8647 Stout St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COZY TENANT OCCUPIED RANCH HOME LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF JOY AND WEST OF EVERGREEN. THIS HOME FEATURES A COVERED FRONT PORCH, ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE, LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY OCCUPIED BY A TENANT WHO PAYS 950 PER MONTH, AND WILL BE STAYING WITH THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Unfinished basement
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.49%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,589
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- 74.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8645 Fielding St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (0%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $56 | 95 |
| 8411 Fielding St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (0%) | 1mo | $47,000 | $68 | 92 |
| 8611 Stout St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (0%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $51 | 88 |
| 8499 Braile St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (+5%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $76 | 76 |
| 9107 Vaughan St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (+6%) | 12mo | $47,000 | $64 | 65 |
| 9101 Heyden St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (+7%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $54 | 63 |
| 8257 Minock St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 737 (+6%) | 8mo | $32,000 | $43 | 62 |
| 8062 Grandville Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (+6%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $82 | 56 |
| 7730 Braile St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+11%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $89 | 50 |
| 9271 Minock St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 736 (+6%) | 12mo | $85,714 | $116 | 48 |
| 8900 Artesian St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (+8%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $47 | 44 |
| 9046 Grandville Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 787 (+14%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $91 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $2,471
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $14,442
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,087 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 1d | 15 | 1.15mi |
| 22330 W Warren Ave Redford Charter Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7466 W Parkway St Redford, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $82,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$82,900 Active 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
COZY TENANT OCCUPIED RANCH HOME LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF JOY AND WEST OF EVERGREEN. THIS HOME FEATURES A COVERED FRONT PORCH, ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE, LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY OCCUPIED BY A TENANT WHO PAYS 950 PER MONTH, AND WILL BE STAYING WITH THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
-
2026-04-17$82,900 Active 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
COZY TENANT OCCUPIED RANCH HOME LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF JOY AND WEST OF EVERGREEN. THIS HOME FEATURES A COVERED FRONT PORCH, ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE, LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY OCCUPIED BY A TENANT WHO PAYS 950 PER MONTH, AND WILL BE STAYING WITH THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
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2019-01-03soldstatus $420,000
-
2013-11-20soldstatus $323,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,082 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$97/yr (+$8/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,082
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $2,409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$578
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-74.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $82,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $82,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $323,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,082 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…