🏗️ New Construction
11 Skyview Dr · Armonk, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,800,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Easy living awaits in this spacious 3-bedroom ranch offering a floor plan that is functional and inviting, with spacious rooms and a natural flow that can be reimagined to suit your lifestyle. Generously sized living spaces provide plenty of room to spread out, while the walk-out lower level adds flexibility for a family room, home office, or guest space. Tucked away on a quiet, no-through street with $2–3 million homes, this property combines privacy with an unbeatable location. Whether you’re looking for your first home, ready to downsize, or searching for a project with strong upside, this ranch is full of possibilities. Located close to to hamlet of Armonk and Byram Hills Schools - a winning combination. Bring your vision and create the home you’ve always imagined. Being sold in As-Is condition.
Key facts
- Gut renovated
- Designer kitchen
- Security cameras
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached garage; Total parking for 4 vehicles; 2-car garage
- Security: Security system; Video cameras
- Utilities: Electricity available (Con-Edison); Water connected; Public trash collection; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Bi-level layout; New construction and updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Block and brick construction
- Exterior features: Mailbox; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood; Other flooring types
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom and full bath; Entrance foyer; In-law floorplan; Kitchen island; Open kitchen; Pantry; Quartz/Quartzite counters; Recessed lighting; Sauna; Whole-house sound system with speakers; Storage; ENERGY STAR qualified windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (inside laundry)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.80M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-31k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $517k (71.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $508k (71.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $508k (71.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 0.3% in Armonk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#597 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Byram Hills Central School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #17 of 590 in NY (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Coman Hill School (563 students, 4% FRL); H C Crittenden Middle School (math 77% / reading 85%, grade A+, #24 of 729 statewide, top 3%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Byram Hills High School (math 77% / reading 95%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 710 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 1% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.77M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $925k; list at $1.80M implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.39%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 16.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $974,160
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Cox Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 2,252 (+2%) | 8mo | $990,000 | $440 | 59 |
| 47 High St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,250 (+2%) | 20mo | $500,000 | $222 | 57 |
| 76 Byram Ridge Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,902 (-14%) | 21mo | $1,075,000 | $565 | 46 |
| 5 Norman Pl | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,296 (+4%) | 20mo | $930,000 | $405 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -37.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-322,798
- Equity at exit
- $145,250
- IRR
- -53.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.81×
- Total profit
- $-493,479
- Equity at exit
- $84,228
Cash invested: $272,765 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10504
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 29.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,109
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,091 /mo · $13,092/yr
- Insurance
- −$406
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,067
- Net cashflow
- $-2,590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,038 | -5% $-2,314 | +0% $-2,590 | +5% $-2,865 | +10% $-3,141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,991 | -5% $-2,791 | +0% $-2,590 | +5% $-2,389 | +10% $-2,188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,099 | -0.5pp $-2,342 | base $-2,590 | +0.5pp $-2,842 | +1.0pp $-3,099 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $243,540
- Closing costs
- $29,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Cox Ave Armonk, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $5,450 | $3.63 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4 Briggs Ln Armonk, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $4,600 | $3.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-07$1,800,000 Active
-
2025-10-24soldstatus $925,000
-
2025-10-17soldstatus $925,000 Closed 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Easy living awaits in this spacious 3-bedroom ranch offering a floor plan that is functional and inviting, with spacious rooms and a natural flow that can be reimagined to suit your lifestyle. Generously sized living spaces provide plenty of room to spread out, while the walk-out lower level adds flexibility for a family room, home office, or guest space. Tucked away on a quiet, no-through street with $2–3 million homes, this property combines privacy with an unbeatable location. Whether you’re looking for your first home, ready to downsize, or searching for a project with strong upside, this ranch is full of possibilities. Located close to to hamlet of Armonk and Byram Hills Schools - a winning combination. Bring your vision and create the home you’ve always imagined. Being sold in As-Is condition.
-
2025-09-16status Pending 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Easy living awaits in this spacious 3-bedroom ranch offering a floor plan that is functional and inviting, with spacious rooms and a natural flow that can be reimagined to suit your lifestyle. Generously sized living spaces provide plenty of room to spread out, while the walk-out lower level adds flexibility for a family room, home office, or guest space. Tucked away on a quiet, no-through street with $2–3 million homes, this property combines privacy with an unbeatable location. Whether you’re looking for your first home, ready to downsize, or searching for a project with strong upside, this ranch is full of possibilities. Located close to to hamlet of Armonk and Byram Hills Schools - a winning combination. Bring your vision and create the home you’ve always imagined. Being sold in As-Is condition.
-
2025-09-03$849,000 Active 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Easy living awaits in this spacious 3-bedroom ranch offering a floor plan that is functional and inviting, with spacious rooms and a natural flow that can be reimagined to suit your lifestyle. Generously sized living spaces provide plenty of room to spread out, while the walk-out lower level adds flexibility for a family room, home office, or guest space. Tucked away on a quiet, no-through street with $2–3 million homes, this property combines privacy with an unbeatable location. Whether you’re looking for your first home, ready to downsize, or searching for a project with strong upside, this ranch is full of possibilities. Located close to to hamlet of Armonk and Byram Hills Schools - a winning combination. Bring your vision and create the home you’ve always imagined. Being sold in As-Is condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $13,092 · $1,091/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $21,756 · $1,813/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,664/yr (+$722/mo · 66.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,568
- − Property taxes
- −$13,092
- − Insurance
- −$4,871
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,880
- − Management
- −$4,880
- − Depreciation
- −$28,339
- Taxable loss
- −$49,631
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19,165/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Byram Hills Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606060
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 86% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $178,843
- Composite
- 82.02/100
- National rank
- #36
- State rank
- #17 of 590 in NY
Livability — Armonk
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #597
- US rank
- #10849
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Armonk, NY
- City population
- 7,853
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,853
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -370.07%
- Current HPI
- 212.7572
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+112.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed $1,800,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $925,000 Public Records
- 2025-10-17 Sold (MLS) $925,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Listed $849,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $13,092 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…