907 Lake Shore Blvd · Irondequoit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
Key facts
- New shower
- Park like back yard
- New asphalt driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Two garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property; Vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 86 x 175
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Appliances negotiable
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Finished basement; Laundry and family room among total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-810/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $307k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $298k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
- West Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 73% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #126 of 590 in NY (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Irondequoit High School (math 96% / reading 64%, grade A, #509 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 1,163 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $319k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.91%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $275,884
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Shorewood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,556 (-6%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 549 Turtle Rock Ln | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (-9%) | 0mo | $653,000 | $434 | 62 |
| 549 Oakridge Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,607 (-3%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $221 | 62 |
| 47 Glenmont Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+2%) | 10mo | $279,900 | $167 | 60 |
| 43 Cinnabar Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+5%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $145 | 56 |
| 46 Dewey Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,443 (-13%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $194 | 50 |
| 579 Lake Shore Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,877 (+14%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $123 | 48 |
| 280 Lake Shore Boulevard Ext | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,561 (-6%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $144 | 47 |
| 340 Washington Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-14%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $158 | 46 |
| 230 Lake Shore Boulevard Ext | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,732 (+5%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $202 | 46 |
| 4646 Saint Paul Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,501 (-9%) | 9mo | $202,000 | $135 | 45 |
| 341 Washington Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,462 (-12%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $195 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-55,814
- Equity at exit
- $47,564
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-53,416
- Equity at exit
- $27,581
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14617
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax from tax record
- −$615 /mo · $7,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$626
- Net cashflow
- $-68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $23 | +0% $-68 | +5% $-158 | +10% $-248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-303 | -5% $-185 | +0% $-68 | +5% $50 | +10% $168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $93 | -0.5pp $14 | base $-68 | +0.5pp $-150 | +1.0pp $-234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485 Oakridge Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1826 | $4,000 | $2.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 37 Oakmount Dr Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4302 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-23price $319,000
-
2026-05-23$349,900 Active
-
2017-07-07soldstatus $126,500
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2017-07-06soldstatus $126,500 Closed Sale or Rented 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-04-24status Pending Sale 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-04-15price $119,900 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-04-13status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-04-08status Pending Sale 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-04-01status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-03-30status Pending Sale 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-03-23price $124,900 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-03-22$123,900 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
-
2017-03-22historical
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
New Kitchen, New bathrooms, New H. E. Furnace, fresh paint and new flooring. Huge lot. .. Completely renovated and move-in Ready! 4 bedrooms and 2 FULL bathrooms! Plenty of space for the whole family! ! Open living room/dining room combo! Great sized bedrooms! Pack your bags!
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2017-03-05price $124,900
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2017-02-17price $129,900
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2017-01-25$134,900 Active
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2015-12-01historical
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2015-11-02price $80,000
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2015-10-23price $90,000
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2015-10-23status Active
-
2015-08-14$40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,384 · $615/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,384 · $615/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$7,384
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,860
- − Management
- −$2,860
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$6,097
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Irondequoit Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615390
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,218
- Composite
- 61.61/100
- National rank
- #748
- State rank
- #126 of 590 in NY
Livability — Irondequoit
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Irondequoit, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 74,252
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,788
- Household income
- $90,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 426.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.22%
- Current HPI
- 263.9973
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+697.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $319,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $349,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $126,500 Public Records
- 2017-07-06 Sold (MLS) $126,500 UNYREIS
- 2017-04-24 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-04-15 Price Changed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-04-13 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2017-04-08 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-04-01 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2017-03-30 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-03-23 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-03-22 Listed $123,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-03-22 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2017-03-05 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-02-17 Price Changed $129,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-01-25 Listed $134,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-12-01 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-11-02 Price Changed $80,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-10-23 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2015-10-23 Price Changed $90,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-08-14 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,384 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…