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7500 E Deer Valley Rd #47
D- Composite 37.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0

$634,997

7500 E Deer Valley Rd #47 · Scottsdale, AZ 85255
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · Condo public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1999 $291/sqft · at area comps Est $607k · at est. $103/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Freshly Updated home set along a natural wash, offering open space, privacy, and scenic desert views. This spacious floor plan features a bright, oversized loft--ideal for a home office, media room, or additional living area. Upstairs includes two full baths, while a convenient half bath is located downstairs for guests. The expansive primary suite boasts a generous walk-in closet. Enjoy a large garage and a private backyard that backs to a lush natural wash with no-maintenance landscaping. Direct access to hiking, biking, and running trails, and just minutes from golf, shopping, dining, and entertainment. Only 10 minutes to Scottsdale Airpark with quick access to Loop 101 for easy commuting across the Valley.

Key facts

  • Oversized loft
  • Walk-in closet
  • Private backyard

Tags

SCENIC DESERT VIEWSOVERSIZED LOFTWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE BACKYARDNO-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPINGHIKING BIKING RUNNING TRAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $635k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-838 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $487k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $386k (39.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $386k (39.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pinnacle Peak Preparatory (math 49% / reading 61%, grade C, #202 of 1,109 statewide, top 19%, 477 students, 5% FRL); Mountain Trail Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #57 of 218 statewide, top 27%, 680 students, 24% FRL); Pinnacle High School (math 49% / reading 54%, grade D+, #35 of 381 statewide, top 9%, 2,479 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools average 12% FRL vs 29% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 735 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($141k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($597k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $270k; list at $635k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $385,585 (39.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.65%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$606,636
List price
$634,997
Delta
4.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.64% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$121,724
Equity at exit
$384,717
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$415,238
Equity at exit
$685,506

Cash invested: $177,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85255

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
735
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,856 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,330
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,234/yr
Insurance
$265
HOA
$103
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$810
Net cashflow
$-838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,916
Max offer price $487,028
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-478 -5% $-658 +0% $-838 +5% $-1,017 +10% $-1,197
Rent -10% $-1,142 -5% $-990 +0% $-838 +5% $-685 +10% $-533
Rate -1.0pp $-518 -0.5pp $-676 base $-838 +0.5pp $-1,002 +1.0pp $-1,170

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$158,749
Closing costs
$19,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7500 E Deer Valley Rd Scottsdale, AZ 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 2110 $2,300 $1.09 5d 2 0.03mi
7690 E San Fernando Dr Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2662 $3,999 $1.50 45d 1 0.20mi
7435 E Rustling Pass Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1804 $8,500 $4.71 45d 1 0.34mi
7314 E Gallego Ln Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 2058 $12,500 $6.07 45d 1 0.40mi
7650 E Williams Dr #1012 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 1656 $2,500 $1.51 26d 1 0.43mi
21546 N 72nd Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1677 $3,400 $2.03 45d 1 0.44mi
7650 E Williams Dr #1021 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1536 $2,600 $1.69 9d 1 0.47mi
7323 E Wing Shadow Rd Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2280 $5,000 $2.19 13d 1 0.60mi
7471 E Paraiso Dr Unit 1 Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2380 $4,350 $1.83 26d 1 0.61mi
7471 E Paraiso Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2380 $4,250 $1.79 26d 1 0.61mi
7464 E Paraiso Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 1956 $4,000 $2.04 45d 1 0.63mi
7215 E Silverstone Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,755 $1.97 20d 1 0.63mi
7215 E Silverstone Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1659 $4,000 $2.41 19d 1 0.63mi
7496 E Via de Luna Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 1957 $3,195 $1.63 18d 1 0.67mi
23190 N 74th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2378 $4,500 $1.89 1d 1 0.69mi
7711 E Thunderhawk Rd Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2538 $3,895 $1.53 16d 1 0.72mi
7670 E Quill Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2650 $4,200 $1.58 23d 1 0.76mi
7689 E Quill Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2319 $8,000 $3.45 45d 1 0.79mi
7953 E Thunderhawk Rd Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.5 2715 $11,500 $4.24 45d 1 0.81mi
7917 E Thunderhawk Rd Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2839 $7,500 $2.64 45d 1 0.81mi
7338 E Casitas del Rio Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 1956 $4,000 $2.04 45d 1 0.82mi
7350 E Vista Bonita Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2380 $4,100 $1.72 20d 1 0.86mi
7336 E Vista Bonita Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2353 $3,595 $1.53 1d 1 0.86mi
7789 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1634 $4,700 $2.88 45d 1 0.89mi
7725 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1882 $4,250 $2.26 7d 1 0.92mi
7611 E Camino Vivaz Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2757 $7,900 $2.87 20d 1 0.93mi
23492 N 77th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2941 $3,680 $1.25 16d 1 0.96mi
7798 E Buteo Dr Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2575 $4,600 $1.79 7d 1 0.98mi
20458 N 78th Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1834 $4,500 $2.45 26d 1 0.99mi
23554 N 73rd Pl Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 1583 $4,000 $2.53 45d 1 1.01mi
20394 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2441 $8,500 $3.48 45d 1 1.03mi
7605 E Camino del Monte Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2220 $6,950 $3.13 45d 1 1.07mi
7381 E Hanover Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1629 $3,300 $2.03 45d 1 1.08mi
7362 E Hanover Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1527 $3,100 $2.03 26d 1 1.11mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 2295 $6,000 $2.61 3d 2 1.11mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 2030 $8,000 $3.94 45d 4 1.11mi
7729 E Tailspin Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1634 $3,400 $2.08 9d 1 1.11mi
7746 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2575 $3,995 $1.55 45d 1 1.14mi
7743 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2440 $9,000 $3.69 45d 1 1.17mi
23960 N 75th St Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 1819 $4,200 $2.31 26d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$103 · $1,236/yr
Likely covers
landscaping
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $634,997 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $634,997 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $634,997 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $634,997 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $634,997 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $634,997 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $634,997 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $634,997 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $634,997 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $634,997 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $634,997 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $634,997 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $634,997 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $634,997 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $634,997 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $634,997 719-char remark
    Show marketing remark (719 chars)

    Freshly Updated home set along a natural wash, offering open space, privacy, and scenic desert views. This spacious floor plan features a bright, oversized loft--ideal for a home office, media room, or additional living area. Upstairs includes two full baths, while a convenient half bath is located downstairs for guests. The expansive primary suite boasts a generous walk-in closet. Enjoy a large garage and a private backyard that backs to a lush natural wash with no-maintenance landscaping. Direct access to hiking, biking, and running trails, and just minutes from golf, shopping, dining, and entertainment. Only 10 minutes to Scottsdale Airpark with quick access to Loop 101 for easy commuting across the Valley.

  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $647,999 Active 719-char remark
    Show marketing remark (719 chars)

    Freshly Updated home set along a natural wash, offering open space, privacy, and scenic desert views. This spacious floor plan features a bright, oversized loft--ideal for a home office, media room, or additional living area. Upstairs includes two full baths, while a convenient half bath is located downstairs for guests. The expansive primary suite boasts a generous walk-in closet. Enjoy a large garage and a private backyard that backs to a lush natural wash with no-maintenance landscaping. Direct access to hiking, biking, and running trails, and just minutes from golf, shopping, dining, and entertainment. Only 10 minutes to Scottsdale Airpark with quick access to Loop 101 for easy commuting across the Valley.

  18. 2013-03-06
    soldstatus $269,500 Closed 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  19. 2013-03-05
    soldstatus $269,500
  20. 2013-02-28
    status Pending 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  21. 2013-02-25
    listed $267,500 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  22. 2013-02-21
    soldstatus $269,500 Closed 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  23. 2013-01-10
    status Pending 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  24. 2013-01-04
    listed $267,500 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Move In Ready HOME!!**Fresh, Clean & Designer Perfect**All New Neutral Paint Throughout**Tile Floors**New Carpet**GRANITE Counter Tops Throughout Entire Home**Upgraded Ceiling Fans**Upgraded Light Fixtures** New Brushed Nickel Door hardware**2 FULL Baths Upstairs**Private 1/2 Bath Downstairs**Over Sized Master w/Spacious Walk-in Closet**Bright & Large Loft **Large Garage**Private Backyard Adjoining Lush Natural Wash**No Maintenance Landscaping**Owner Agent

  25. 2002-12-13
    soldstatus $196,500
  26. 2002-12-12
    soldstatus $196,500
  27. 2002-11-13
    historical
  28. 2002-09-01
    listed $196,500
  29. 2002-08-30
    historical
  30. 2002-08-30
    historical
  31. 2002-07-10
    listed $195,500
  32. 2002-07-04
    listed $195,500
  33. 2002-07-04
    historical
  34. 2002-05-05
    listed $209,900
  35. 2002-01-22
    historical
  36. 2001-11-06
    listed $215,000
  37. 2001-11-02
    historical
  38. 2001-09-22
    listed $196,000
  39. 2001-09-11
    historical
  40. 2001-06-23
    listed $215,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,234 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,191 · $349/mo
Expected delta
+$1,957/yr (+$163/mo · 87.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,270
− Mortgage interest
−$35,570
− Property taxes
−$2,234
− Insurance
−$3,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,702
− Management
−$3,702
− HOA
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$18,473
Taxable loss
−$21,820
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,237
After-tax cash flow
$-4,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
NCES district ID
0405930
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$64,106
Composite
37.89/100
National rank
#4316
State rank
#56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
45,346
Household income
$140,616
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.64%
Current HPI
330.9931
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.3% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $634,997 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $647,999 ARMLS
  • 2013-03-06 Sold (MLS) $269,500 ARMLS
  • 2013-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $269,500 Public Records
  • 2013-02-28 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-02-25 Listed $267,500 ARMLS
  • 2013-02-21 Sold (MLS) $269,500 ARMLS
  • 2013-01-10 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-01-04 Listed $267,500 ARMLS
  • 2002-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $196,500 Public Records
  • 2002-12-12 Sold (MLS) $196,500 ARMLS
  • 2002-11-13 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2002-09-01 Listed $196,500 ARMLS
  • 2002-08-30 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2002-08-30 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2002-07-10 Listed $195,500 ARMLS
  • 2002-07-04 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2002-07-04 Listed $195,500 ARMLS
  • 2002-05-05 Listed $209,900 ARMLS
  • 2002-01-22 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2001-11-06 Listed $215,000 ARMLS
  • 2001-11-02 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2001-09-22 Listed $196,000 ARMLS
  • 2001-09-11 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2001-06-23 Listed $215,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,234 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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