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2857 Woodbrook Ave 🔨 Auction
B- Composite 68.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

2857 Woodbrook Ave · Baltimore, MD 21217
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Townhouse public records · 180 Days on market
Built 1920 871 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 4/23/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 4/27/2026 @ 12:00 PM The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Auchentoroly-Parkwood neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Druid Hill Park and the Maryland Zoo. Major traffic routes in the vicinity include North Fulton Avenue and Reisterstown Road, providing access to downtown Baltimore and surrounding areas.

Key facts

  • Druid hill park
  • Major traffic routes
  • Maryland zoo

Tags

TWO-STORY BRICK ROWHOMEDRUID HILL PARKMARYLAND ZOOMAJOR TRAFFIC ROUTES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $20,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $89,760 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,684/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $621 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $180k (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 6.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $17,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.90%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2820 Woodbrook Ave 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,232 (-7%) 2mo $85,000 $69 83
2311 Orem Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,284 (-3%) 4mo $35,000 $27 82
2818 Woodbrook Ave 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-7%) 3mo $45,500 $37 80
2418 Druid Hill Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,328 (+1%) 6mo $77,000 $58 74
700 Cumberland St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (-3%) 3mo $107,800 $84 66
1735 N Payson St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,250 (-5%) 6mo $95,000 $76 63
2115 Mcculloh St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,350 (+2%) 4mo $77,000 $57 59
2453 Mcculloh St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,460 (+11%) 3mo $99,900 $68 57
3014 Tioga Pkwy 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,360 (+3%) 4mo $180,000 $132 55
1719 Baker St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+6%) 2mo $19,250 $14 52
1537 N Smallwood St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-9%) 3mo $56,000 $47 49
1722 N Bentalou St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (+10%) 3mo $245,000 $169 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$37,079
Equity at exit
$13,384
10-year hold
IRR
42.2%
Equity multiple
5.73×
Total profit
$118,814
Equity at exit
$7,761

Cash invested: $25,133 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21217

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,684 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,346/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$710

Break-even live

Break-even rent $785
Max offer price $89,760
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $772 -5% $741 +0% $710 +5% $679 +10% $648
Rent -10% $577 -5% $644 +0% $710 +5% $777 +10% $843
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $733 base $710 +0.5pp $687 +1.0pp $663

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,440
Closing costs
$2,693
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2231 Orem Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,750 $1.54 18d 1 0.10mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.13mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,650 $1.49 44d 1 0.13mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.13mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 18d 1 0.14mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 44d 1 0.14mi
2330 Bryant Ave Unit 4 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 20d 1 0.21mi
2636 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 846 $956 $1.13 24d 4 0.22mi
2505 Woodbrook Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1256 $1,745 $1.39 2d 1 0.23mi
2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,141 $1.16 5d 4 0.26mi
1515 Retreat St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,800 $1.64 24d 1 0.27mi
1507 Retreat St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1098 $2,500 $2.28 44d 1 0.27mi
3401 Woodbrook Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,199 $1.33 24d 1 0.29mi
2449 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 44d 1 0.37mi
1930 N Payson St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 980 $1,500 $1.53 24d 1 0.37mi
2409 Francis St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1298 $1,500 $1.16 44d 1 0.38mi
2433 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,999 $1.83 44d 1 0.39mi
2511 Madison Ave #2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 44d 1 0.39mi
1806 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 20d 1 0.41mi
1624 Westwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 44d 1 0.41mi
1729 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1081 $1,795 $1.66 44d 1 0.44mi
2204 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 5d 1 0.45mi
1121 Whitelock St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 44d 1 0.46mi
1722 N Monroe St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,350 $1.35 24d 1 0.47mi
519 Sanford Pl Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 16d 1 0.50mi
1205 Clendenin St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1560 $800 $0.51 24d 1 0.52mi
1616 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,795 $1.11 5d 1 0.55mi
2339 Eutaw Pl Ste 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,275 $0.98 44d 1 0.56mi
1614 N Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 44d 1 0.56mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 24d 1 0.61mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 11d 1 0.61mi
810 Brooks Ln Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 20d 1 0.61mi
1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1830 $1,750 $0.96 15d 1 0.63mi
1534 N Stricker St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 900 $1,475 $1.64 15d 1 0.63mi
2143 Druid Hill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 915 $1,400 $1.53 44d 1 0.63mi
2401 Brookfield Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1102 $1,675 $1.52 24d 3 0.66mi
2407 Brookfield Ave Unit 4 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 44d 1 0.66mi
2910 Reisterstown Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,414 $1.49 15d 4 0.67mi
2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1826 $1,900 $1.04 5d 1 0.68mi
2202 Brookfield Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 980 $1,600 $1.63 44d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-04
    status Active
  3. 2025-06-07
    status Pending
  4. 2025-06-07
    historical
  5. 2025-05-28
    price $20,000
  6. 2025-05-27
    listed $200,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,208
− Mortgage interest
−$5,028
− Property taxes
−$1,346
− Insurance
−$449
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− Depreciation
−$2,611
Taxable income
$7,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,810
After-tax cash flow
$6,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
30,792
Household income
$38,409
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.20%
Current HPI
104.2102
Rent YoY
▲ 6.63%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-90.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-04 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-07 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-27 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,891 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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