4320 Monterey #16 · San Jose, CA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 582 square feet of living space with practical features throughout. The kitchen includes granite countertops, an oven range, and a dishwasher, providing essential cooking conveniences. Flooring consists of laminate and tile, combining durability and ease of maintenance. The updated bathroom features a tub for added functionality. Central forced air heating and central AC cooling ensure year-round comfort. The dining area is integrated into the living room, creating an open and accessible space for meals. Laundry needs are covered with a washer and dryer included. The property is located within a designated school district. Near flea market , super market , restaurants , stores . Easy access to Freeway 101
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Oven range
- Dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park home on leased land; Property primary ID 494166; Not in an incorporated area
- HOA & community: HOA amenities: other (see remarks); Board approval required; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces); 16 numbered parking space; Assigned space rent $910
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities; Individual electric meters
- Home design: Single-story
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Leased land (park home site); Assessor-reported lot size
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite countertops; Dishwasher; Oven range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating; Electric heating; Central forced air cooling
- Interior features: Updated bathroom; Tub
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Oak Grove Elementary (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #339 of 1,400 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $68/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.54%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,264
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- 20.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4320 Monterey Rd #7 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 555 (-5%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $333 | 83 |
| 4320 Monterey Hwy #15 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 520 (-11%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $212 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $26,984
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $86,527
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Jose
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
ZIP-level market 95111
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,374 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$68 /mo · $814/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $1,084
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4501 Snell Ave San Jose, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $3,599 | $3.99 | 1d | 18 | 0.44mi |
| 4300 The Woods Dr San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 918 | $3,484 | $3.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4000 Ellmar Oaks Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $3,828 | $4.37 | 1d | 32 | 0.85mi |
| 5322 Wong Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $3,217 | $4.02 | 1d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 5210 Monterey Hwy San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $2,016 | $3.56 | 1d | 3 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-13$219,000 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 582 square feet of living space with practical features throughout. The kitchen includes granite countertops, an oven range, and a dishwasher, providing essential cooking conveniences. Flooring consists of laminate and tile, combining durability and ease of maintenance. The updated bathroom features a tub for added functionality. Central forced air heating and central AC cooling ensure year-round comfort. The dining area is integrated into the living room, creating an open and accessible space for meals. Laundry needs are covered with a washer and dryer included. The property is located within a designated school district. Near flea market , super market , restaurants , stores . Easy access to Freeway 101
-
2026-05-13$219,000 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 582 square feet of living space with practical features throughout. The kitchen includes granite countertops, an oven range, and a dishwasher, providing essential cooking conveniences. Flooring consists of laminate and tile, combining durability and ease of maintenance. The updated bathroom features a tub for added functionality. Central forced air heating and central AC cooling ensure year-round comfort. The dining area is integrated into the living room, creating an open and accessible space for meals. Laundry needs are covered with a washer and dryer included. The property is located within a designated school district. Near flea market , super market , restaurants , stores . Easy access to Freeway 101
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $200,000 Sold 1183-char remark
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Welcome to this charming Westfield mobile home located in the desirable Walnut Mobile Home Park in San Jose, California. This cozy home is approximately 577 square feet and features two bedrooms and one bathroom. The interior and exterior have been painted to give the home a fresh and modern look. This mobile home has a space rent of $890. You can own a home for less than you would pay to rent one. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by a cozy living room and a spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, stove, oven gas, pull-down faucet and double sinks. The bathroom includes a sink with a Formica countertop, tile backsplash, and a medicine cabinet, and a shower and tub with tile. There is a laundry room inside the hallway. Other features include double pane windows, A/C and laminate flooring throughout, making it easy to maintain. There is a two-car carport and visitor parking close to the property, as well as a storage shed for additional storage space. Situated in a convenient, friendly neighborhood near shopping & freeways 85 & 87. Don't miss your opportunity to tour this mobile home. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $200,000
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Welcome to this charming Westfield mobile home located in the desirable Walnut Mobile Home Park in San Jose, California. This cozy home is approximately 577 square feet and features two bedrooms and one bathroom. The interior and exterior have been painted to give the home a fresh and modern look. This mobile home has a space rent of $890. You can own a home for less than you would pay to rent one. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by a cozy living room and a spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, stove, oven gas, pull-down faucet and double sinks. The bathroom includes a sink with a Formica countertop, tile backsplash, and a medicine cabinet, and a shower and tub with tile. There is a laundry room inside the hallway. Other features include double pane windows, A/C and laminate flooring throughout, making it easy to maintain. There is a two-car carport and visitor parking close to the property, as well as a storage shed for additional storage space. Situated in a convenient, friendly neighborhood near shopping & freeways 85 & 87. Don't miss your opportunity to tour this mobile home. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-05-01status Pending (Do Not Show) 1183-char remark
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Welcome to this charming Westfield mobile home located in the desirable Walnut Mobile Home Park in San Jose, California. This cozy home is approximately 577 square feet and features two bedrooms and one bathroom. The interior and exterior have been painted to give the home a fresh and modern look. This mobile home has a space rent of $890. You can own a home for less than you would pay to rent one. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by a cozy living room and a spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, stove, oven gas, pull-down faucet and double sinks. The bathroom includes a sink with a Formica countertop, tile backsplash, and a medicine cabinet, and a shower and tub with tile. There is a laundry room inside the hallway. Other features include double pane windows, A/C and laminate flooring throughout, making it easy to maintain. There is a two-car carport and visitor parking close to the property, as well as a storage shed for additional storage space. Situated in a convenient, friendly neighborhood near shopping & freeways 85 & 87. Don't miss your opportunity to tour this mobile home. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-04-01$215,000 Active 1183-char remark
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Welcome to this charming Westfield mobile home located in the desirable Walnut Mobile Home Park in San Jose, California. This cozy home is approximately 577 square feet and features two bedrooms and one bathroom. The interior and exterior have been painted to give the home a fresh and modern look. This mobile home has a space rent of $890. You can own a home for less than you would pay to rent one. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by a cozy living room and a spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, stove, oven gas, pull-down faucet and double sinks. The bathroom includes a sink with a Formica countertop, tile backsplash, and a medicine cabinet, and a shower and tub with tile. There is a laundry room inside the hallway. Other features include double pane windows, A/C and laminate flooring throughout, making it easy to maintain. There is a two-car carport and visitor parking close to the property, as well as a storage shed for additional storage space. Situated in a convenient, friendly neighborhood near shopping & freeways 85 & 87. Don't miss your opportunity to tour this mobile home. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-04-01$215,000
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Welcome to this charming Westfield mobile home located in the desirable Walnut Mobile Home Park in San Jose, California. This cozy home is approximately 577 square feet and features two bedrooms and one bathroom. The interior and exterior have been painted to give the home a fresh and modern look. This mobile home has a space rent of $890. You can own a home for less than you would pay to rent one. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by a cozy living room and a spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, stove, oven gas, pull-down faucet and double sinks. The bathroom includes a sink with a Formica countertop, tile backsplash, and a medicine cabinet, and a shower and tub with tile. There is a laundry room inside the hallway. Other features include double pane windows, A/C and laminate flooring throughout, making it easy to maintain. There is a two-car carport and visitor parking close to the property, as well as a storage shed for additional storage space. Situated in a convenient, friendly neighborhood near shopping & freeways 85 & 87. Don't miss your opportunity to tour this mobile home. Schedule a viewing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone D · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,484
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,909
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,239
- − Management
- −$3,239
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $10,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,442
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oak Grove Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0627810
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,404
- Composite
- 49.23/100
- National rank
- #4382
- State rank
- #339 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Jose
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #2559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Jose, CA
- County
- Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
- City population
- 954,479
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,202
- Household income
- $101,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,179,074 people
- By 2030
- 2,301,297 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 2,528,195 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 2,712,135 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 2,998,701 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 2,931,429 · +34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% Asian 36% Two or more races 22% White 7% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Foreign-born
- 45% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 40% Vietnamese 24% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1144.74%
- Current HPI
- 339.7949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+1.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $219,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-05-13 Listed $219,000 MLSListings
- 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $200,000 MLSListings
- 2024-05-01 Pending — MLSListings
- 2024-04-01 Listed $215,000 MLSListings
Property tax history
-14.0%/yrLatest (2011): $359 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…