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5203 Addison Rd
C+ Composite 63.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

5203 Addison Rd · Fairmount Heights, MD 20743
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1944 7,095 sqft lot Est $343k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

the property is back on the market.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Large kitchen
  • Full basement

Tags

LARGE KITCHENWELCOMING FRONT PORCHFULL BASEMENTEXPANSIVE BACKYARDPRIVATE DRIVEWAYCONVENIENT OFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Above-grade finished area reported as 840 (assessor); Below-grade unfinished area reported as 700 (assessor); Total below-grade area reported as 700

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles (total 2 garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
  • Construction: Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the lower level (total 2 full bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling; Other hot water
  • Interior features: Full, fully finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.0% in Fairmount Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.54%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$342,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1300 Nye St 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 880 (+5%) 1mo $405,000 $460 83
1403 Farmingdale Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 860 (+2%) 8mo $200,000 $233 77
1315 Chapelwood Ln 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 900 (+7%) 5mo $367,500 $408 74
1113 Booth Ln 0.32mi 3/2.0 816 (-3%) 9mo $360,000 $441 73
1305 Oates St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 860 (+2%) 13mo $382,000 $444 72
5901 L St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-6%) 1mo $210,000 $265 66
5704 L 0.21mi 3/2.0 936 (+11%) 6mo $342,500 $366 66
5505 Jefferson Heights Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 798 (-5%) 3mo $145,000 $182 57
5817 Sheriff Rd 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 864 (+3%) 9mo $420,000 $486 53
1303 Eastern Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 930 (+11%) 13mo $400,000 $430 47
1007 Balsamtree Dr 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 714 (-15%) 5mo $175,000 $245 43
709 62nd Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-11%) 5mo $255,000 $341 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,903
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$57,186
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20743

Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,330 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,290/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,885
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
805 Eastern Ave Fairmount Heights, MD 4.0 2.0 936 $2,400 $2.56 5d 1 0.40mi
945 52nd St NE Washington, DC 2.0–3.0 1.0 612 $2,270 $3.71 24d 4 0.40mi
5338 Jay St NE Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1000 $2,795 $2.79 24d 1 0.41mi
927 52nd St NE Unit 4 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 24d 1 0.41mi
5213 Just St NE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1114 $2,400 $2.15 24d 1 0.42mi
4800 Addison Rd Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 998 $2,737 $2.74 2d 40 0.47mi
716 55th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 20d 1 0.53mi
818 Balsamtree Pl Capitol Heights, MD 4.0 1.5 1102 $2,275 $2.06 5d 1 0.54mi
5811 Field Pl NE Unit 304 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 779 $2,922 $3.75 24d 1 0.57mi
622 Eastern Ave NE #301 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 755 $1,900 $2.52 24d 1 0.58mi
4936 Nash St NE Unit 9 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 800 $2,175 $2.72 7d 1 0.65mi
4925 Just St NE Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 864 $2,299 $2.66 24d 1 0.71mi
5000 Hunt St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 629 $1,325 $2.11 24d 20 0.72mi
4934 Just St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 966 $2,200 $2.28 24d 1 0.76mi
832 49th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,350 $2.14 7d 1 0.83mi
832 49th St NE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,425 $2.20 16d 1 0.83mi
832 49th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,425 $2.20 24d 1 0.83mi
405 Division Ave NE Unit 201 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 656 $1,197 $1.82 17d 1 0.86mi
324 61st St NE Unit 4 Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 850 $2,800 $3.29 24d 1 0.86mi
5225 Dix St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 22d 1 0.86mi
599 50th St NE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,081 $2.69 24d 1 0.88mi
323 62nd St NE Washington, DC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $2,435 $2.68 24d 1 0.90mi
4629 Meade St NE Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 960 $2,300 $2.40 24d 1 0.91mi
907 47th Pl NE Unit 1 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 950 $1,575 $1.66 15d 1 0.93mi
903 Glen Willow Dr Capitol Heights, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0 885 $2,115 $2.39 2d 4 0.95mi
556 49th Pl NE Washington, DC 3.0 3.0 894 $3,475 $3.89 24d 1 0.99mi
4930 Eads Pl NE Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1054 $2,400 $2.28 24d 1 1.01mi
4651 Nannie Helen Burroughs Ave NE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 663 $1,749 $2.64 5d 3 1.01mi
505 69th St Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 18d 1 1.09mi
4336 Polk St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.5 864 $3,400 $3.94 24d 1 1.26mi
4241 Foote St NE Apt 301 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 909 $2,925 $3.22 4d 1 1.37mi
4241 Foote St NE Unit 102 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 811 $2,200 $2.71 4d 1 1.37mi
4255 Eads St NE Unit 3 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 610 $1,750 $2.87 22d 1 1.38mi
22 Chamber Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 942 $3,000 $3.18 43d 1 1.38mi
4932 A St SE #302 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 1007 $2,495 $2.48 4d 1 1.39mi
5124 Astor Pl SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 1.39mi
44 49th St SE Unit A1 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 793 $2,499 $3.15 24d 1 1.41mi
4930 A St SE Unit 203 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 750 $2,815 $3.75 24d 1 1.41mi
4601 Blaine St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 24d 1 1.41mi
4919 A St SE Unit 202 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 625 $1,900 $3.04 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $199,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,290 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,290 · $358/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,960
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,290
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,237
− Management
−$2,237
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$1,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$284
After-tax cash flow
$3,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Fairmount Heights

Score
69/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#8961

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,093
Household income
$76,466
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.97%
Current HPI
335.5152
Rent YoY
▲ 5.90%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-29 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRIS
  • 2018-02-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-02-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2018-01-29 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-01-29 Listed $210,000 MRIS
  • 2013-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2013-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 2013-06-21 Sold (MLS) $65,500 MRIS
  • 2013-06-21 Sold (MLS) $65,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-06-11 Pending MRIS
  • 2013-06-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-06-01 Listed $75,000 MRIS
  • 2013-05-31 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,290 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…