2027 Midnight St · Port Charlotte, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Port Charlotte! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home sits on a spacious 10,000 sqft lot and offers approximately 1,184 sq ft of living space, providing a solid canvas for renovation, rental, or resale. The functional floor plan and generous lot size allow for multiple value-add possibilities, including interior updates, exterior enhancements, or long-term rental optimization. Located in an established neighborhood with no HOA, this property is conveniently close to shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways, making it attractive for both short and long term tenants. Strong rental demand in the area supports potential cash flow, while the l
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Interior updates
- No hoa
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RSF3.5
- Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story (listed as two levels); Faces east
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation details; Built on lot of approximately 0.23 acres (80 x 125)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt/paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 953 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $115k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.22%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,648
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2094 Backton St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,201 (+1%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $107 | 75 |
| 2341 Granadeer St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,183 (-0%) | 5mo | $223,000 | $189 | 68 |
| 2174 Taunt St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-11%) | 5mo | $192,000 | $183 | 62 |
| 18104 Windingvail Ave | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,263 (+7%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $177 | 61 |
| 18275 Cortland Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,273 (+8%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 18033 Cochran Blvd | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,090 (-8%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 18103 Clanton Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-3%) | 12mo | $197,500 | $172 | 44 |
| 2394 Box St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,012 (-14%) | 7mo | $156,000 | $154 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $11,237
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $33,894
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33948
- Home prices YoY
- -14.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 953
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,956 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $557
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $622 | -5% $589 | +0% $557 | +5% $524 | +10% $492 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $402 | -5% $479 | +0% $557 | +5% $634 | +10% $711 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $586 | base $557 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $497 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2223 Tinker St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $2,400 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1261 Joplin Ave NW Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2586 Auburn Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2457 Haven St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,775 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17319 Terry Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $2,095 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 17230 Belmont Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,375 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2113 Como St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2022 Dorion St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1225 Armsdale Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,525 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 17107 Thompson Ave Unit 17107 Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 19505 Quesada Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $2,800 | $3.51 | 14d | 8 | 1.37mi |
| 979 Roseway Ter NW Unit 979 Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 979 Roseway Ter NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,525 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2023 Fraser St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1515 Forrest Nelson Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 899 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 22d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 2021 Fraser St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 19335 Water Oak Dr #108 Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 18118 Sullivan Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,860 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2046 Hilton St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,375 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2084 Hilton St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19price $115,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2025-12-22$180,000 Active
-
1998-12-31soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,249 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,249 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,249
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,877
- − Management
- −$1,877
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $5,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Charlotte
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #655
- US rank
- #13081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Charlotte, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 102,180
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,696
- Household income
- $62,744
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 501.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.31%
- Current HPI
- 315.0548
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+242.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-22 Listed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,249 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…