268 Flanders Rd Lot 16 · Noank, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable opportunity in Groton! This spacious manufactured home offers comfortable living space in an established community. Featuring forced hot air gas heat and a functional floor plan, this home is ideal for buyers looking to own at a low price point. Convenient to shopping, dining, and just minutes from the Thames River and Groton/New London area employers including Electric Boat!
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Built 1992
- Listed 21 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessed value listed (not a sales price)
- Financial info: Property managed professionally off-site
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee of $925; HOA covers trash pickup, water and sewer
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; Electric hot water; Natural gas and propane available
- Home design: Single-family home for sale
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built living area approximately 1,352 sq ft
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Natural gas and propane fuel options; Above-ground fuel tank
- Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; 50-gallon electric hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northeast Academy Magnet School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 391 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 129.98%
- DSCR
- 6.78
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.36×
- Total profit
- $105,007
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.57×
- Total profit
- $240,633
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06355
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,901 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $399/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$925
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$819
- Net cashflow
- $1,789
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,823 | -5% $1,806 | +0% $1,789 | +5% $1,773 | +10% $1,756 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,481 | -5% $1,635 | +0% $1,789 | +5% $1,943 | +10% $2,098 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,819 | -0.5pp $1,804 | base $1,789 | +0.5pp $1,774 | +1.0pp $1,759 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Noank Ledyard Rd Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 99 Bay View Ave Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $8,500 | $5.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $925 · $11,100/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectric
Listing history 11 events
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2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-12$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $399 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$432/yr (+$36/mo · 108.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$399
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,745
- − Management
- −$3,745
- − HOA
- −$11,100
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $22,504
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,709
- Composite
- 36.28/100
- National rank
- #4702
- State rank
- #96 of 153 in CT
Livability — Noank
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #7575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,173
- Household income
- $137,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 197.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.46%
- Current HPI
- 287.7568
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $59,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2022): $399 · -45.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…