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221 Mckinley St
A- Composite 81.03
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$68,500

221 Mckinley St · Hooppole, IL 61258
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · Other public records · 178 Days on market
Built 1917 0.52 ac lot $41/sqft · 30% below area Est $108k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Recently remodeled 3 bedroom/ 1 bath home with a 1-car detached garage. Partially fenced yard with alley access. The main floor features: living room, dining room, 1st floor bedroom, large bathroom & convenient main floor laundry. The office has French doors that lead out to the backyard. The kitchen has nice white cabinets & new appliances that stay! The other 2 bedrooms are located on the second floor. Updates per the seller: New kitchen cabinets, new vinyl plank flooring, new vinyl replacement windows & fresh paint. Home is being sold "AS IS".

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • French doors
  • New kitchen cabinets

Tags

PARTIALLY FENCED YARDALLEY ACCESSFRENCH DOORSNEW KITCHEN CABINETSNEW VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW VINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,133 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Annawan CUSD 226 (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #429 of 919 in IL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Annawan Grade School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #658 of 2,056 statewide, top 35%, 247 students, 0% FRL); Annawan High School (math 30% / reading 10%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 105 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 22% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($474 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 128% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $68k implies a 270% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,280 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.24%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,248
List price
$68,500
Delta
-36.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$38,036
Equity at exit
$30,801
10-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
5.89×
Total profit
$93,735
Equity at exit
$47,467

Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61258

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$359
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,113/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $608
Max offer price $68,500
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $487 +0% $467 +5% $448 +10% $429
Rent -10% $372 -5% $420 +0% $467 +5% $515 +10% $562
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $485 base $467 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,125
Closing costs
$2,055
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $68,500 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,500 Active 175 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,500 Active 174 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,500 Active 173 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,500 Active 172 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,500 Active 170 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,500 Active 169 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,500 Active 166 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,500 Active 165 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,500 Active 164 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,500 Active 161 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,500 Active 160 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,500 Active 159 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,500 Active 158 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,500 Active 157 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $68,500
  17. 2026-02-05
    price $72,500
  18. 2026-01-20
    status Active
  19. 2026-01-14
    historical
  20. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  21. 2026-01-06
    historical
  22. 2026-01-05
    historical
  23. 2025-12-03
    listed Active
  24. 2025-06-09
    price
  25. 2025-04-06
    historical
  26. 2025-04-06
    historical
  27. 2025-04-06
    status Active
  28. 2025-03-18
    historical Under Contract
  29. 2025-03-12
    price
  30. 2025-02-14
    listed Active
  31. 2023-08-21
    soldstatus $18,500
  32. 2023-08-21
    soldstatus $18,500 Closed
  33. 2023-07-24
    status Pending
  34. 2023-07-10
    price $25,000
  35. 2023-05-04
    listed $25,000
  36. 2023-05-04
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,113 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,334 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 19.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,397
− Mortgage interest
−$3,837
− Property taxes
−$1,113
− Insurance
−$342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$1,993
Taxable income
$4,808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$4,453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Annawan CUSD 226
NCES district ID
1703810
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$53,191
Composite
31.3/100
National rank
#11233
State rank
#429 of 919 in IL

Livability — Hooppole

Score
58/100
State rank
#1133
US rank
#21383

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hooppole, IL
City population
174
Population (ZIP)
174

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2% Iranian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $68,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $72,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-09 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-06 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-12 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-14 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-24 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-10 Price Changed $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-04 Listed $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-04 Listed $25,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,113 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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