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86 Edson St Duplex
A Composite 89.67
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,000

86 Edson St · Buffalo, NY 14210
7 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,972 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 3,672 sqft lot Est $265k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Unique 2 unit property. Lower has 4 bedrooms. Upper has 3 bedrooms. Beautiful natural woodwork throughout the property. Gorgeous wood pillars as room divider for the upper unit between living room and dining room. Lower has a bright kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Some hardwood floors. Home has had drain tiles installed for a dry basement. Sewer line from house to road and trap have recently been replaced.

Key facts

  • 2 family multi
  • Generous lot
  • Proximity to parks

Tags

2 FAMILY MULTISTRONG CASH FLOW POTENTIALGENEROUS LOTSOLID RENTAL DEMANDPROXIMITY TO PARKSTRANSIT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters (2 each)
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water (for multi-unit); Operating expenses include water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story property; Existing (resale) condition; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 108

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $573/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,854/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $132k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $189,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
26.00%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,508
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Duerstein St 0.09mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,956 (-0%) 3mo $160,000 $54 88
41 Burch Ave 0.20mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,822 (-5%) 10mo $305,000 $108 64
109 Indian Church Rd 0.15mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,780 (-6%) 19mo $171,000 $62 61
118 Indian Church Rd 0.19mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,552 (-14%) 8mo $265,851 $104 56
85 Geary St 0.59mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,780 (-6%) 2mo $267,500 $96 54
35 Hayden St 0.69mi 7/3.0 3,012 (+1%) 18mo $225,000 $75 47
321 Mineral Springs Rd 0.67mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,958 (-0%) 21mo $230,100 $78 45
97 Red Jacket Pkwy 0.65mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,588 (-13%) 1mo $220,000 $85 42
55 Buffum St 0.26mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,592 (-13%) 23mo $240,000 $93 42
286 Cumberland Ave 0.74mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,768 (-7%) 12mo $247,391 $89 39
368 Cumberland Ave 0.63mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,597 (-13%) 15mo $315,000 $121 32
289 Mineral Springs Rd 0.66mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,604 (-12%) 22mo $55,000 $21 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.6%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$190,958
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
11.24×
Total profit
$542,127
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,854 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $460/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$599
Net cashflow
$1,146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,403
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,253 -5% $1,200 +0% $1,146 +5% $1,093 +10% $1,039
Rent -10% $921 -5% $1,034 +0% $1,146 +5% $1,259 +10% $1,372
Rate -1.0pp $1,242 -0.5pp $1,195 base $1,146 +0.5pp $1,098 +1.0pp $1,048

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,854

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $189,000 Active
  2. 2021-11-17
    soldstatus $132,000 Closed Sale or Rented 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Unique 2 unit property. Lower has 4 bedrooms. Upper has 3 bedrooms. Beautiful natural woodwork throughout the property. Gorgeous wood pillars as room divider for the upper unit between living room and dining room. Lower has a bright kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Some hardwood floors. Home has had drain tiles installed for a dry basement. Sewer line from house to road and trap have recently been replaced.

  3. 2021-11-15
    soldstatus $132,000
  4. 2021-08-19
    status Pending Sale 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Unique 2 unit property. Lower has 4 bedrooms. Upper has 3 bedrooms. Beautiful natural woodwork throughout the property. Gorgeous wood pillars as room divider for the upper unit between living room and dining room. Lower has a bright kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Some hardwood floors. Home has had drain tiles installed for a dry basement. Sewer line from house to road and trap have recently been replaced.

  5. 2021-08-09
    listed $132,000 Active 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Unique 2 unit property. Lower has 4 bedrooms. Upper has 3 bedrooms. Beautiful natural woodwork throughout the property. Gorgeous wood pillars as room divider for the upper unit between living room and dining room. Lower has a bright kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Some hardwood floors. Home has had drain tiles installed for a dry basement. Sewer line from house to road and trap have recently been replaced.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$460 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,827 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,367/yr (+$114/mo · 297.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,248
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$460
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,740
− Management
−$2,740
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$11,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,707
After-tax cash flow
$11,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $189,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-17 Sold (MLS) $132,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-19 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-09 Listed $132,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $460 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…