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931 Ashland St
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

931 Ashland St · Detroit, MI 48215
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1920 5,663 sqft lot $22/sqft · 84% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity! Welcome to 931 Ashland St, a spacious 4-bedroom home with living room, dining room, and dedicated office space, located in Detroit’s desirable Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with generous room sizes, providing flexibility for both owner-occupants and investors. The additional office space is ideal for working from home or can be converted to suit your needs. With strong bones and solid potential, this home is ready for renovation and customization. Situated in the Jefferson Chalmers area, known for its proximity to the Detroit River, parks, and ongoing revitalization, the neighborhood continues to attract homeowners and investors alike. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, waterfront parks, and major roadways, with easy access to Downtown Detroit and Grosse Pointe. This property does not have canal access. Sale is subject to approval by the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) and execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. Purchaser must submit a complete proposal including intended use, renovation timeline, proof of funds, scope of work with cost breakdown, and documentation of prior renovation projects (addresses and photos). DLBA retains the right to tax recapture for five (5) years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain tax abatements. Waiver requests are reviewed case-by-case and may require payment in lieu of taxes, subject to review of development pro forma and financing. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information. Excellent opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to renovate and add value in the Jefferson Chalmers waterfront community.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 55 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.92%
Cap rate
42.38%
Cash-on-cash
128.87%
DSCR
6.73
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$308,935
List price
$49,900
Delta
-83.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
888 Marlborough St 0.16mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,200 (-5%) 3mo $175,000 $80 74
875 Balfour St 0.51mi 4/2.5 2,338 (+1%) 6mo $610,000 $261 68
1108 Wayburn St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,176 (-6%) 1mo $340,000 $156 67
824 Philip St 0.11mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,084 (-10%) 11mo $169,999 $82 60
473 Chalmers St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,298 (-1%) 14mo $220,000 $96 58
561 Lakewood St 0.47mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,230 (-4%) 5mo $305,000 $137 56
1133 Balfour St 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,298 (-1%) 13mo $510,000 $222 53
428 Alter Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,431 (+5%) 13mo $210,000 $86 51
709 Middlesex Rd 0.61mi 4/2.5 2,550 (+10%) 4mo $565,000 $222 50
880 Pemberton Rd 0.25mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,650 (+14%) 11mo $570,000 $215 48
1107 Buckingham Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,010 (-13%) 14mo $544,500 $271 28
1178 Balfour St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,615 (+13%) 16mo $549,000 $210 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.27×
Total profit
$87,575
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.29×
Total profit
$199,701
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48215

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,455 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,879/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$1,500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,529 -5% $1,515 +0% $1,500 +5% $1,486 +10% $1,472
Rent -10% $1,307 -5% $1,403 +0% $1,500 +5% $1,597 +10% $1,694
Rate -1.0pp $1,526 -0.5pp $1,513 base $1,500 +0.5pp $1,488 +1.0pp $1,474

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
371 Piper Blvd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 2340 $2,000 $0.85 44d 1 0.81mi
685 Bedford Ln Grosse Pointe Park, MI 4.0 2.5 2690 $4,500 $1.67 11d 1 0.94mi
2174 Springle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2256 $1,150 $0.51 2d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $49,900 Pending 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-04-10
    listed $49,900 Active 1704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1704 chars)

    Great opportunity! Welcome to 931 Ashland St, a spacious 4-bedroom home with living room, dining room, and dedicated office space, located in Detroit’s desirable Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with generous room sizes, providing flexibility for both owner-occupants and investors. The additional office space is ideal for working from home or can be converted to suit your needs. With strong bones and solid potential, this home is ready for renovation and customization. Situated in the Jefferson Chalmers area, known for its proximity to the Detroit River, parks, and ongoing revitalization, the neighborhood continues to attract homeowners and investors alike. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, waterfront parks, and major roadways, with easy access to Downtown Detroit and Grosse Pointe. This property does not have canal access. Sale is subject to approval by the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) and execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. Purchaser must submit a complete proposal including intended use, renovation timeline, proof of funds, scope of work with cost breakdown, and documentation of prior renovation projects (addresses and photos). DLBA retains the right to tax recapture for five (5) years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain tax abatements. Waiver requests are reviewed case-by-case and may require payment in lieu of taxes, subject to review of development pro forma and financing. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information. Excellent opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to renovate and add value in the Jefferson Chalmers waterfront community.

  8. 2026-04-09
    listed $49,900 Active 1698-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1698 chars)

    Great opportunity! Welcome to 931 Ashland St, a spacious 4-bedroom home with living room, dining room, and dedicated office space, located in Detroit's desirable Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood. This property offers a functional layout with generous room sizes, providing flexibility for both owner-occupants and investors. The additional office space is ideal for working from home or can be converted to suit your needs. With strong bones and solid potential, this home is ready for renovation and customization. Situated in the Jefferson Chalmers area, known for its proximity to the Detroit River, parks, and ongoing revitalization, the neighborhood continues to attract homeowners and investors alike. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, waterfront parks, and major roadways, with easy access to Downtown Detroit and Grosse Pointe. This property does not have canal access. Sale is subject to approval by the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) and execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. Purchaser must submit a complete proposal including intended use, renovation timeline, proof of funds, scope of work with cost breakdown, and documentation of prior renovation projects (addresses and photos). DLBA retains the right to tax recapture for five (5) years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain tax abatements. Waiver requests are reviewed case-by-case and may require payment in lieu of taxes, subject to review of development pro forma and financing. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information. Excellent opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to renovate and add value in the Jefferson Chalmers waterfront community.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,879 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,879 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 52% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,462
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,879
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,357
− Management
−$2,357
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$18,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,409
After-tax cash flow
$13,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
10,238

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.84%
Current HPI
191.0405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,879 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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