310 Jones Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Historic home located in historic district. A little sweat equity and this charming home can be brought back to life. Bring all offers. NO SELLER DISCLOSURES.
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 25 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: One-level home
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Property listed in fixer condition
- Exterior features: Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Directions: Please use GPS
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen features listed
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Partial basement; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Burdell Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 442 students, 100% FRL); Appling Middle School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #429 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 648 students, 100% FRL); Northeast High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 742 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.79%
- DSCR
- 3.66
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,417
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 795 Peachtree St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,477 (-6%) | 12mo | $33,000 | $22 | 72 |
| 630 Saint John St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,588 (+1%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $50 | 66 |
| 436 Woolfolk St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,620 (+3%) | 11mo | $43,000 | $27 | 62 |
| 463 Fort Hill St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-10%) | 14mo | $62,500 | $44 | 52 |
| 747 Bowman St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-3%) | 9mo | $134,000 | $88 | 52 |
| 894 Maynard St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (-2%) | 19mo | $29,000 | $19 | 51 |
| 490 Hall St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+2%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $47 | 41 |
| 328 Woolfolk St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (-15%) | 13mo | $20,000 | $15 | 36 |
| 982 Smith St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+10%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $26 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.31% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $61,002
- Equity at exit
- $26,268
- IRR
- 70.9%
- Equity multiple
- 12.70×
- Total profit
- $163,770
- Equity at exit
- $43,712
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31217
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $741/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 892 Applewood St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $850 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 390 Cowan St Unit 394 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 382 Cowan St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 378 Cowan St Unit 382 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 490 Hall St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 854 Trinity Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $875 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 370 Cherry St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 462 Cherry St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $3,000 | $3.03 | 13d | 25 | 0.98mi |
| 476 3rd St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 13d | 8 | 1.05mi |
| 1161 Boulevard Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,300 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1105 Boulevard Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1592 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1126 Boulevard Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,260 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 484 1st St #300 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,625 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 384 Spring St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 952 Georgia Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 218 Orange St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1143 Sunnydale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $975 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 147 Orange St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 813 Forsyth St Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 347 College St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,600 | $3.59 | 13d | 4 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-22$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$741
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $8,054
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,933
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,732
- Household income
- $44,809
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 391.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Current HPI
- 209.9166
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.85%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $50,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $741 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…