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3873 Andrews Dr
C+ Composite 60.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

3873 Andrews Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1953 8,276 sqft lot Est $96k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great cash-flow opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home features a large bonus room that can function as a 4th bedroom to maximize rental income. Property has a stable rental history and key updates already completed — roof and HVAC only 3 years old. Ideal for buy-and-hold investors looking to expand their portfolio in a strong rental market.

Key facts

  • Resurfaced bathtub
  • Updated kitchen
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFUPDATED KITCHENRESURFACED BATHTUBCENTRAL HEATING AND AIR

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fees billed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Two total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: One level; Resale property
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stain-finish cabinets; Laminate countertops; Open view to the family room; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level); Master bathroom has no special features listed
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); No shared/common walls; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,189/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.17%
Cash-on-cash
13.84%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3819 Frances Dr 0.18mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,293 (-0%) 6mo $68,000 $53 82
3935 Travis Blvd 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 4mo $115,000 $86 80
1664 Randall Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,212 (-6%) 5mo $70,000 $58 70
1464 Williamson Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+0%) 4mo $64,000 $49 69
3357 Placid Pl 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,373 (+6%) 2mo $150,000 $109 65
4133 Buena Vista Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,257 (-3%) 5mo $45,000 $36 56
4055 Emory Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-6%) 2mo $58,000 $48 56
1254 W Grenada Ter 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-8%) 3mo $100,000 $84 53
3970 Emory Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,394 (+8%) 1mo $27,000 $19 50
3901 Shearwater Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,393 (+8%) 2mo $130,000 $93 47
3708 Lindsey Dr 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,432 (+10%) 4mo $135,000 $94 42
1138 Newberg Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,106 (-15%) 6mo $82,000 $74 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$6,810
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$42,895
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,189 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $603/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $379 -5% $351 +0% $323 +5% $295 +10% $266
Rent -10% $229 -5% $276 +0% $323 +5% $370 +10% $417
Rate -1.0pp $373 -0.5pp $348 base $323 +0.5pp $297 +1.0pp $271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 44d 1 0.09mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 0.14mi
3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,450 $1.26 44d 1 0.27mi
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 21d 1 0.35mi
1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $750 $0.53 44d 1 0.64mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 14d 1 0.65mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 0.67mi
3733 Lindsey Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 14d 1 0.73mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 14d 1 0.74mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.75mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1100 $925 $0.84 21d 1 0.75mi
1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,090 $0.81 21d 1 0.76mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 14d 1 0.80mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 44d 1 0.80mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 44d 1 0.81mi
1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 44d 1 0.96mi
3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,125 $0.83 21d 1 0.98mi
1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,350 $1.11 21d 1 1.01mi
947 Troupe St Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1699 $1,200 $0.71 21d 1 1.05mi
947 Troupe St Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1699 $1,200 $0.71 44d 1 1.05mi
4052 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,300 $0.80 14d 1 1.07mi
846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1187 $975 $0.82 44d 1 1.09mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 44d 1 1.11mi
832 Richmond St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1364 $925 $0.68 21d 1 1.15mi
4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,230 $0.92 21d 1 1.30mi
2445 Lowe St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 940 $890 $0.95 44d 1 1.30mi
3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1360 $1,300 $0.96 44d 1 1.36mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 44d 1 1.39mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 568-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$603 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$920 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$317/yr (+$26/mo · 52.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,267
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$603
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,141
− Management
−$1,141
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$569
After-tax cash flow
$3,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $100,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $79,900 MGMLS
  • 2024-10-06 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-08-05 Listed $75,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $603 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…