Triplex
5 Lee St · Providence, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$609,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
THIS 2 FAMILY PLUS 4 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR ON BUSLINE PLUS SHOPPING OFF VINTON STREET PLUS PARKING
Key facts
- 2,040 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Actual rents reported: $1,100, $1,250, and $950 for the three 2-bedroom units
- HOA & community: Community features include highway access and proximity to transit, shopping, restaurants, schools and recreation
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; 3 off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Sewer connected; Public water connected; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Multifamily property with 3 units in a single building; 3 stories
- Construction: Drywall and vinyl siding exterior; Block, brick/mortar and combination foundation with concrete perimeter; Above-grade finished area approximately 2,679
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 2,040 sq ft; Highway access nearby; Near hospital, schools, public transportation, recreation area, restaurants and shopping
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with baseboard units; Window air-conditioning units
- Interior features: Stall shower; Full unfinished basement with interior and exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer provided; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $609k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $374/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $609k).
- Recommended offer: $591k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: George J. West El. School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #148 of 167 statewide, top 90%, 601 students, 84% FRL); Nathanael Greene Middle (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #37 of 57 statewide, top 64%, 808 students, 85% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #53 of 58 statewide, top 96%, 1,302 students, 87% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $171k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($591k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $609k implies a 1196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.89%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $597,389
- List price
- $609,000
- Delta
- 1.94%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.08% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $34,975
- Equity at exit
- $144,529
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $219,564
- Equity at exit
- $149,666
Cash invested: $170,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02903
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 23.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,616 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,194
- Tax from tax record
- −$658 /mo · $7,897/yr
- Insurance
- −$254
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,389
- Net cashflow
- $1,121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,466 | -5% $1,294 | +0% $1,121 | +5% $949 | +10% $776 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $598 | -5% $860 | +0% $1,121 | +5% $1,382 | +10% $1,644 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,428 | -0.5pp $1,276 | base $1,121 | +0.5pp $963 | +1.0pp $803 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $6,615 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,205 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,205 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,205 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,616 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $152,250
- Closing costs
- $18,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-15price $609,000 860-char remark
-
2026-04-28$629,000 Active 860-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2026-04-16$659,000 Active
-
1997-08-06soldstatus $47,000
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
THIS 2 FAMILY PLUS 4 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR ON BUSLINE PLUS SHOPPING OFF VINTON STREET PLUS PARKING
-
1997-07-28historical
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
THIS 2 FAMILY PLUS 4 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR ON BUSLINE PLUS SHOPPING OFF VINTON STREET PLUS PARKING
-
1997-05-03$59,900
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
THIS 2 FAMILY PLUS 4 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR ON BUSLINE PLUS SHOPPING OFF VINTON STREET PLUS PARKING
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,897 · $658/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,912 · $743/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,015/yr (+$85/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,113
- − Property taxes
- −$7,897
- − Insurance
- −$3,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,351
- − Management
- −$6,351
- − Depreciation
- −$17,716
- Taxable income
- $3,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$940
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Providence
- NCES district ID
- 4400900
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,197
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9803
- State rank
- #34 of 39 in RI
Livability — Providence
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Providence, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 212,734
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,836
- Household income
- $64,476
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1009.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 13% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Russian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 8% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Current HPI
- 241.4152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.73%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
||
| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+916.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Pending — RIS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $609,000 RIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $629,000 RIS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $659,000 RIS
- 1997-08-06 Sold (MLS) $47,000 RIS
- 1997-07-28 Listing Removed — RIS
- 1997-05-03 Listed $59,900 RIS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,897 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…