🏷️ Likely Rental
2035 N US-31 N #2106 · Traverse City, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tamarack Lodge! Fractional ownership. Blue Spruce room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 22). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc). The purchase price is a one time fee guaranteeing your week 22 year after year as long as you pay the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and cleaning fee. Get your piece of the North today!
Key facts
- Sugar sand beach
- Water views
- Private entrance
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 64.7% vs local median 1.7% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 64.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 208.51%
- DSCR
- 10.28
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,956
- List price
- $24,500
- Delta
- -88.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.72×
- Total profit
- $66,698
- Equity at exit
- $3,653
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.76×
- Total profit
- $135,565
- Equity at exit
- $2,118
Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49686
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$128
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $368/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$73
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $1,192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,209 | -5% $1,200 | +0% $1,192 | +5% $1,183 | +10% $1,175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,049 | -5% $1,120 | +0% $1,192 | +5% $1,264 | +10% $1,335 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,204 | -0.5pp $1,198 | base $1,192 | +0.5pp $1,186 | +1.0pp $1,179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,125
- Closing costs
- $735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,419 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $73 · $876/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $24,500 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $24,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $24,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $24,500 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $24,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $24,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $24,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $24,500 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $24,500 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $24,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $24,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $24,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $12,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Fractional ownership. Blue Spruce room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 22). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc). The purchase price is a one time fee guaranteeing your week 22 year after year as long as you pay the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and cleaning fee. Get your piece of the North today!
-
2026-04-02price $13,500 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2026-04-02price $13,500
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2026-04-02price $13,500
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2026-03-18$24,500 Active
-
2025-04-01$13,900 Active 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Fractional ownership. Blue Spruce room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 22). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc). The purchase price is a one time fee guaranteeing your week 22 year after year as long as you pay the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and cleaning fee. Get your piece of the North today!
-
2024-12-17price $17,800 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-12-17price $17,800
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-12-17price $17,800
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-10-04price $19,500 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-10-04price $21,000
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-10-04price $19,500
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2023-12-24$25,000 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2023-12-24$22,000 Active
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2023-12-24$27,500 Active
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Blue Room 2106 is a 1,521 sq ft, 2br, 2ba ground floor unit. One of the bedrooms is a "Lock-off" with its own private entrance. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. This is a fixed week unit (week 38). $73 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,786
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,372
- − Property taxes
- −$368
- − Insurance
- −$122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,743
- − Management
- −$1,743
- − HOA
- −$876
- − Depreciation
- −$713
- Taxable income
- $14,849
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Traverse City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,645
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2990
- State rank
- #94 of 540 in MI
Livability — Traverse City
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #46
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
- City population
- 47,077
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,492
- Household income
- $71,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,241 people
- By 2030
- 107,172 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 115,676 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 122,377 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 136,554 · +33.6%
- By 2100
- 137,871 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.28%
- Current HPI
- 352.4866
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-52.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $24,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-01 Listed $13,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $17,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $17,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $17,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $19,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $19,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-24 Listed $27,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-24 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-24 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…