55 Bayou Dr · Nashua, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located at the edge of Nashua and conveniently located directly across from the grocery store, this meticulously cared-for home offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space. Over the years, the property has seen numerous updates and repairs, reflecting the pride of ownership throughout. The main floor features 2 bedrooms, with the potential for a 3rd bedroom currently being used as a main-floor laundry room. You'll also find a full bathroom and an organized layout with the kitchen, dining area, and living room all together near the attached garage, creating a practical and efficient living space. Downstairs, the clean and organized basement offers a spacious family room along with 2 n
Key facts
- Organized layout
- Spacious family room
- 7,838 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport with 2 spaces; Attached parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Landscaped yard; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Vented exhaust fan
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Exhaust fan
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Vented exhaust fan; Gas water heater; Water softener (owned); Sump pump; Partially finished basement; Block and concrete basement walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-233 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (21.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (36.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#170 in IA, #3,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Nashua-Plainfield Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #136 of 289 in IA (top 47%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Nashua-Plainfield Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 272 students, 29% FRL); Nashua-Plainfield Junior-Seniorhigh School (math 71% / reading 68%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 310 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Chickasaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chickasaw County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $190k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.25%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,420
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Bayou Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (-3%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $87 | 92 |
| 110 Wabash Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (-11%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $119 | 73 |
| 616 Woodbridge St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-3%) | 15mo | $139,950 | $87 | 71 |
| 111 Andrews St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,567 (-6%) | 6mo | $162,500 | $104 | 68 |
| 302 Douglas St | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,844 (+11%) | 7mo | $257,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 709 Madison St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (-7%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 210 Saint Lawrence St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,733 (+4%) | 24mo | $41,000 | $24 | 52 |
| 314 Andrews St St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,436 (-14%) | 3mo | $126,500 | $88 | 52 |
| 224 Lexington Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,593 (-4%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $85 | 50 |
| 309 Brasher St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (-12%) | 8mo | $8,400 | $6 | 47 |
| 810 Main St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (-9%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $70 | 37 |
| 170 Lakeshore Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-14%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $112 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $88,589
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $272,437
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50658
- Home prices YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $-233
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-125 | -5% $-179 | +0% $-233 | +5% $-287 | +10% $-340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-329 | -5% $-281 | +0% $-233 | +5% $-185 | +10% $-137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-137 | -0.5pp $-185 | base $-233 | +0.5pp $-282 | +1.0pp $-332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$190,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,414 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,198 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$784/yr (+$65/mo · 55.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,589
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,414
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,167
- − Management
- −$1,167
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$6,279
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,507
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nashua-Plainfield Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920190
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,517
- Composite
- 59.84/100
- National rank
- #893
- State rank
- #136 of 289 in IA
Livability — Nashua
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #3077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nashua, IA
- City population
- 2,432
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,432
Population outlook (Chickasaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,503 people
- By 2030
- 11,187 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 10,569 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 9,997 · -13.1%
- By 2075
- 8,819 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 7,126 · -38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · China
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chickasaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.2) · D 30.8% · R 68.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -57.9pp toward R · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: -37.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.2 2020: R+31.3 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.81%
- Current HPI
- 247.1014
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+145.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $190,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2014-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,414 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…