20048 St. Rt. 124 · Wellston, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located just outside the city limits of Wellston, OH, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project with potential. Situated on approximately 2 acres, there's plenty of room to enjoy a more private setting while still being conveniently located near town amenities. Whether you're looking for a fixer-upper to renovate, a rental property to add to your portfolio, or a place to make your own, this property offers endless possibilities. Bring your vision and ideas and unlock the potential this property has to offer! Cash Buyers Only.
Key facts
- Near town amenities
- Rental property
- 2 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Asphalt roof; Approximately 2.10 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Laminate flooring; Partial block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($811 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.2% in Wellston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#606 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Wellston City (rural): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #532 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.98%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $12,437
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $37,074
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45692
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $523/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-19$49,000 Active
-
2025-07-03status Pending
-
2025-05-14price $39,900
-
2025-04-10price $53,900
-
2025-03-12price $59,900
-
2025-02-08price $69,900
-
2025-01-24$81,900 Active
-
2025-01-13historical
-
2025-01-10price $81,900
-
2024-11-25price $89,900
-
2024-11-25price $89,900
-
2024-10-18price $97,900
-
2024-10-17price $97,900
-
2024-09-12$103,500 Active
-
2024-09-11$103,500 Active
-
2014-01-24soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $523 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $644 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$523
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$779
- − Management
- −$779
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $3,239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$777
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellston City
- NCES district ID
- 3904502
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,982
- Composite
- 35.2/100
- National rank
- #4991
- State rank
- #532 of 656 in OH
Livability — Wellston
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #606
- US rank
- #10407
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jackson · 32,540 people
- City population
- 7,699
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,699
- Household income
- $52,449
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,794 people
- By 2030
- 29,535 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 26,757 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 23,897 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 17,115 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 10,908 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.7% · R 78.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.9pp toward R · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -58.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+48.9 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.09%
- Current HPI
- 219.2619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-15.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $49,000 SVAR
- 2025-07-03 Pending — SVAR
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $39,900 SVAR
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $53,900 SVAR
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $59,900 SVAR
- 2025-02-08 Price Changed $69,900 SVAR
- 2025-01-24 Listed $81,900 SVAR
- 2025-01-13 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $81,900 CBRMLS
- 2024-11-25 Price Changed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 2024-11-25 Price Changed $89,900 SVAR
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed $97,900 SVAR
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $97,900 CBRMLS
- 2024-09-12 Listed $103,500 SVAR
- 2024-09-11 Listed $103,500 CBRMLS
- 2014-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $523 · -19.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…