208 Buttonwood Ln · Gluckstadt, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! UNDER $300,000!!! Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for modern living. The kitchen is complete with stunning granite countertops, ample cabinetry, and a seamless flow into the living and dining areas, which makes it ideal for entertaining. Right off the kitchen you'll find an office nook that's great for working from home. The bedrooms offer plenty of space with an outdoor covered patio that's perfect for grilling and relaxing. PLUS, the neighborhood has great amenities like a pool and a playground. Call today for your private viewing!!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Pool
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gluckstadt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.39%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,967
- List price
- $290,000
- Delta
- -7.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Buttonwood Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,603 (-8%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $190 | 84 |
| 404 Butternut Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (-2%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $193 | 82 |
| 125 Rhodes Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-6%) | 1mo | $287,500 | $177 | 77 |
| 351 Willow Way | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-6%) | 1mo | $309,900 | $191 | 75 |
| 200 Azure Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,828 (+5%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $185 | 74 |
| 329 Willow Way | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-12%) | 1mo | $288,000 | $189 | 66 |
| 440 Aurora Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,823 (+5%) | 1mo | $364,600 | $200 | 64 |
| 465 Aurora Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (+8%) | 1mo | $349,500 | $187 | 64 |
| 408 Aurora Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+7%) | 1mo | $346,000 | $186 | 57 |
| 509 Portner Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,855 (+7%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $194 | 56 |
| 443 Baleigh Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (+8%) | 1mo | $365,600 | $195 | 55 |
| 302 Mandy Way | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,891 (+9%) | 1mo | $369,900 | $196 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-28,142
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-384
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39046
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,716 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,895/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$49
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$570
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 Buttonwood Ln Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 317 Willow Way Canton, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,800 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 502 Black Cherry CV Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1887 | $2,600 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $49 · $588/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17status $290,000 Pending 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $290,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 677-char remark
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $299,500 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! UNDER $300,000!!! Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for modern living. The kitchen is complete with stunning granite countertops, ample cabinetry, and a seamless flow into the living and dining areas, which makes it ideal for entertaining. Right off the kitchen you'll find an office nook that's great for working from home. The bedrooms offer plenty of space with an outdoor covered patio that's perfect for grilling and relaxing. PLUS, the neighborhood has great amenities like a pool and a playground. Call today for your private viewing!!
-
2026-04-02$305,500 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! UNDER $300,000!!! Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for modern living. The kitchen is complete with stunning granite countertops, ample cabinetry, and a seamless flow into the living and dining areas, which makes it ideal for entertaining. Right off the kitchen you'll find an office nook that's great for working from home. The bedrooms offer plenty of space with an outdoor covered patio that's perfect for grilling and relaxing. PLUS, the neighborhood has great amenities like a pool and a playground. Call today for your private viewing!!
-
2018-03-30soldstatus 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Great new construction home that features: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage, open floor plan with beautiful kitchen with large island, decorative backsplash, stainless steel appliances, dinning area, office nook off kitchen, walk-in spacious laundry room, very spacious living area, wood floors in living and kitchen, beautiful master bath with granite counter tops, covered back patio and much more! neighborhood will have an amazing pool and green space and playground. Its currently under construction now.
-
2017-10-30$228,000 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Great new construction home that features: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage, open floor plan with beautiful kitchen with large island, decorative backsplash, stainless steel appliances, dinning area, office nook off kitchen, walk-in spacious laundry room, very spacious living area, wood floors in living and kitchen, beautiful master bath with granite counter tops, covered back patio and much more! neighborhood will have an amazing pool and green space and playground. Its currently under construction now.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,895 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,291 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$396/yr (+$33/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$1,895
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,607
- − Management
- −$2,607
- − HOA
- −$588
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$1,240
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$298
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gluckstadt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 29,160
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,160
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.50%
- Current HPI
- 154.0441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+31.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $299,500 MLSU
- 2026-04-02 Listed $305,500 MLSU
- 2018-03-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-10-30 Listed $228,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+26.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,895 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…