1301 S Maple St · Carthage, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,360
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath. .
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Local retail area
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: .17-acre lot
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Freestanding structure; 1,542 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl and wood flooring; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#131 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Carthage R-IX (town): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #183 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carthage Intermediate Center (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 772 students, 72% FRL); Carthage Jr. High (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 752 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $452 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.49%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $30,689
- Equity at exit
- $9,745
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.37×
- Total profit
- $79,903
- Equity at exit
- $5,651
Cash invested: $18,301 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64836
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$343
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $745/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $685 | -5% $667 | +0% $648 | +5% $630 | +10% $611 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $594 | +0% $648 | +5% $702 | +10% $756 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $681 | -0.5pp $665 | base $648 | +0.5pp $631 | +1.0pp $614 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,340
- Closing costs
- $1,961
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-17status $65,360 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,360 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,360 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,360 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,360 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,360 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,360 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,360 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,360 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,360 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,360 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,360 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,360 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,360 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,360 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$65,360 Active
-
2016-10-03soldstatus 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath. .
-
2016-10-03$102,000 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath. .
-
2016-10-03soldstatus
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath. .
-
2010-12-01soldstatus
-
1990-10-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $745 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $745 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,406
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,661
- − Property taxes
- −$745
- − Insurance
- −$327
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$1,901
- Taxable income
- $7,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,715
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carthage R-IX
- NCES district ID
- 2907460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,696
- Composite
- 31.85/100
- National rank
- #5874
- State rank
- #183 of 324 in MO
Livability — Carthage
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #7646
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carthage, MO
- County
- Jasper County · 79,035 people
- City population
- 26,562
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,562
- Household income
- $61,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,033 people
- By 2030
- 120,091 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 119,297 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 117,705 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 110,402 · -8.0%
- By 2100
- 99,719 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.61%
- Current HPI
- 250.499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-35.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $65,360 OGAR
- 2016-10-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-10-03 Listed $102,000 OGAR
- 2016-10-03 Sold (MLS) — OGAR
- 2010-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $745 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…