19776 SE Stark St #147 · Gresham, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A true hidden gem! Tucked away on a quiet street, this charming home offers exceptional privacy and comfort in a wonderful senior community. Enjoy outdoor living on the spacious covered deck, overlooking a yard perfect for your inner gardener, complete with a newer oversized Tuff shed plus an additional shed for garden tools. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and formal dining area that flow beautifully into a charming, updated kitchen featuring tall cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile countertops, built-in cubbies, and a fantastic pantry. A tasteful mix of luxury flooring, upgraded carpet, and tile runs throughout, complemented by new LED lighting and stylish ceiling fans that truly elevate the space. The primary suite is generously sized with an en-suite bath, walk-in closet, and walk-in stall shower. The hall bath offers a full-size walk-in shower as well. Off the back of the home, the sun porch/laundry room is an absolute standout—an amazing everyday space with storage shelving, washer, dryer, and freezer all thoughtfully arranged for maximum convenience. Perfect for downsizing without compromise, this warm and inviting home is ideally located close to shopping, dining, and public transportation. A rare blend of privacy, functionality, and charm—this one is special.
Key facts
- Tall cabinetry
- Tile countertops
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $659 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.8% in Gresham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#51 in OR, #1,537 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D, crime D-.
- Reynolds SD 7 (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #162 of 183 in OR (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 153 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.72%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,070
- List price
- $73,000
- Delta
- -4.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19776 SE Stark St #67 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 21mo | $63,500 | $64 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.96% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $27,231
- Equity at exit
- $10,885
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $66,212
- Equity at exit
- $6,312
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97233
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $659
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19550 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,350 | $2.08 | 2d | 3 | 0.18mi |
| 768 SE 193rd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,025 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 468 SE 202nd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,625 | $2.27 | 14d | 4 | 0.28mi |
| 19213 SE Yamhill St Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,325 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 20121 SE Stark St Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,714 | $1.96 | 2d | 5 | 0.32mi |
| 19109 SE Yamhill St Unit D Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,095 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19109 SE Yamhill St Unit B Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,095 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19115 SE Yamhill St Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,095 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 459 SE 192nd Ave Portland, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $1,695 | $1.59 | 2d | 7 | 0.37mi |
| 19100 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $1,538 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 18837 SE Yamhill St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $1,422 | $1.35 | 2d | 5 | 0.48mi |
| 611 SE 190th Ave Apt 111 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,399 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 618 SE 187th Ave Unit 101 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 615 SE 187th Ave Unit 12 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,375 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 911 SE 187th Ave Apt 108 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 7d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 911 SE 187th Ave Unit 207 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 911 SE 187th Ave Unit 103 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18618 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $2,375 | $2.96 | 2d | 25 | 0.63mi |
| 783 SE 185th Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 861 | $1,634 | $1.90 | 2d | 10 | 0.65mi |
| 20220 NE Glisan St Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,595 | $2.08 | 3d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 18427 SE Yamhill St Unit 18427 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,499 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 18411 E Burnside St Apt 202 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18411 E Burnside St Unit 205 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18411 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 635 SE 182nd Ave Unit 741 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 635 SE 182nd Ave Unit 669 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 18245 E Burnside St Unit 111 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1132 NW Birdsdale Ave Gresham, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1136 | $1,994 | $1.75 | 4d | 7 | 0.88mi |
| 19045 SE Division St Unit 19047 Gresham, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17920 SE Stark St Unit 4 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,150 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17925 E Burnside St Unit 105 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,300 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1699 NW Civic Dr Gresham, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $2,544 | $3.14 | 17d | 27 | 1.06mi |
| 17782 E Burnside St Portland, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 4d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 203 SE 176th Pl Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,495 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 115 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,360 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 110 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $1,870 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1559 NE 201st Ave Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,475 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1559 NE 201st Ave Unit 104 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,475 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 123 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,295 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 17439 SE Stark St Apt 114 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $73,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Pending 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
A true hidden gem! Tucked away on a quiet street, this charming home offers exceptional privacy and comfort in a wonderful senior community. Enjoy outdoor living on the spacious covered deck, overlooking a yard perfect for your inner gardener, complete with a newer oversized Tuff shed plus an additional shed for garden tools. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and formal dining area that flow beautifully into a charming, updated kitchen featuring tall cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile countertops, built-in cubbies, and a fantastic pantry. A tasteful mix of luxury flooring, upgraded carpet, and tile runs throughout, complemented by new LED lighting and stylish ceiling fans that truly elevate the space. The primary suite is generously sized with an en-suite bath, walk-in closet, and walk-in stall shower. The hall bath offers a full-size walk-in shower as well. Off the back of the home, the sun porch/laundry room is an absolute standout—an amazing everyday space with storage shelving, washer, dryer, and freezer all thoughtfully arranged for maximum convenience. Perfect for downsizing without compromise, this warm and inviting home is ideally located close to shopping, dining, and public transportation. A rare blend of privacy, functionality, and charm—this one is special.
-
2026-04-15price $75,000 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
A true hidden gem! Tucked away on a quiet street, this charming home offers exceptional privacy and comfort in a wonderful senior community. Enjoy outdoor living on the spacious covered deck, overlooking a yard perfect for your inner gardener, complete with a newer oversized Tuff shed plus an additional shed for garden tools. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and formal dining area that flow beautifully into a charming, updated kitchen featuring tall cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile countertops, built-in cubbies, and a fantastic pantry. A tasteful mix of luxury flooring, upgraded carpet, and tile runs throughout, complemented by new LED lighting and stylish ceiling fans that truly elevate the space. The primary suite is generously sized with an en-suite bath, walk-in closet, and walk-in stall shower. The hall bath offers a full-size walk-in shower as well. Off the back of the home, the sun porch/laundry room is an absolute standout—an amazing everyday space with storage shelving, washer, dryer, and freezer all thoughtfully arranged for maximum convenience. Perfect for downsizing without compromise, this warm and inviting home is ideally located close to shopping, dining, and public transportation. A rare blend of privacy, functionality, and charm—this one is special.
-
2026-02-10$79,000 Active 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
A true hidden gem! Tucked away on a quiet street, this charming home offers exceptional privacy and comfort in a wonderful senior community. Enjoy outdoor living on the spacious covered deck, overlooking a yard perfect for your inner gardener, complete with a newer oversized Tuff shed plus an additional shed for garden tools. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and formal dining area that flow beautifully into a charming, updated kitchen featuring tall cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile countertops, built-in cubbies, and a fantastic pantry. A tasteful mix of luxury flooring, upgraded carpet, and tile runs throughout, complemented by new LED lighting and stylish ceiling fans that truly elevate the space. The primary suite is generously sized with an en-suite bath, walk-in closet, and walk-in stall shower. The hall bath offers a full-size walk-in shower as well. Off the back of the home, the sun porch/laundry room is an absolute standout—an amazing everyday space with storage shelving, washer, dryer, and freezer all thoughtfully arranged for maximum convenience. Perfect for downsizing without compromise, this warm and inviting home is ideally located close to shopping, dining, and public transportation. A rare blend of privacy, functionality, and charm—this one is special.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$1,095
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $7,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,723
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,191/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reynolds SD 7
- NCES district ID
- 4110520
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,502
- Composite
- 27.4/100
- National rank
- #12399
- State rank
- #162 of 183 in OR
Livability — Gresham
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #1537
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gresham, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 86,119
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,236
- Household income
- $60,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2541.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 9% Black 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 18% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -493.14%
- Current HPI
- 302.1015
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.96%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-5.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $75,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $79,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-39.5%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…