Duplex
205 Victory Ave · Schenectady, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Beautifully renovated two-family home offering 2,754 square feet of modern living across two stylish units, perfect for investors seeking strong rental income or owner-occupants looking to live in one and rent the other. Each unit features a fresh, top-to-bottom renovation with crisp white trim, light wood-tone flooring, soft neutral paint, and abundant natural light, including a charming bay window. The kitchens shine with white shaker cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, modern hardware, and generous counter space, while the bathrooms have been beautifully reimagined with marble-style tile surrounds, modern vanities, and contemporary fixtures. Additional highlights include a sleek linea
Key facts
- Bay window
- Two family home
- Fresh renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle (asphalt) roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Back yard fencing; Vinyl and wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (one full bath on 1st level, one full bath on 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: High speed internet; Full basement
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $217/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $315k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $315k (0.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Schenectady High School (math 75% / reading 90%, grade A, #446 of 1,100 statewide, top 41%, 2,743 students, 71% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Schenectady City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $315k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.91%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,979
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- 9.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Hawk St | 0.38mi | 6/2.0 | 2,584 (-6%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $143 | 72 |
| 222 Duane Ave | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 2,700 (-2%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $122 | 71 |
| 316 Georgetta Dix Plz | 0.28mi | 6/4.0 | 2,664 (-3%) | 4mo | $262,500 | $99 | 70 |
| 1013 Delamont Ave | 0.42mi | 6/2.0 | 2,576 (-6%) | 1mo | $111,500 | $43 | 68 |
| 25 Steuben St | 0.42mi | 6/3.0 | 2,640 (-4%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $100 | 68 |
| 421 Summit Ave | 0.47mi | 6/2.0 | 2,600 (-6%) | 2mo | $308,000 | $118 | 67 |
| 1 Chestnut St | 0.13mi | 6/3.0 | 2,406 (-13%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 318 Georgetta Dix Plz | 0.28mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,806 (+2%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $71 | 67 |
| 510 Mumford St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 2,544 (-8%) | 2mo | $15,000 | $6 | 62 |
| 1054 Park Ave | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 | 3,008 (+9%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $86 | 56 |
| 820 Strong St | 0.61mi | 6/4.0 | 2,880 (+5%) | 3mo | $41,000 | $14 | 53 |
| 517 Mumford st St | 0.56mi | 6/3.0 | 3,144 (+14%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $38 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $199,177
- Equity at exit
- $283,777
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $564,745
- Equity at exit
- $611,976
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12307
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 16.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$661
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,148 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,574 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,574 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,149 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-12$315,000 Active 985-char remark
-
2025-11-17soldstatus $150,000
-
2025-05-22historical
-
2024-12-04$249,000 Active
-
2009-07-31historical
-
2009-05-12$64,900
-
2008-10-26historical
-
2008-04-25$74,500
-
2005-08-24soldstatus $31,000
-
2005-08-12soldstatus $31,000
-
2005-07-31historical
-
2005-04-19$41,900
-
2004-01-05soldstatus $21,000
-
2003-12-22soldstatus $21,000
-
2003-11-14historical
-
2003-05-05$25,000
-
1999-03-03soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,246 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,285 · $357/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,039/yr (+$87/mo · 32.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$3,246
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,023
- − Management
- −$3,023
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $113
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Schenectady City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626010
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,453
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6309
- State rank
- #556 of 590 in NY
Livability — Schenectady
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #2597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Schenectady, NY
- City population
- 141,369
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,977
Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 155,046 people
- By 2030
- 154,322 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 151,796 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 148,621 · -4.1%
- By 2075
- 141,229 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 126,014 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.81)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 11% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Ukrainian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.60%
- Current HPI
- 398.0252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $315,000 Global MLS
- 2025-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-22 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-12-04 Listed $249,000 Global MLS
- 2009-07-31 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2009-05-12 Listed $64,900 Global MLS
- 2008-10-26 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2008-04-25 Listed $74,500 Global MLS
- 2005-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $31,000 Global MLS
- 2005-07-31 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2005-04-19 Listed $41,900 Global MLS
- 2004-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-22 Sold (MLS) $21,000 Global MLS
- 2003-11-14 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2003-05-05 Listed $25,000 Global MLS
- 1999-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,246 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…