3873 Andrews Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great cash-flow opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home features a large bonus room that can function as a 4th bedroom to maximize rental income. Property has a stable rental history and key updates already completed — roof and HVAC only 3 years old. Ideal for buy-and-hold investors looking to expand their portfolio in a strong rental market.
Key facts
- Resurfaced bathtub
- Updated kitchen
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fees billed annually
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: One level; Resale property
- Construction: Concrete construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Stain-finish cabinets; Laminate countertops; Open view to the family room; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level); Master bathroom has no special features listed
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); No shared/common walls; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,189/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.84%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,904
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3819 Frances Dr | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,293 (-0%) | 6mo | $68,000 | $53 | 82 |
| 3935 Travis Blvd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $86 | 80 |
| 1664 Randall Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-6%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $58 | 70 |
| 1464 Williamson Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+0%) | 4mo | $64,000 | $49 | 69 |
| 3357 Placid Pl | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,373 (+6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 4133 Buena Vista Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (-3%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $36 | 56 |
| 4055 Emory Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-6%) | 2mo | $58,000 | $48 | 56 |
| 1254 W Grenada Ter | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-8%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $84 | 53 |
| 3970 Emory Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (+8%) | 1mo | $27,000 | $19 | 50 |
| 3901 Shearwater Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $93 | 47 |
| 3708 Lindsey Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,432 (+10%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $94 | 42 |
| 1138 Newberg Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-15%) | 6mo | $82,000 | $74 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $6,810
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $42,895
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $603/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $379 | -5% $351 | +0% $323 | +5% $295 | +10% $266 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $229 | -5% $276 | +0% $323 | +5% $370 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $348 | base $323 | +0.5pp $297 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $750 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3733 Lindsey Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,090 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $875 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $745 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,125 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 947 Troupe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 947 Troupe St Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4052 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1187 | $975 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 832 Richmond St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $925 | $0.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,230 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $895 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 568-char remark
-
2026-06-17$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $603 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $920 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$317/yr (+$26/mo · 52.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$603
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,141
- − Management
- −$1,141
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,370
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $100,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MGMLS
- 2025-08-20 Contingent — MGMLS
- 2025-08-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $79,900 MGMLS
- 2024-10-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-08-05 Listed $75,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $603 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…