8029 W Lyons St · Niles, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your decorating ideas and make this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome your own! This home features a full finished basement, one assigned parking space, and a roof replaced in 2019. All appliances are included. Some hardwood floors under carpet The main level offers a spacious living room, a separate dining area, and a good-sized kitchen with convenient access to the backyard-perfect for relaxing outdoors. The property also includes a large storage shed for your extra belongings. Priced to sell and offering great potential, this home is being sold As-Is. Don't miss this opportunity to add your personal touch and build equity!Schedule your showing today! PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS IS .
Key facts
- Good sized kitchen
- Roof replaced
- Separate dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Not currently leased; 4 units in building
- HOA & community: Master association fee not required; Pets allowed (dogs OK)
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned, owned parking space
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Attached single property; Townhouse — 2 story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot features: none specified
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master bedroom on second level; additional bedrooms on second level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in master bedroom; Carpet in living room and additional bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and basement family room; Other flooring in laundry room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement with gas dryer hookup and utility sink; In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Niles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in IL, #1,001 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+.
- Maine Township Hsd 207 (suburban): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #143 of 620 in IL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Maine East High School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #213 of 693 statewide, top 31%, 1,808 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,933/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 747% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.25%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $330,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8029 W Lyons St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 0mo | $289,900 | $240 | 100 |
| 8000 W Lyons St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $273 | 96 |
| 8052 W Lyons St | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,210 (0%) | 0mo | $363,000 | $300 | 90 |
| 8043 W Lyons St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (0%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $273 | 89 |
| 9262 N Woodland Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (+8%) | 1mo | $432,500 | $330 | 79 |
| 9035 N Clifton Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,216 (+0%) | 3mo | $355,000 | $292 | 69 |
| 8909 N Washington St Unit E | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (+4%) | 8mo | $303,000 | $242 | 63 |
| 8827 N Washington St Unit B | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,221 (+1%) | 10mo | $313,500 | $257 | 62 |
| 9059 N Clifton Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+7%) | 6mo | $372,000 | $286 | 56 |
| 8802 N Prospect St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,274 (+5%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $243 | 55 |
| 8803 N Grand St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (+6%) | 6mo | $338,000 | $264 | 53 |
| 9002 N Clifton Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,331 (+10%) | 9mo | $344,000 | $258 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-15,821
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $26,164
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60714
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,933 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,234/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$616
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8058 W Lyons St Unit B Niles, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,800 | $2.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 9201 N Milwaukee Ave Niles, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,962 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8970 N Parkside Ave #418 Des Plaines, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,250 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1302 Carol St Park Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8544 W Roseview Dr Niles, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $3,950 | $3.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1418 Carol St Unit 2 Park Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7322 W Crain St Unit 1FL Niles, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,000 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8975 W Golf Rd Niles, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $2,300 | $2.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8961 W Golf Rd Niles, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $2,300 | $2.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8928 Steven Dr Unit 2D Des Plaines, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9030 Kennedy Dr Des Plaines, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 770 | $2,029 | $2.64 | 1d | 26 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02status $289,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 694-char remark
-
2026-05-31$289,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,234 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,407 · $367/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,173/yr (+$181/mo · 97.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,201
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$2,234
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,816
- − Management
- −$2,816
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $1,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$291
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maine Township Hsd 207
- NCES district ID
- 1724090
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,034
- Composite
- 34.36/100
- National rank
- #5220
- State rank
- #143 of 620 in IL
Livability — Niles
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #1001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niles, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 30,305
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,305
- Household income
- $75,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 747.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% American 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.58%
- Current HPI
- 197.8728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2023): $2,234 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…