4664 Ny-206 · Unadilla, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!
Key facts
- 2 lots
- 2 acres of land
- 1/2 acre of land
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.5% in Unadilla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#950 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.21%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $590,000
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -84.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
7.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $67,953
- Equity at exit
- $66,766
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $173,486
- Equity at exit
- $131,729
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13804
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $94,900 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!
-
2026-03-26price $99,900 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!
-
2026-03-09$114,900 Active 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,240 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,240 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$2,240
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,450
- − Management
- −$1,450
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $4,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,841/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,110
- Composite
- 38.29/100
- National rank
- #4232
- State rank
- #462 of 590 in NY
Livability — Unadilla
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #950
- US rank
- #18482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 266
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.86%
- Current HPI
- 335.3024
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-17.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $94,900 Global MLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $99,900 Global MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $114,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,240 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…