
  7. 2025-05-22
    historical
  8. 2025-05-13
    historical
  9. 2025-04-08
    price
  10. 2025-03-03
    price
  11. 2024-11-13
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,625
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$690
− Management
−$690
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$1,475
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$354
After-tax cash flow
$1,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Sold (MLS) MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-22 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-13 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-08 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-03 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-13 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…