38025 N Lee Ave · Pistakee Highlands, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious 3 bedroom home has been well maintained and ready for you to call home. The property consists of 3 lots with plenty of room to spread out. The contemporary kitchen is complete with SS appliances, solid surface counters, and a casual meal space overlooking the huge deck. There's three nice sized bedrooms that have newer carpet. The walkout lower level has a large family room and recreation room for all the toys. An oversized 2 1/2 car garage with an 8'x16' overhead door is a huge plus. All this is set in a peaceful neighborhood within easy reach of Rt. 12.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1974
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage owned with garage door opener; Asphalt and gravel driveway; Total parking for about 4 vehicles; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Bi-level / entry level: raised ranch
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Deck; Fire pit; Corner lot; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area with breakfast bar; Custom cabinetry; Double oven; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approximately 14 x 11); Bedroom 2 on main level (approximately 12 x 10); Bedroom 3 on main level (approximately 11 x 11)
- Flooring: Laminate (wood laminate in many main and lower-level living areas); Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with soaking tub
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Built-in features; Dining room/kitchen combo; Finished walk-out basement with rec/family area; Window screens; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in walkout basement (approximately 12 x 11) with utility sink
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-472 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (29.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (33.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#603 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Grant Community High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #247 of 693 statewide, top 36%, 1,837 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $187k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.23%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38073 N Nippersink Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,261 (+7%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $167 | 77 |
| 37929 N Dewey St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,103 (-6%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $227 | 73 |
| 37934 N Lake Vista Ter | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,061 (-10%) | 16mo | $217,000 | $205 | 60 |
| 37714 N Nippersink Pl | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-15%) | 3mo | $188,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 37847 N Watts Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+12%) | 9mo | $243,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 704 Livingston St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+4%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $262 | 49 |
| 28271 W Stewart Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 11mo | $405,000 | $338 | 48 |
| 6521 Willow St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-10%) | 12mo | $243,000 | $230 | 45 |
| 506 Sunrise Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+10%) | 11mo | $221,000 | $170 | 42 |
| 5902 Fox Lake Rd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-11%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $239 | 42 |
| 5502 Thelen Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,058 (-10%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $250 | 35 |
| 515 Deerpath Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 14mo | $234,800 | $233 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-75,422
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -28.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-104,261
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60081
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,875 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$368 /mo · $4,421/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $-472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Waverly St Unit 1244943P Spring Grove, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $8,714 | $11.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 87 Maude Ave Unit B Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6 N Pistakee Lake Rd Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22 W Grand Ave Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 28 Glen Ave Fox Lake, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-28$280,000 Active
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $187,000
-
2020-10-30soldstatus $187,000 Closed Sale 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
This spacious 3 bedroom home has been well maintained and ready for you to call home. The property consists of 3 lots with plenty of room to spread out. The contemporary kitchen is complete with SS appliances, solid surface counters, and a casual meal space overlooking the huge deck. There's three nice sized bedrooms that have newer carpet. The walkout lower level has a large family room and recreation room for all the toys. An oversized 2 1/2 car garage with an 8'x16' overhead door is a huge plus. All this is set in a peaceful neighborhood within easy reach of Rt. 12.
-
2020-09-25status Contingent 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
This spacious 3 bedroom home has been well maintained and ready for you to call home. The property consists of 3 lots with plenty of room to spread out. The contemporary kitchen is complete with SS appliances, solid surface counters, and a casual meal space overlooking the huge deck. There's three nice sized bedrooms that have newer carpet. The walkout lower level has a large family room and recreation room for all the toys. An oversized 2 1/2 car garage with an 8'x16' overhead door is a huge plus. All this is set in a peaceful neighborhood within easy reach of Rt. 12.
-
2020-09-10$189,900 New 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
This spacious 3 bedroom home has been well maintained and ready for you to call home. The property consists of 3 lots with plenty of room to spread out. The contemporary kitchen is complete with SS appliances, solid surface counters, and a casual meal space overlooking the huge deck. There's three nice sized bedrooms that have newer carpet. The walkout lower level has a large family room and recreation room for all the toys. An oversized 2 1/2 car garage with an 8'x16' overhead door is a huge plus. All this is set in a peaceful neighborhood within easy reach of Rt. 12.
-
2019-11-22soldstatus $172,000
-
2019-11-07soldstatus $172,000 Closed Sale 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Spread out in this updated home. Lots of space in and out. Inside you will find a remodeled kitchen with solid surface counters and SS appliances. Newer air cond, water heater, and furnace. Newer well. Brand new siding on the over sized 2 1/2 car garage. 3 lots for all the privacy you could ask for. New deck and some new windows. Walkout lower level with a family rm and rec room. Plenty of room to add a 2nd bath. Make this one yours right now!
-
2019-09-20historical Contingent 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Spread out in this updated home. Lots of space in and out. Inside you will find a remodeled kitchen with solid surface counters and SS appliances. Newer air cond, water heater, and furnace. Newer well. Brand new siding on the over sized 2 1/2 car garage. 3 lots for all the privacy you could ask for. New deck and some new windows. Walkout lower level with a family rm and rec room. Plenty of room to add a 2nd bath. Make this one yours right now!
-
2019-09-05$175,000 New 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Spread out in this updated home. Lots of space in and out. Inside you will find a remodeled kitchen with solid surface counters and SS appliances. Newer air cond, water heater, and furnace. Newer well. Brand new siding on the over sized 2 1/2 car garage. 3 lots for all the privacy you could ask for. New deck and some new windows. Walkout lower level with a family rm and rec room. Plenty of room to add a 2nd bath. Make this one yours right now!
-
2012-09-21soldstatus $71,500
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2012-08-09soldstatus $71,500 Closed Sale
-
2012-05-17status Pending
-
2012-04-30$77,500 New
-
2011-09-29historical
-
2011-03-07price Price Change
-
2011-03-01price Price Change
-
2011-01-21price Price Change
-
2010-10-12New
-
2007-11-08soldstatus $141,000
-
2007-10-30soldstatus $141,000
-
2007-10-02historical
-
2007-09-04$149,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,421 · $368/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,389 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- +$967/yr (+$81/mo · 21.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,497
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,421
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,800
- − Management
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$10,754
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,581
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Pistakee Highlands
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #603
- US rank
- #12471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,117
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.40%
- Current HPI
- 239.9614
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+87.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $280,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-30 Sold (MLS) $187,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-10 Listed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-07 Sold (MLS) $172,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-05 Listed $175,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 2012-08-09 Sold (MLS) $71,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-30 Listed $77,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-07 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-21 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-10-12 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-30 Sold (MLS) $141,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-04 Listed $149,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $4,421 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…