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369 Lycoming Ave
D+ Composite 46.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,999

369 Lycoming Ave · Oak Valley, NJ 08090
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1956 8,712 sqft lot Est $394k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; Driveway parking with 3 spaces; 3 total garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Good condition; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding(s); Secure storage; Deck(s)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Exposed beams

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($103/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $310k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $310k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.6% in Oak Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#276 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Deptford Township Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #326 of 472 in NJ (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Deptford Township Middle School (math 26% / reading 53%, grade F, #201 of 431 statewide, top 48%, 928 students, 31% FRL); Deptford Township High School (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #284 of 399 statewide, top 72%, 1,084 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $340k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $310,000 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
410 Princeton Blvd 0.22mi 5/2.0 1,773 (+1%) 4mo $400,000 $226 80
566 Muhlenberg Ave 0.33mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,800 (+3%) 0mo $335,000 $186 75
616 Fairview Ave 0.35mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,807 (+3%) 5mo $320,000 $177 67
480 Princeton Blvd 0.08mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-11%) 3mo $399,000 $256 66
418 Westminster Rd 0.34mi 5/1.0 1,560 (-11%) 1mo $300,000 $192 65
458 Westminister Rd 0.28mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-11%) 3mo $315,000 $202 61
428 Temple Ct 0.45mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,915 (+9%) 0mo $430,000 $225 56
250 Amherst Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,836 (+5%) 2mo $401,000 $218 55
637 Muhlenberg Ave 0.58mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-11%) 1mo $355,000 $228 49
417 Auburn St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,915 (+9%) 6mo $430,000 $225 47
240 Elm Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (-8%) 4mo $490,000 $304 46
315 Ogden Sta Rd 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,007 (+15%) 5mo $370,000 $184 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.1%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-54,444
Equity at exit
$50,695
10-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-46,286
Equity at exit
$29,397

Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08090

Home prices YoY
-25.1%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,783
Tax from tax record
$516 /mo · $6,189/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$651
Net cashflow
$9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,089
Max offer price $339,999
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $201 -5% $105 +0% $9 +5% $-88 +10% $-184
Rent -10% $-236 -5% $-114 +0% $9 +5% $131 +10% $254
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $95 base $9 +0.5pp $-79 +1.0pp $-169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,000
Closing costs
$10,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
114 Ogden Station Rd Wenonah, NJ 4.0 2.0 1617 $3,100 $1.92 0d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $339,999 Active
  4. 2026-04-24
    historical $339,999
  5. 2014-09-09
    soldstatus $105,000
  6. 2014-09-03
    historical 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  7. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus $105,000 Sold 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  8. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus $105,000 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  9. 2014-08-14
    status Under Contract 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  10. 2014-07-23
    status Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  11. 2014-07-17
    status Under Contract 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  12. 2014-07-07
    historical 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  13. 2014-06-17
    price $109,900 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  14. 2014-05-13
    price $119,900 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  15. 2014-04-07
    listed $129,900 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

  16. 2014-04-07
    listed $109,900 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This expanded cape features all new vinyl windows, beautiful upgraded kitchen cabinets, a dining room addition with french doors leading to a a large wooden deck and secluded rear yard next to the former club house of Oak Valley Golf club. The home has gas heat, central air conditioning and a newer gas hot water heater. The home is being sold "as-is".

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,189 · $516/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,327 · $611/mo
Expected delta
+$1,139/yr (+$95/mo · 18.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,200
− Mortgage interest
−$19,045
− Property taxes
−$6,189
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,976
− Management
−$2,976
− Depreciation
−$9,891
Taxable loss
−$5,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,338
After-tax cash flow
$1,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Deptford Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3403900
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,302
Composite
28.48/100
National rank
#6741
State rank
#326 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Oak Valley

Score
69/100
State rank
#276
US rank
#8262

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Valley, NJ
Population (ZIP)
9,574

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scottish 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.64%
Current HPI
308.8974
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+209.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $339,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $339,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2014-09-03 Delisted TREND
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $105,000 TREND
  • 2014-08-14 Pending TREND
  • 2014-07-23 Relisted TREND
  • 2014-07-17 Pending TREND
  • 2014-07-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-06-17 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
  • 2014-05-13 Price Changed $119,900 TREND
  • 2014-04-07 Listed $129,900 TREND
  • 2014-04-07 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,189 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…