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The Sadler Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0

$278,900

The Sadler Plan · Burnettown, SC 29829
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,110 sqft · SingleFamily · 378 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you searching for the perfect home? Look no further than the Sadler Plan! This stunning two-story residence offers everything you've been dreaming of. Step inside from the front porch into a welcoming foyer that leads to an open layout, seamlessly connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas-ideal for gatherings. The kitchen features a spacious island and pantry for all your cooking needs. Venture into the private quarters where the primary bedroom serves as a relaxing oasis with an en suite featuring a large shower, dual vanities, and a walk-in closet. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and a shared full bathroom for family or guests. Experience the perfect blend of eleg

Key facts

  • Spacious island
  • Pantry
  • Private quarters

Tags

FRONT PORCHWELCOMING FOYEROPEN LAYOUTSPACIOUS ISLANDPANTRYPRIVATE QUARTERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 2110
  • Financial info: List price $276,900
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities:
  • Home design: The Sadler plan (new construction plan)
  • Construction:
  • Exterior features:

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling:
  • Interior features: Open plan living areas
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $278,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $284,850.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (11.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#159 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #359 of 597 statewide, top 60%, 557 students, 100% FRL); Langley-Bath-Clearwater Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #136 of 229 statewide, top 60%, 634 students, 100% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 54% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 378 days — a 12% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,479 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 378 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$284,850
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
959 Tess St 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,110 (0%) 4mo $285,900 $135 72
973 Tess St 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,046 (-3%) 4mo $285,900 $140 63
902 Tess St 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,046 (-3%) 2mo $275,900 $135 62
925 Tess St 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,046 (-3%) 4mo $286,900 $140 61
871 Tess St 0.59mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,046 (-3%) 3mo $275,900 $135 60
1515 Brookstone Dr 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,905 (-10%) 5mo $316,000 $166 58
1034 Tess St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,890 (-10%) 4mo $275,000 $146 55
870 Tess St 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,890 (-10%) 2mo $292,295 $155 53
985 Tess St 0.49mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,386 (+13%) 2mo $284,900 $119 44
945 Tess St 0.53mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,386 (+13%) 1mo $279,900 $117 43
908 Tess St 0.56mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,386 (+13%) 1mo $289,900 $122 42
875 Tess St 0.58mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,386 (+13%) 1mo $316,805 $133 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$107,883
Equity at exit
$223,815
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$325,736
Equity at exit
$451,527

Cash invested: $79,758 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29829

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,165 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax est. 1.5%
$356 /mo · $4,273/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$-258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,492
Max offer price $247,466
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-61 -5% $-160 +0% $-258 +5% $-357 +10% $-455
Rent -10% $-429 -5% $-344 +0% $-258 +5% $-173 +10% $-87
Rate -1.0pp $-115 -0.5pp $-186 base $-258 +0.5pp $-332 +1.0pp $-407

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,212
Closing costs
$8,546
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
618 Count Fleet Ct Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.5 2362 $2,299 $0.97 23d 1 0.19mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $278,900 Active 378 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $278,900 Active 375 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $278,900 Active 374 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $278,900 Active 373 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $278,900 Active 372 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $278,900 Active 370 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $278,900 Active 369 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $278,900 Active 367 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $278,900 Active 366 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $278,900 Active 365 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $278,900 Active 364 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $276,900 Active 360 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $276,900 Active 359 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $276,900 Active 358 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $276,900 Active 357 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $276,900 Active 356 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,977
− Mortgage interest
−$15,956
− Property taxes
−$4,273
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,078
− Management
−$2,078
− Depreciation
−$8,287
Taxable loss
−$8,118
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,948
After-tax cash flow
$-1,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Burnettown

Score
64/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#14711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
931
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
12,385
Household income
$84,228
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
213.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.38%
Current HPI
286.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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