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55 Bayou Dr
D- Composite 35.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$190,000

55 Bayou Dr · Nashua, IA 50658
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1968 7,838 sqft lot Est $144k · 32% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located at the edge of Nashua and conveniently located directly across from the grocery store, this meticulously cared-for home offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space. Over the years, the property has seen numerous updates and repairs, reflecting the pride of ownership throughout. The main floor features 2 bedrooms, with the potential for a 3rd bedroom currently being used as a main-floor laundry room. You'll also find a full bathroom and an organized layout with the kitchen, dining area, and living room all together near the attached garage, creating a practical and efficient living space. Downstairs, the clean and organized basement offers a spacious family room along with 2 n

Key facts

  • Organized layout
  • Spacious family room
  • 7,838 sq ft lot

Tags

METICULOUSLY CARED-FOR HOMENUMEROUS UPDATES AND REPAIRSORGANIZED LAYOUTCLEAN AND ORGANIZED BASEMENTSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMATTACHED 2-STALL GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Carport with 2 spaces; Attached parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Landscaped yard; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Vented exhaust fan
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Exhaust fan
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Vented exhaust fan; Gas water heater; Water softener (owned); Sump pump; Partially finished basement; Block and concrete basement walls
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-233 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (21.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (36.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#170 in IA, #3,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nashua-Plainfield Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #136 of 289 in IA (top 47%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Nashua-Plainfield Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 272 students, 29% FRL); Nashua-Plainfield Junior-Seniorhigh School (math 71% / reading 68%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 310 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Chickasaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chickasaw County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $190k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $121,578 (36.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.25%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,420
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
40 Bayou Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-3%) 3mo $140,000 $87 92
110 Wabash Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,476 (-11%) 3mo $175,000 $119 73
616 Woodbridge St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,608 (-3%) 15mo $139,950 $87 71
111 Andrews St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,567 (-6%) 6mo $162,500 $104 68
302 Douglas St 0.27mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,844 (+11%) 7mo $257,000 $139 56
709 Madison St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-7%) 18mo $135,000 $87 55
210 Saint Lawrence St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,733 (+4%) 24mo $41,000 $24 52
314 Andrews St St 0.33mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,436 (-14%) 3mo $126,500 $88 52
224 Lexington Ave 0.50mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,593 (-4%) 16mo $135,000 $85 50
309 Brasher St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,452 (-12%) 8mo $8,400 $6 47
810 Main St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,506 (-9%) 14mo $105,000 $70 37
170 Lakeshore Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (-14%) 18mo $160,000 $112 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$88,589
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
6.12×
Total profit
$272,437
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50658

Home prices YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,414/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$-233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,511
Max offer price $148,855
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-125 -5% $-179 +0% $-233 +5% $-287 +10% $-340
Rent -10% $-329 -5% $-281 +0% $-233 +5% $-185 +10% $-137
Rate -1.0pp $-137 -0.5pp $-185 base $-233 +0.5pp $-282 +1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-06-04
    listed $190,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,414 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,198 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$784/yr (+$65/mo · 55.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,589
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,414
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,167
− Management
−$1,167
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$6,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,507
After-tax cash flow
$-1,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nashua-Plainfield Community School District
NCES district ID
1920190
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,517
Composite
59.84/100
National rank
#893
State rank
#136 of 289 in IA

Livability — Nashua

Score
77/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#3077

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nashua, IA
City population
2,432
Population (ZIP)
2,432

Population outlook (Chickasaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,503 people
By 2030
11,187 · -2.7%
By 2040
10,569 · -8.1%
By 2050
9,997 · -13.1%
By 2075
8,819 · -23.3%
By 2100
7,126 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chickasaw

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.2) · D 30.8% · R 68.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-57.9pp toward R · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: -37.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.2 2020: R+31.3 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+20.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.81%
Current HPI
247.1014
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $190,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,414 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…