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7300 Ciruelos St
B- Composite 65.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

7300 Ciruelos St · Perezville, TX 78572
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,217 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 2003 5,998 sqft lot $30/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special! Bring Your Vision. Solid block construction, 2 story, 6 bed/3 bath home in Palmview offering 3,217 sqft of potential on a 60x100 lot. Built in 2003 on a slab foundation with a 2 car carport, split bedroom layout, and walk in closets. Property is being sold as-is, interior is unfinished and ready for a full custom build out. The shell is structurally sound and ready for the right investor to finish and flip or hold. At $95,000, that's just $29/sqft, well below the Hidalgo CAD appraised value of $174,403.

Key facts

  • 5,998 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2003

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Escrow amount listed (900)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car carport (attached)
  • Utilities: Public water; City sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property (per lot/area data); Entry level information not provided; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Construction materials: Other; Roof: Other; Building area approximately 3,217 (units recorded)
  • Exterior features: Fencing: Other; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Water heater (other); No conveying appliances
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms arranged with split layout
  • Flooring: Tile; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Split bedroom floor plan; Walk-in closet(s); Countertops: Other; No window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.9% in Perezville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#743 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Evangelina Garza El (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Ann Richards Middle (math 21% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 729 students, 96% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 54% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 852 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
10.11%
Cash-on-cash
13.62%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$246,046
List price
$95,000
Delta
-61.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,097
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$5,991
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78572

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
852
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,198/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $289 -5% $262 +0% $236 +5% $209 +10% $182
Rent -10% $125 -5% $180 +0% $236 +5% $291 +10% $346
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $260 base $236 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-04-22
    listed $95,000 Active 526-char remark
  19. 2025-04-01
    price $89,000
  20. 2025-03-21
    price $90,000
  21. 2025-03-10
    soldstatus
  22. 2024-12-20
    listed $95,000 Active
  23. 2024-10-17
    status Active
  24. 2024-08-20
    status Pending
  25. 2024-08-09
    historical Option
  26. 2024-04-02
    status Active
  27. 2024-03-03
    historical Option
  28. 2024-02-14
    price $105,000
  29. 2023-09-09
    listed $135,000 Active
  30. 2000-05-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,198 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,198 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,804
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$3,198
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,560
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$374
After-tax cash flow
$2,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Joya ISD
NCES district ID
4826130
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$27,845
Composite
18.65/100
National rank
#8891
State rank
#759 of 826 in TX

Livability — Perezville

Score
64/100
State rank
#743
US rank
#13748

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perezville, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
78,024
Household income
$54,298
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 47% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 80%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Portuguese 0%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 76%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.35%
Current HPI
209.3573
Rent YoY
▲ 0.93%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $95,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $89,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $90,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-12-20 Listed $95,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-08-20 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-08-09 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-03-03 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-02-14 Price Changed $105,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2023-09-09 Listed $135,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2000-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,198 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…