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4228 Barbara Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$57,500

4228 Barbara Ave · Shreveport, LA 71109
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,131 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1960 0.73 ac lot $27/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential

Key facts

  • 0.73 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 148 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $57,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$132,727) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $398 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $679 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.51%
Cash-on-cash
40.04%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,727
List price
$57,500
Delta
-56.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4119 Greenwood Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,958 (-8%) 16mo $136,000 $69 48
4521 N Fairway Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,243 (+5%) 16mo $169,000 $75 38
3415 Warren 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,919 (-10%) 16mo $49,900 $26 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$29,430
Equity at exit
$13,381
10-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
5.59×
Total profit
$73,933
Equity at exit
$13,631

Cash invested: $16,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71109

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$302
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$537

Break-even live

Break-even rent $487
Max offer price $57,500
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $570 -5% $554 +0% $537 +5% $521 +10% $505
Rent -10% $445 -5% $491 +0% $537 +5% $583 +10% $629
Rate -1.0pp $566 -0.5pp $552 base $537 +0.5pp $522 +1.0pp $507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,375
Closing costs
$1,725
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4131 Barbara Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 0.16mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,500 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,500 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,500 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,500 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $57,500 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,500 Active 142 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $57,500 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,500 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,500 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,500 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $57,500 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $57,500 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $57,500 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $57,500 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,500 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $57,500 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    status Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential

  18. 2026-02-11
    status Pending 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential

  19. 2025-12-02
    listed $57,500 Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential

  20. 2025-06-18
    status Active
  21. 2025-06-10
    status Pending
  22. 2025-03-04
    status Active
  23. 2025-02-27
    historical Active Contingent
  24. 2024-09-10
    price $67,000
  25. 2024-05-06
    price $75,000
  26. 2024-01-17
    price $99,000
  27. 2023-11-12
    price $120,000
  28. 2023-10-17
    listed $135,000 Active
  29. 2005-11-07
    soldstatus
  30. 2003-12-02
    soldstatus
  31. 1994-07-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$713 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,007
− Mortgage interest
−$3,221
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$288
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,121
− Management
−$1,121
− Depreciation
−$1,673
Taxable income
$5,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,409
After-tax cash flow
$5,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
17,412
Household income
$32,939
Rent vs Own
58.3% rent · 41.7% own
Severe rent burden
1265.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% White 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
54.4158
Rent YoY
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-57.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-02-11 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $57,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-18 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-06-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-03-04 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-02-27 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $67,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-06 Price Changed $75,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-17 Price Changed $99,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-12 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-10-17 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-07-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+13.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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