369 Lycoming Ave · Oak Valley, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Driveway parking with 3 spaces; 3 total garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Good condition; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
- Exterior features: Outbuilding(s); Secure storage; Deck(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the lower level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Exposed beams
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($103/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $310k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $310k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.6% in Oak Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#276 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Deptford Township Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #326 of 472 in NJ (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Deptford Township Middle School (math 26% / reading 53%, grade F, #201 of 431 statewide, top 48%, 928 students, 31% FRL); Deptford Township High School (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #284 of 399 statewide, top 72%, 1,084 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $340k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.11%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $394,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Princeton Blvd | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 | 1,773 (+1%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $226 | 80 |
| 566 Muhlenberg Ave | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+3%) | 0mo | $335,000 | $186 | 75 |
| 616 Fairview Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,807 (+3%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $177 | 67 |
| 480 Princeton Blvd | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-11%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $256 | 66 |
| 418 Westminster Rd | 0.34mi | 5/1.0 | 1,560 (-11%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $192 | 65 |
| 458 Westminister Rd | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-11%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $202 | 61 |
| 428 Temple Ct | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,915 (+9%) | 0mo | $430,000 | $225 | 56 |
| 250 Amherst Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,836 (+5%) | 2mo | $401,000 | $218 | 55 |
| 637 Muhlenberg Ave | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-11%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $228 | 49 |
| 417 Auburn St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,915 (+9%) | 6mo | $430,000 | $225 | 47 |
| 240 Elm Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,612 (-8%) | 4mo | $490,000 | $304 | 46 |
| 315 Ogden Sta Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,007 (+15%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $184 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-54,444
- Equity at exit
- $50,695
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-46,286
- Equity at exit
- $29,397
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08090
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$516 /mo · $6,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$651
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $105 | +0% $9 | +5% $-88 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-236 | -5% $-114 | +0% $9 | +5% $131 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $95 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-79 | +1.0pp $-169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Ogden Station Rd Wenonah, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $3,100 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-02$339,999 Active
-
2026-04-24historical $339,999
-
2014-09-09soldstatus $105,000
-
2014-09-03historical 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-08-29soldstatus $105,000 Sold 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-08-29soldstatus $105,000 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-08-14status Under Contract 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-07-23status Active 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-07-17status Under Contract 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-07-07historical 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-06-17price $109,900 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-05-13price $119,900 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-04-07$129,900 Active 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
-
2014-04-07$109,900 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,189 · $516/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,327 · $611/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,139/yr (+$95/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$6,189
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,976
- − Management
- −$2,976
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable loss
- −$5,577
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,338
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deptford Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403900
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,302
- Composite
- 28.48/100
- National rank
- #6741
- State rank
- #326 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Oak Valley
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #276
- US rank
- #8262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Valley, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,574
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scottish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.64%
- Current HPI
- 308.8974
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+209.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $339,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $339,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-03 Delisted — TREND
- 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $105,000 TREND
- 2014-08-14 Pending — TREND
- 2014-07-23 Relisted — TREND
- 2014-07-17 Pending — TREND
- 2014-07-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-17 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
- 2014-05-13 Price Changed $119,900 TREND
- 2014-04-07 Listed $129,900 TREND
- 2014-04-07 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $6,189 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…