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24711 Indian Creek Rd
D Composite 40.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

24711 Indian Creek Rd · Onycha, AL 36467
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 2015 2.91 ac lot ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your own private oasis in Opp, Alabama! Nestled on over 2 acres of peaceful countryside, this cute 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect blend of privacy, comfort, and country living. Several updates have already been completed throughout the home, giving it a fresh feel while leaving room for your personal touches. Inside, you'll find a cozy and inviting layout filled with natural light, while outside you'll enjoy plenty of space to relax, garden, entertain, or simply enjoy the quiet surroundings. Whether you're looking for a starter home, weekend retreat, investment property, or a place to downsize and escape the hustle and bustle, this property offers endless possibilities

Key facts

  • Plenty of space
  • Natural light
  • Over 2 acres

Tags

OVER 2 ACRESNATURAL LIGHTPLENTY OF SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio/porch (other); On waterfront; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($358/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#509 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fleeta School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 196 students, 84% FRL); Straughn Middle School (math 35% / reading 62%, grade C-, #28 of 257 statewide, top 11%, 318 students, 65% FRL); Straughn High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 383 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,156 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.16%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-15,958
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-11,647
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36467

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$872 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $439/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $834
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $92 -5% $61 +0% $30 +5% $-1 +10% $-32
Rent -10% $-39 -5% $-5 +0% $30 +5% $64 +10% $99
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $58 base $30 +0.5pp $1 +1.0pp $-28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-05-29
    listed $109,900 Active
  19. 2026-03-06
    price $134,000
  20. 2026-02-04
    price $144,500
  21. 2025-12-29
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$439 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$451 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$12/yr (+$1/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,459
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$439
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$837
− Management
−$837
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$1,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$374
After-tax cash flow
$731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington County
NCES district ID
0100930
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,213
Composite
32.13/100
National rank
#5797
State rank
#32 of 129 in AL

Livability — Onycha

Score
51/100
State rank
#509
US rank
#25149

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,847

Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,007 people
By 2030
36,401 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,983 · -5.5%
By 2050
33,437 · -9.6%
By 2075
29,753 · -19.6%
By 2100
25,109 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 12% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Covington

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.82%
Current HPI
151.1871
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $109,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $134,000 CAOR
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $144,500 CAOR
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $149,900 CAOR

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $439 · +20.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…