🏷️ Likely Rental
825 S Elm St · Kennewick, WA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,695
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
We do not accept 3rd party applications or viewing requests. 3 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bath 1295 sqft Home in Kennewick Enjoy fresh updates and comfortable living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offering 1,295 sqft of functional space and natural light throughout. Newly painted interiors create a clean, modern feel, while oversized windows brighten the open living areas. The kitchen is designed for convenience with a breakfast bar, generous cabinet storage, and plenty of counterspace for cooking. A convenient half bath is located on the main floor, and the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet for added storage. Outside, you’ll find a fully fenced backyard plus a 1-car g
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Oversized windows
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One total parking space; One covered space; One-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence; Site-built on owned lot; Two-story home; New construction
- Construction: Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 3,049 sq ft (0.07 acres); Zoned for single-family residential; Subdivision: PARKER BROTHERS
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Recommended offer: $2k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 950.9% vs local median 3.3% in Kennewick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#131 in WA, #2,599 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eastgate Elementary School (494 students, 85% FRL); Park Middle School (692 students, 89% FRL); Kennewick High School (1,785 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 48% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $51 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $475 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 100.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 950.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3373.65%
- DSCR
- 151.11
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,881
- List price
- $1,695
- Delta
- -99.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 821 S Elm St | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (0%) | 5mo | $319,998 | $256 | 94 |
| 620 E 7th Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+6%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $246 | 77 |
| 736 E 5th Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-2%) | 10mo | $314,000 | $256 | 75 |
| 218 E 8th Pl | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+13%) | 1mo | $246,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 451 E 15th Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $306 | 64 |
| 205 E 15th Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,183 (-5%) | 7mo | $306,000 | $259 | 63 |
| 1111 E 6th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+6%) | 8mo | $349,000 | $263 | 61 |
| 1401 E 6th Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+8%) | 8mo | $324,900 | $240 | 52 |
| 2183 S Elm Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (+9%) | 5mo | $394,900 | $290 | 50 |
| 21 E 2nd Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,204 (-4%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $212 | 48 |
| 305 W 10th Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,369 (+10%) | 8mo | $312,000 | $228 | 47 |
| 2150 S Elm Pl | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,435 (+15%) | 1mo | $412,900 | $288 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 180.95×
- Total profit
- $85,403
- Equity at exit
- $253
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 394.33×
- Total profit
- $186,675
- Equity at exit
- $147
Cash invested: $475 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99336
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,704 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $25/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $1,334
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,335 | -5% $1,335 | +0% $1,334 | +5% $1,334 | +10% $1,333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,200 | -5% $1,267 | +0% $1,334 | +5% $1,402 | +10% $1,469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,335 | -0.5pp $1,335 | base $1,334 | +0.5pp $1,334 | +1.0pp $1,333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $424
- Closing costs
- $51
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 E 10th Ave Lot 10 Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,425 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 402 E 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 212 N Elm St Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1782 | $4,705 | $2.64 | 15d | 19 | 0.84mi |
| 705 S Ione St Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $2,000 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 919 E 27th Ave Kennewick, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1114 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,551 | $1.87 | 15d | 41 | 1.14mi |
| 1000 W 5th Ave Kennewick, WA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,371 | $1.18 | 15d | 4 | 1.15mi |
| 1110 S Newport St Unit 1110ne B Kennewick, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 505 S Olympia St Unit 1326 K3 Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,650 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 505 S Olympia St Apt H1 Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,675 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 425 S Olympia St Kennewick, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,335 | $1.33 | 15d | 9 | 1.33mi |
| 911 W Entiat Ave Kennewick, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1392 | $1,999 | $1.44 | 22d | 5 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,695 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,695 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,695 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,695 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,695 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1,695 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,695 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,695 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,695 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,695 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,695 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,695 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,695 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,695 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,695 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,695 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1,695 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-10historical $1,695
-
2026-05-08$1,695
-
2026-05-07$1,695 Active 1527-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$95
- − Property taxes
- −$25
- − Insurance
- −$8
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,636
- − Management
- −$1,636
- − Depreciation
- −$49
- Taxable income
- $16,996
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennewick School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303930
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,191
- Composite
- 45.56/100
- National rank
- #5667
- State rank
- #141 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kennewick
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #2599
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kennewick, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 104,655
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,735
- Household income
- $62,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2605.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.1143
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Rental Removed $1,695 APPFOLIO
- 2026-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,695 APPFOLIO
- 2026-05-07 Listed $1,695 PACMLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,436 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…