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54 Hill Dr
D Composite 43.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$154,900

54 Hill Dr · Brent, AL 35034
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,772 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1940 0.37 ac lot $87/sqft · 8% above area Est $173k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to 54 Hill Street in the heart of Brent! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home blends timeless character with spacious living. Built in 1940, it offers approximately 2,150 square feet of comfortable living space on a 0.37-acre level lot, giving you plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you’ll find a warm and inviting layout that’s full of potential, with generous bedrooms and a cozy atmosphere throughout. The property also features a storage shed, great for tools, hobbies, or extra storage space. Located just off Main Street, this home offers the convenience of being near local shopping, restaurants, and parks. Whether you’re looking for

Key facts

  • Near local shopping
  • Near restaurants
  • Level lot

Tags

STORAGE SHEDLEVEL LOTNEAR LOCAL SHOPPINGNEAR RESTAURANTSNEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Sewer: Other
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Water heater listed (appliance)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-678/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#496 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Bibb County (rural): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #105 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Brent Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 601 students, 71% FRL); Centreville Middle School (math 4% / reading 24%, grade F, #209 of 257 statewide, top 82%, 425 students, 71% FRL); Bibb County High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 471 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $407 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-664 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $155k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,588 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,423
List price
$154,900
Delta
-10.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-11,308
Equity at exit
$41,688
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,070
Equity at exit
$47,555

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35034

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $355/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$-57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,147
Max offer price $144,918
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $31 -5% $-13 +0% $-57 +5% $-100 +10% $-144
Rent -10% $-142 -5% $-99 +0% $-57 +5% $-14 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $22 -0.5pp $-17 base $-57 +0.5pp $-97 +1.0pp $-137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $154,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    price $154,900 799-char remark
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $154,900 799-char remark
  18. 2026-03-20
    price $165,500 799-char remark
  19. 2026-03-19
    price $165,500 799-char remark
  20. 2026-01-24
    price $189,000 799-char remark
  21. 2026-01-23
    price $189,000 799-char remark
  22. 2025-11-13
    listed $199,900 Active 799-char remark
  23. 2025-11-06
    listed $199,900 Active 799-char remark
  24. 2024-03-15
    listed $219,900 Active
  25. 2023-09-06
    listed $239,000 Active
  26. 2020-06-22
    soldstatus $100,000
  27. 2020-06-16
    soldstatus $100,000
  28. 2020-04-08
    listed $99,900
  29. 2018-08-01
    soldstatus $79,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$355 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$635 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$280/yr (+$23/mo · 78.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,911
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$355
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,033
− Management
−$1,033
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable loss
−$3,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$832
After-tax cash flow
$154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
0100360
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,196
Composite
18.14/100
National rank
#8964
State rank
#105 of 129 in AL

Livability — Brent

Score
52/100
State rank
#496
US rank
#24763

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing C- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brent, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,132

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,965 people
By 2030
21,437 · -2.4%
By 2040
20,248 · -7.8%
By 2050
19,023 · -13.4%
By 2075
16,513 · -24.8%
By 2100
14,871 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (50%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.6pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.43%
Current HPI
139.6548
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+95.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $154,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $154,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $154,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $165,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $165,500 WAMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $189,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $189,000 WAMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $199,900 WAMLS
  • 2024-03-15 Listed $219,900 WAMLS
  • 2023-09-06 Listed $239,000 WAMLS
  • 2020-06-22 Sold (MLS) $100,000 WAMLS
  • 2020-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-08 Listed $99,900 WAMLS
  • 2018-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $355 · +30.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…