🏷️ Likely Rental
465-467 Lillon Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
$394,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Beautifully Renovated Duplex in Lehigh Acres – Fully Rented , Enjoy the benefits of a spacious corner location, with more yard space and no immediate neighbors on one side. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity to own a well-maintained and recently updated duplex in the growing community of Lehigh Acres. Each side of the property features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing spacious living areas ideal for families or tenants. Both units are currently rented at $1,700 per month each, generating immediate rental income. One lease is secured through January 2026, offering stability for investors, while the other unit is rented month-to-month, giving the new owner flexibility to
Key facts
- Renovated duplex
- More yard space
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease expires 2026-01-31; Tenants pay electricity and internet; Pets allowed
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $31,600; Operating expenses: $9,200; Actual rent per unit: $1,700 (pro forma $1,700)
- HOA & community: No association fee; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Each unit has an attached garage (1 garage space per unit)
- Utilities: Cable available; Septic tank; Well water
- Home design: Multifamily building with 2 units; Resale property; Zoning: RM-2
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes cooktop, range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unfurnished)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms total (two in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Tile flooring; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in each residence
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $148/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $376k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $348k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,764/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 434% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.20%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $526,726
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314/316 Limerick Ave S | 0.60mi | 6/4.0 | 2,398 (+2%) | 13mo | $535,000 | $223 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $222,867
- Equity at exit
- $355,757
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $621,822
- Equity at exit
- $767,204
Cash invested: $110,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33974
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 2460
- Price-to-rent
- 17.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,764 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax from tax record
- −$443 /mo · $5,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$790
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,764 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,882 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,882 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,764 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,725
- Closing costs
- $11,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19972 Green Pasture Rd Lehigh Acres, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2959 | $3,000 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $394,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $394,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $394,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $394,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $394,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $394,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $394,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $394,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $394,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2025-12-22price $394,900
-
2025-12-03price $399,900
-
2025-12-03price $399,000
-
2025-10-13price $422,000
-
2025-09-18$427,000 Active
-
2023-12-01soldstatus $430,000
-
2016-10-20soldstatus $179,900
-
2005-05-12soldstatus $57,500
-
2004-12-21soldstatus $29,900
-
2004-12-21soldstatus $20,000
-
1987-03-19soldstatus $15,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,316 · $443/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,316 · $443/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,121
- − Property taxes
- −$5,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,613
- − Management
- −$3,613
- − Depreciation
- −$11,488
- Taxable loss
- −$2,957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$710
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,252/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,927
- Household income
- $72,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 434.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.53%
- Current HPI
- 303.3399
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2415.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $394,900 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $399,900 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $399,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $422,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $427,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2005-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2004-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
- 1987-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,316 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…