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B- Composite 68.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$50,000

310 Jones Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,571 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1900 7,840 sqft lot Est $42k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Historic home located in historic district. A little sweat equity and this charming home can be brought back to life. Bring all offers. NO SELLER DISCLOSURES.

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: One-level home
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Property listed in fixer condition
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Directions: Please use GPS

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen features listed
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: No shared/common walls; Partial basement; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Burdell Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 442 students, 100% FRL); Appling Middle School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #429 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 648 students, 100% FRL); Northeast High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 742 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.03%
Cash-on-cash
59.79%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,417
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
795 Peachtree St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,477 (-6%) 12mo $33,000 $22 72
630 Saint John St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,588 (+1%) 22mo $80,000 $50 66
436 Woolfolk St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,620 (+3%) 11mo $43,000 $27 62
463 Fort Hill St 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-10%) 14mo $62,500 $44 52
747 Bowman St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-3%) 9mo $134,000 $88 52
894 Maynard St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,548 (-2%) 19mo $29,000 $19 51
490 Hall St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,596 (+2%) 19mo $75,000 $47 41
328 Woolfolk St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,340 (-15%) 13mo $20,000 $15 36
982 Smith St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+10%) 16mo $45,000 $26 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.7%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$61,002
Equity at exit
$26,268
10-year hold
IRR
70.9%
Equity multiple
12.70×
Total profit
$163,770
Equity at exit
$43,712

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31217

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $741/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$698

Break-even live

Break-even rent $436
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
892 Applewood St Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1250 $850 $0.68 43d 1 0.24mi
390 Cowan St Unit 394 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 21d 1 0.64mi
382 Cowan St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 43d 1 0.64mi
378 Cowan St Unit 382 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 21d 1 0.65mi
490 Hall St Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1596 $1,850 $1.16 43d 1 0.70mi
854 Trinity Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1260 $875 $0.69 43d 1 0.91mi
370 Cherry St Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 43d 1 0.95mi
462 Cherry St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 988 $3,000 $3.03 13d 25 0.98mi
476 3rd St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 942 $1,850 $1.96 13d 8 1.05mi
1161 Boulevard Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,300 $1.24 13d 1 1.10mi
870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 2205 $1,300 $0.59 43d 1 1.10mi
1105 Boulevard Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1592 $1,350 $0.85 21d 1 1.13mi
1126 Boulevard Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1228 $1,260 $1.03 21d 1 1.15mi
484 1st St #300 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,625 $1.16 13d 1 1.15mi
384 Spring St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 1.19mi
879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 2147 $1,700 $0.79 13d 1 1.20mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 43d 1 1.22mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 21d 1 1.22mi
952 Georgia Ave Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,295 $1.16 43d 1 1.23mi
218 Orange St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 21d 1 1.30mi
1143 Sunnydale Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1053 $975 $0.93 43d 1 1.30mi
147 Orange St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 13d 1 1.30mi
813 Forsyth St Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1105 $1,400 $1.27 13d 1 1.37mi
347 College St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $2,600 $3.59 13d 4 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$741 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$741 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,833
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$741
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,267
− Management
−$1,267
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$8,054
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,933
After-tax cash flow
$6,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
17,732
Household income
$44,809
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
391.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
209.9166
Rent YoY
▲ 10.85%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $50,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $741 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…