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1312 S 30th St Multi-family
C+ Composite 63.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$245,000

1312 S 30th St · Beverly Hills, TX 76711
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,630 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 430 Days on market
Built 1950 $150/sqft · 20% below area Est $305k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this multi-family property on S. 30th Street. Close proximity to S. Valley Mills Drive, IH-35 and various shopping and restaurants. This multi-family property consists of two (2) units. Unit A is a 2BR / 1BA, 660 SF, upstairs unit. Unit B is a 2BR / 1BA, 700 SF, downstairs unit. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all details. This property can be sold as a one-off or grouped with other properties as an investment package. For further details, please ask.

Key facts

  • Built 1950
  • Listed 429 days

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SHOPPINGCLOSE PROXIMITY TO RESTAURANTSCLOSE PROXIMITY TO IH-35

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#871 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,352/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 424% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 430 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 24523% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 430 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.39%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$305,100
List price
$245,000
Delta
-19.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.57% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$55,605
Equity at exit
$118,050
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$160,207
Equity at exit
$188,314

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76711

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
17.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,352 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,957/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,962
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $447 -5% $377 +0% $308 +5% $239 +10% $169
Rent -10% $122 -5% $215 +0% $308 +5% $401 +10% $494
Rate -1.0pp $432 -0.5pp $370 base $308 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $180

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2900 Austin Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1176 $1,195 $1.02 44d 1 0.93mi
1800 Primrose Dr Waco, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 942 $850 $0.90 14d 33 1.21mi
1342 Park Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1143 $1,400 $1.22 14d 1 1.25mi
1923 Austin Ave Unit 5202 Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1265 $1,395 $1.10 22d 1 1.25mi
516 N 31st St Unit 1 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.26mi
516 N 31st St Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 22d 1 1.26mi
1326 Park Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1143 $1,400 $1.22 14d 1 1.27mi
1326 Park Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1143 $1,400 $1.22 22d 1 1.27mi
1311 Speight Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1143 $1,195 $1.05 14d 1 1.29mi
1311 Speight Ave #1311 Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1143 $1,500 $1.31 22d 1 1.29mi
2714 Morrow Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1484 $1,375 $0.93 22d 1 1.47mi
1300 S 11th St Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1083 $1,209 $1.12 14d 14 1.49mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 430 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 429 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 428 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 427 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 425 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 424 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 422 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 421 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 420 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 419 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 416 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 415 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 414 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 413 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 412 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 411 DOM
  17. 2026-04-04
    listed $995
  18. 2026-01-17
    historical $995
  19. 2025-10-04
    listed $995
  20. 2025-01-10
    historical $995
  21. 2024-09-26
    listed $245,000 Active 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Check out this multi-family property on S. 30th Street. Close proximity to S. Valley Mills Drive, IH-35 and various shopping and restaurants. This multi-family property consists of two (2) units. Unit A is a 2BR / 1BA, 660 SF, upstairs unit. Unit B is a 2BR / 1BA, 700 SF, downstairs unit. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all details. This property can be sold as a one-off or grouped with other properties as an investment package. For further details, please ask.

  22. 2024-09-07
    listed $995
  23. 2024-06-27
    historical $975
  24. 2024-04-23
    listed $975
  25. 2024-03-22
    historical
  26. 2023-06-20
    listed $250,000
  27. 2021-06-03
    historical
  28. 2021-01-26
    listed $89,900
  29. 2015-12-17
    soldstatus
  30. 2008-10-20
    soldstatus
  31. 2002-02-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,957 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,484 · $374/mo
Expected delta
+$2,527/yr (+$211/mo · 129.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,224
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$1,957
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,258
− Management
−$2,258
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$78
After-tax cash flow
$3,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waco ISD
NCES district ID
4844280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,208
Composite
17.57/100
National rank
#9043
State rank
#773 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beverly Hills

Score
63/100
State rank
#871
US rank
#15705

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beverly Hills, TX
County
McLennan County · 213,088 people
Metro
Waco, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,676
Household income
$53,185
Rent vs Own
48.1% rent · 51.9% own
Severe rent burden
424.0

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 43% White 23% Black 12% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, China
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 45% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.57%
Current HPI
261.7166
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
Waco, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-01-17 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-04 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-01-10 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-26 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-07 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-27 Rental Removed $975 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-23 Listed for Rent $975 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-22 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-06-20 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-06-03 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2021-01-26 Listed $89,900 NTREIS
  • 2015-12-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-02-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,957 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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