1049 Winston Rd · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Listed 132 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.70%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $32,422
- List price
- $77,000
- Delta
- 137.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1027 Winston Rd | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-4%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $14 | 87 |
| 1103 Calvin Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 0mo | $105,500 | $96 | 86 |
| 3522 Youman St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-4%) | 6mo | $22,142 | $20 | 80 |
| 929 Winston Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 812 Benning Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-4%) | 7mo | $59,000 | $53 | 74 |
| 716 Benning Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 4mo | $53,300 | $50 | 64 |
| 2463 Brownie Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,137 (-1%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $150 | 60 |
| 2451 Brownie Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,167 (+1%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 1274 Providence Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+2%) | 5mo | $172,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 810 Winston Rd | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 5mo | $7,500 | $7 | 58 |
| 270 32nd Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,053 (-8%) | 3mo | $19,900 | $19 | 48 |
| 1401 Clark Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-11%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $107 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $7,704
- Equity at exit
- $11,481
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $29,374
- Equity at exit
- $6,658
Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31903
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$404
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $423/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,250
- Closing costs
- $2,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1048 Brooks Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $925 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1206 Winston Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $750 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3909 Baker Plaza Dr Columbus, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $1,010 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3213 Lee St Unit 3 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3390 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,099 | $1.02 | 14d | 14 | 0.58mi |
| 3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 14d | 8 | 0.70mi |
| 1414 Foye Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1021 | $895 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2823 Lee St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4225 Alpine Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1205 | $767 | $0.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2885 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,075 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1459 Ivan Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $975 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2829 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2630 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $755 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,175 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 909 Farr Rd Columbus, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1200 | $777 | $0.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 243 Oakley Ct Columbus, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $1,149 | $1.14 | 14d | 6 | 1.24mi |
| 48 Douglas St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $980 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2051 Somerset Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 513 Farr Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $968 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4224 Ridgefield Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $77,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $77,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $77,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $77,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $77,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $77,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $77,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $77,000 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.
-
2026-02-07$79,000 Active 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.
-
2018-01-31$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $423 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $708 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 67.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,313
- − Property taxes
- −$423
- − Insurance
- −$385
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$981
- − Management
- −$981
- − Depreciation
- −$2,240
- Taxable income
- $2,938
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$705
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
- Household income
- $32,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1878.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.30%
- Current HPI
- 131.4761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+285.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $77,000 CBOR
- 2026-02-07 Listed $79,000 CBOR
- 2018-01-31 Listed $20,000 CBOR
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $423 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…