🏷️ Likely Rental
4228 Barbara Ave · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$57,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential
Key facts
- 0.73 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 148 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $398 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $679 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.04%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,727
- List price
- $57,500
- Delta
- -56.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4119 Greenwood Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,958 (-8%) | 16mo | $136,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 4521 N Fairway Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,243 (+5%) | 16mo | $169,000 | $75 | 38 |
| 3415 Warren | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,919 (-10%) | 16mo | $49,900 | $26 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $29,430
- Equity at exit
- $13,381
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.59×
- Total profit
- $73,933
- Equity at exit
- $13,631
Cash invested: $16,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71109
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$302
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $713/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $570 | -5% $554 | +0% $537 | +5% $521 | +10% $505 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $445 | -5% $491 | +0% $537 | +5% $583 | +10% $629 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $566 | -0.5pp $552 | base $537 | +0.5pp $522 | +1.0pp $507 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,375
- Closing costs
- $1,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4131 Barbara Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,500 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $57,500 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $57,500 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $57,500 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $57,500 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $57,500 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $57,500 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $57,500 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $57,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $57,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $57,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $57,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $57,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,500 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $57,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-04-02status Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential
-
2026-02-11status Pending 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential
-
2025-12-02$57,500 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Investor Special!!! This property produces $1,400 monthly. Tenant is on month to month lease. You don't won't to miss out on this one! Sits on 2 lots with a lot of potential
-
2025-06-18status Active
-
2025-06-10status Pending
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2025-03-04status Active
-
2025-02-27historical Active Contingent
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2024-09-10price $67,000
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2024-05-06price $75,000
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2024-01-17price $99,000
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2023-11-12price $120,000
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2023-10-17$135,000 Active
-
2005-11-07soldstatus
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2003-12-02soldstatus
-
1994-07-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,221
- − Property taxes
- −$713
- − Insurance
- −$288
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,121
- − Management
- −$1,121
- − Depreciation
- −$1,673
- Taxable income
- $5,872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,409
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,038/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,412
- Household income
- $32,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1265.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 54.4158
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-57.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $57,500 NTREIS
- 2025-06-18 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-06-10 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-03-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-02-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $67,000 NTREIS
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $75,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-17 Price Changed $99,000 NTREIS
- 2023-11-12 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
- 2023-10-17 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $713 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…