CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
268 Flanders Rd Lot 16
D Composite 44.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

268 Flanders Rd Lot 16 · Noank, CT 06355
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1992 $925/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable opportunity in Groton! This spacious manufactured home offers comfortable living space in an established community. Featuring forced hot air gas heat and a functional floor plan, this home is ideal for buyers looking to own at a low price point. Convenient to shopping, dining, and just minutes from the Thames River and Groton/New London area employers including Electric Boat!

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Built 1992
  • Listed 21 days

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEFORCED HOT AIR GAS HEATFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANESTABLISHED COMMUNITYCONVENIENT TO SHOPPINGMINUTES FROM THAMES RIVER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Assessed value listed (not a sales price)
  • Financial info: Property managed professionally off-site
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee of $925; HOA covers trash pickup, water and sewer

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; Electric hot water; Natural gas and propane available
  • Home design: Single-family home for sale
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built living area approximately 1,352 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Natural gas and propane fuel options; Above-ground fuel tank
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; 50-gallon electric hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Northeast Academy Magnet School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 391 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Recommended offer $58,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.61%
Cap rate
42.69%
Cash-on-cash
129.98%
DSCR
6.78
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.36×
Total profit
$105,007
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.57×
Total profit
$240,633
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06355

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,901 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $399/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$925
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$819
Net cashflow
$1,789

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,823 -5% $1,806 +0% $1,789 +5% $1,773 +10% $1,756
Rent -10% $1,481 -5% $1,635 +0% $1,789 +5% $1,943 +10% $2,098
Rate -1.0pp $1,819 -0.5pp $1,804 base $1,789 +0.5pp $1,774 +1.0pp $1,759

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
308 Noank Ledyard Rd Mystic, CT 3.0 2.0 1500 $3,500 $2.33 14d 1 0.61mi
99 Bay View Ave Mystic, CT 3.0 2.0 1668 $8,500 $5.10 44d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$925 · $11,100/yr
Likely covers
gaselectric

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-05-12
    listed $59,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$399 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$831 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$432/yr (+$36/mo · 108.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,809
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$399
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,745
− Management
−$3,745
− HOA
−$11,100
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$22,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,401
After-tax cash flow
$16,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Groton School District
NCES district ID
0901770
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$60,709
Composite
36.28/100
National rank
#4702
State rank
#96 of 153 in CT

Livability — Noank

Score
70/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#7575

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
New London County · 147,197 people
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
Population (ZIP)
12,173
Household income
$137,425
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
197.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.46%
Current HPI
287.7568
Rent YoY
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $59,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $399 · -45.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…