6529 Alakoko Dr · Diamondhead, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
Key facts
- Large back deck
- Private pools
- Open living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-422 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (25.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (31.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Hancock Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #22 of 375 statewide, top 6%, 639 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.10%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,139
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -15.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 552 Hanauma Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+4%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $138 | 83 |
| 5513 Ahoni St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,751 (+2%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $140 | 75 |
| 5715 Anoai Way | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (-2%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $127 | 71 |
| 6414 Kiko St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,634 (-5%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $196 | 69 |
| 6610 Hale Ct | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,930 (+12%) | 3mo | $297,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 6670 Ahekolo Cir | 0.26mi | 3/3.0 | 1,925 (+12%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 57154 E Diamondhead Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-6%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $159 | 62 |
| 5451 Kaiki Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,596 (-7%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 6333 Apelehama Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (+3%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $112 | 57 |
| 5423 Kaiki Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,865 (+8%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $126 | 52 |
| 6456 Apelehama Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,895 (+10%) | 12mo | $294,500 | $155 | 48 |
| 7426 Mahalo Hui Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,954 (+14%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $166 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-75,333
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-100,170
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39525
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$90
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $-422
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-253 | -5% $-338 | +0% $-422 | +5% $-507 | +10% $-592 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-584 | -5% $-503 | +0% $-422 | +5% $-341 | +10% $-260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-272 | -0.5pp $-346 | base $-422 | +0.5pp $-500 | +1.0pp $-579 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5402 Gex Dr Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 250 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 250 Highpoint Dr Unit 250 Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 63739 Diamondhead Dr N Diamondhead, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 289 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $90 · $1,080/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $299,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-03-22price $299,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2026-03-06price $300,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2026-02-15price $310,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2026-01-24price $315,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2026-01-19price $320,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2025-12-17$325,000 Active 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath, two-story home offering over 2,000 sq. ft. of inviting living space. The fourth bedroom upstairs could easily serve as a bonus room, office, or playroom. Features include stainless steel appliances, an open living room, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor relaxation on the large back deck overlooking the large fenced in back yard. Located in the City of Diamondhead, MS, a POA community offering exceptional amenities including four private pools, tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, walking trails, frisbee golf, a baseball field, and multiple playgrounds. Residents also enjoy two championship golf courses with a driving range and practice facility, private boat launches and marina access, plus discounts at Latitude 30 Bar & Grill, the golf shop, and golf memberships.
-
2025-10-18historical
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2025-09-24price $274,900
-
2025-08-28price $299,900
-
2025-08-22price $314,900
-
2025-08-13price $324,900
-
2025-08-06price $334,900
-
2025-07-29$349,900 Active
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2021-09-15historical
-
2019-12-03soldstatus
-
2019-04-23$220,000
-
2017-03-18$222,000
-
2015-09-15soldstatus
-
2015-07-10$209,900
-
2015-03-25soldstatus
-
2015-01-27$6,500
-
2013-01-13$9,900
-
2012-07-11historical
-
2012-02-01$10,000
-
2004-08-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,310 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,362 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$52/yr (+$4/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$2,310
- − Insurance
- −$2,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − HOA
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$10,469
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801740
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,971
- Composite
- 38.88/100
- National rank
- #4099
- State rank
- #23 of 130 in MS
Livability — Diamondhead
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #9320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Diamondhead, MS
- County
- Hancock County · 9,338 people
- City population
- 9,338
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,338
- Household income
- $87,407
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,161 people
- By 2030
- 54,753 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 59,242 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 62,417 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 68,168 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 69,212 · +32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.77%
- Current HPI
- 193.4883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+2890.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $299,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $300,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $310,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $315,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $320,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-17 Listed $325,000 MLSU
- 2025-10-18 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $274,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $299,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $314,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $324,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $334,900 MLSU
- 2025-07-29 Listed $349,900 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-09-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2019-12-03 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-04-23 Listed $220,000 MLSU
- 2017-03-18 Listed $222,000 MLSU
- 2015-09-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-07-10 Listed $209,900 MLSU
- 2015-03-25 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-01-27 Listed $6,500 MLSU
- 2013-01-13 Listed $9,900 MLSU
- 2012-07-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2012-02-01 Listed $10,000 MLSU
- 2004-08-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+21.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,310 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…