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407 S Main St
A- Composite 83.05
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$68,000

407 S Main St · Albion, IA 50005
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 2002 $59/sqft · 46% below area Est $125k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable Living. take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath built in 2002! Open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, master bedroom with bath featuring garden tub, sky light & walk in closet PLUS 2 stall garage and SO MUCH MORE!! Call today.

Key facts

  • Main floor laundry
  • Full bath
  • Walk in closet

Tags

CORNER LOTMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYWALK IN CLOSETFULL BATHWHEELCHAIR ACCESSIBLE RAMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size: 0.24 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#582 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshalltown Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #278 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $624 appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $68,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.14%
Cash-on-cash
24.46%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,457
List price
$68,000
Delta
-45.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
407 S Main St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,144 (0%) 0mo $70,000 $61 100
105 S Dubuque St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,288 (+13%) 3mo $159,000 $123 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$25,720
Equity at exit
$22,923
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
4.50×
Total profit
$66,662
Equity at exit
$30,238

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50005

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $702/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $561
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 387-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $68,000 Active 387-char remark
  3. 2014-09-23
    soldstatus $55,000 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Affordable Living. take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath built in 2002! Open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, master bedroom with bath featuring garden tub, sky light & walk in closet PLUS 2 stall garage and SO MUCH MORE!! Call today.

  4. 2014-06-24
    listed $59,900 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Affordable Living. take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath built in 2002! Open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, master bedroom with bath featuring garden tub, sky light & walk in closet PLUS 2 stall garage and SO MUCH MORE!! Call today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$702 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$885 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$183/yr (+$15/mo · 26.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,632
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$702
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$3,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$908
After-tax cash flow
$3,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshalltown Community School District
NCES district ID
1918720
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,877
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3015
State rank
#278 of 289 in IA

Livability — Albion

Score
65/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#13234

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albion, IA
Population (ZIP)
830

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,166 people
By 2030
41,477 · +0.8%
By 2040
42,548 · +3.4%
By 2050
44,472 · +8.0%
By 2075
52,719 · +28.1%
By 2100
60,912 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Asian 26% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Vietnamese 24% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
R (+15.6) · D 41.4% · R 57.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-24.9pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: -15.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.6 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.92%
Current HPI
106.3038
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $70,000 IAR
  • 2026-05-04 Pending IAR
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $68,000 IAR
  • 2014-09-23 Sold (MLS) $55,000 IAR
  • 2014-06-24 Listed $59,900 IAR

Property tax history

-5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $702 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…