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4664 Ny-206
B+ Composite 78.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

4664 Ny-206 · Unadilla, NY 13804
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1958 2.50 ac lot $65/sqft · 85% below area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!

Key facts

  • 2 lots
  • 2 acres of land
  • 1/2 acre of land

Tags

2 LOTS1/2 ACRE OF LAND2 ACRES OF LANDWINDOWS ARE 2 YEARS OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.5% in Unadilla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#950 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
13.07%
Cash-on-cash
24.21%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$590,000
List price
$89,000
Delta
-84.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

7.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$67,953
Equity at exit
$66,766
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
7.96×
Total profit
$173,486
Equity at exit
$131,729

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13804

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,240/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $94,900 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!

  16. 2026-03-26
    price $99,900 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!

  17. 2026-03-09
    listed $114,900 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Excellent Opportunity to own an Affordable Single Family Home in Sidney Center. 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bathroom. Some updates have been done. Windows are 2 years old. The House comes with 2 Lots. The home sits on a 1/2 Acre of land. The 2nd Lot is 2 Acres of land. Check it out today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,240 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,240 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,125
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,240
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,450
− Management
−$1,450
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$4,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,192
After-tax cash flow
$4,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sidney Central School District
NCES district ID
3626850
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$42,110
Composite
38.29/100
National rank
#4232
State rank
#462 of 590 in NY

Livability — Unadilla

Score
60/100
State rank
#950
US rank
#18482

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
266

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,668 people
By 2030
40,337 · -5.5%
By 2040
35,514 · -16.8%
By 2050
31,265 · -26.7%
By 2075
24,455 · -42.7%
By 2100
19,529 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.86%
Current HPI
335.3024
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $94,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $99,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $114,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,240 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…