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455 Rich St
B- Composite 68.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,999

455 Rich St · Syracuse, NY 13207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1910 8,778 sqft lot $98/sqft · at area comps Est $86k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming bungalow on a neighborhood street near bus lines and just minutes from Onondaga Community College and downtown Syracuse. This well-maintained home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen, and living room. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard and private driveway. Features include wall-to-wall carpet, a closed-in front porch, and classic character throughout. Perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a conveniently located property with solid space and neighborhood appeal

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Near bus lines
  • Fenced-in backyard

Tags

FENCED-IN BACKYARDPRIVATE DRIVEWAYCLOSED-IN FRONT PORCHNEAR BUS LINESMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN SYRACUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
19.95%
Cash-on-cash
48.76%
DSCR
3.17
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,710
List price
$84,999
Delta
-0.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
228 Putnam St 0.68mi 3/1.5 868 (+0%) 14mo $55,000 $63 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$18,782
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$59,066
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13207

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $756/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,272
Max offer price $84,999
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 21d 1 0.38mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 13d 5 0.50mi
122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,050 $1.93 21d 1 0.52mi
508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 735 $1,350 $1.84 13d 13 0.78mi
472 S Salina St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 1022 $2,095 $2.05 14d 3 1.13mi
111 E Onondaga St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1150 $3,000 $2.61 21d 5 1.14mi
2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.18mi
1741 W Onondaga St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 14d 3 1.22mi
120 Walton St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $3,200 $3.88 44d 2 1.29mi
110 Walton St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,200 $2.09 44d 1 1.30mi
110 Walton St Unit 301 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,000 $1.90 21d 1 1.30mi
205 E Jefferson St Unit 2B Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 21d 1 1.30mi
201 E Jefferson St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 662 $1,626 $2.45 14d 9 1.30mi
129 W Fayette St Unit 217 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 14d 1 1.34mi
538 Erie Blvd W Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1110 $2,100 $1.89 21d 1 1.37mi
105 Smith Ln Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 518 $1,450 $2.80 14d 23 1.42mi
60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 970 $1,315 $1.36 44d 1 1.43mi
324 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,975 $1.96 14d 6 1.43mi
101 S Salina St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 651 $2,871 $4.41 14d 14 1.45mi
208 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 962 $1,800 $1.87 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,999 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,999 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,999 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,999 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,999 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,999 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,999 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,999 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,999 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,999 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,999 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,999 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,999 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,999 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-01-15
    listed $84,999 Active 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Charming bungalow on a neighborhood street near bus lines and just minutes from Onondaga Community College and downtown Syracuse. This well-maintained home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen, and living room. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard and private driveway. Features include wall-to-wall carpet, a closed-in front porch, and classic character throughout. Perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a conveniently located property with solid space and neighborhood appeal

  17. 2022-12-07
    soldstatus $69,900
  18. 2022-12-06
    soldstatus $69,900 Closed Sale or Rented 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    Great beginnings. This home is located on a double lot. The burn pit and seating will remain. The large shed holds all the barb-b-que tools and yard equipment you will need. The driveway is double deep so there is plenty of room for vehicles on snowy nights. A large enclosed deck leads to the spacious dining area, and living room. A large kitchen area with lots of cabinetry also has a breakfast bar. Upper-level 3rd bedroom or craft room has its own closet with a doorway to a spacious attic area for storage. Electric fireplace is cosmetic

  19. 2022-08-24
    status Pending Sale 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    Great beginnings. This home is located on a double lot. The burn pit and seating will remain. The large shed holds all the barb-b-que tools and yard equipment you will need. The driveway is double deep so there is plenty of room for vehicles on snowy nights. A large enclosed deck leads to the spacious dining area, and living room. A large kitchen area with lots of cabinetry also has a breakfast bar. Upper-level 3rd bedroom or craft room has its own closet with a doorway to a spacious attic area for storage. Electric fireplace is cosmetic

  20. 2022-08-15
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    Great beginnings. This home is located on a double lot. The burn pit and seating will remain. The large shed holds all the barb-b-que tools and yard equipment you will need. The driveway is double deep so there is plenty of room for vehicles on snowy nights. A large enclosed deck leads to the spacious dining area, and living room. A large kitchen area with lots of cabinetry also has a breakfast bar. Upper-level 3rd bedroom or craft room has its own closet with a doorway to a spacious attic area for storage. Electric fireplace is cosmetic

  21. 2022-08-07
    listed $69,900 Active 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    Great beginnings. This home is located on a double lot. The burn pit and seating will remain. The large shed holds all the barb-b-que tools and yard equipment you will need. The driveway is double deep so there is plenty of room for vehicles on snowy nights. A large enclosed deck leads to the spacious dining area, and living room. A large kitchen area with lots of cabinetry also has a breakfast bar. Upper-level 3rd bedroom or craft room has its own closet with a doorway to a spacious attic area for storage. Electric fireplace is cosmetic

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$756 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$340/yr (+$28/mo · 45.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,956
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$756
− Insurance
−$5,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,836
− Management
−$1,836
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$4,798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
12,383

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.17%
Current HPI
318.9257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $84,999 CNYIS
  • 2022-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $69,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-08-24 Pending CNYIS
  • 2022-08-15 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2022-08-07 Listed $69,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $756 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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