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4516 Reily Ln
B Composite 70.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$85,000

4516 Reily Ln · Collinston, LA 71229
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,555 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1995 0.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this affording listing in downtown Collinston. This house is located behind the Methodist Church on a quiet corner lot.

Key facts

  • Quiet corner lot
  • 0.67 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

QUIET CORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located behind the Methodist Church in Collinston (Directions provided); Subdivision: Collinston
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site build); One story; Entry level: 1; Log construction
  • Construction: Log construction; Fiberglass roof; Slab foundation; Built as a site-built home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range hood; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows; Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#451 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Morehouse Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #630 of 646 statewide, top 98%, 587 students, 6% FRL); Bastrop High School (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #260 of 265 statewide, top 100%, 902 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 78% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.44%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$30,365
Equity at exit
$36,208
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$79,615
Equity at exit
$54,284

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71229

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,124 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $728/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $394 -5% $370 +0% $346 +5% $322 +10% $298
Rent -10% $257 -5% $301 +0% $346 +5% $390 +10% $435
Rate -1.0pp $389 -0.5pp $367 base $346 +0.5pp $324 +1.0pp $301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 129-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$728 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$728 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,484
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$728
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,079
− Management
−$1,079
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$705
After-tax cash flow
$3,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morehouse Parish
NCES district ID
2201110
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$30,482
Composite
11.46/100
National rank
#9704
State rank
#83 of 98 in LA

Livability — Collinston

Score
46/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#26513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Collinston, LA
Population (ZIP)
1,462

Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,631 people
By 2030
22,114 · -6.4%
By 2040
19,203 · -18.7%
By 2050
16,698 · -29.3%
By 2075
11,998 · -49.2%
By 2100
8,622 · -63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.58%
Current HPI
115.1058
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $85,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $728 · +31.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…