3844 8th St · Ecorse, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.3/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Opportunity awaits at 3844 8th Street in Ecorse. this property is being sold as-is and requires a complete renovation. Ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers looking for their next rehab project. The home offers approximately 1,248 square feet with 1.5 baths and sits on a residential lot in an established neighborhood. Bring your vision and tools - this property has significant upside potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or long-term hold. Cash or renovation financing only. Buyer to verify all information and property condition. Sold strictly as-is; seller to make no repairs.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (30 x 107.82)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 9.6% in Ecorse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.35%
- DSCR
- 4.53
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4067 High St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-3%) | 5mo | $119,000 | $98 | 69 |
| 20 W Broadway St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+1%) | 2mo | $49,000 | $39 | 65 |
| 3846 18th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,168 (-6%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $43 | 63 |
| 57 E Glenwood St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,214 (-3%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $66 | 62 |
| 4138 11th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (-9%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 4133 16th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-6%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 70 E Rockwood St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+4%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 41 Le Blanc St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (-9%) | 2mo | $112,500 | $99 | 57 |
| 3953 19th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (-15%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $47 | 46 |
| 19 Forest St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+11%) | 1mo | $45,625 | $33 | 45 |
| 26695 E Outer Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-12%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $95 | 43 |
| 4226 12th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,065 (-15%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $113 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.16×
- Total profit
- $60,229
- Equity at exit
- $31,441
- IRR
- 84.1%
- Equity multiple
- 15.85×
- Total profit
- $145,139
- Equity at exit
- $67,803
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48229
- Home prices YoY
- 33.9%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,504/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4282 7th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4435 High St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 81-13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 71-7 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4573 3rd St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4581 High St Unit 13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,120 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $34,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 615-char remark
-
2026-06-10$34,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$1,504
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $7,716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,852
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ecorse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612930
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,957
- Composite
- 3.46/100
- National rank
- #10075
- State rank
- #536 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ecorse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ecorse, MI
- City population
- 9,166
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,166
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 102.51%
- Current HPI
- 404.5927
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-09 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,504 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…