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1049 Winston Rd
B- Composite 66.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,000

1049 Winston Rd · Columbus, GA 31903
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,151 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 2005 8,712 sqft lot $67/sqft · 137% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Listed 132 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $77k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.53%
Cash-on-cash
18.70%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$32,422
List price
$77,000
Delta
137.50%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1027 Winston Rd 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-4%) 4mo $15,000 $14 87
1103 Calvin Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 0mo $105,500 $96 86
3522 Youman St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,106 (-4%) 6mo $22,142 $20 80
929 Winston Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-8%) 5mo $105,000 $99 76
812 Benning Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,106 (-4%) 7mo $59,000 $53 74
716 Benning Dr 0.29mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,056 (-8%) 4mo $53,300 $50 64
2463 Brownie Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,137 (-1%) 6mo $170,000 $150 60
2451 Brownie Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,167 (+1%) 6mo $172,000 $147 60
1274 Providence Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,178 (+2%) 5mo $172,000 $146 59
810 Winston Rd 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-12%) 5mo $7,500 $7 58
270 32nd Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,053 (-8%) 3mo $19,900 $19 48
1401 Clark Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-11%) 8mo $110,000 $107 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$7,704
Equity at exit
$11,481
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$29,374
Equity at exit
$6,658

Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31903

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,022 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$404
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $423/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596
Max offer price $77,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,250
Closing costs
$2,310
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1048 Brooks Rd Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 942 $925 $0.98 21d 1 0.12mi
1206 Winston Rd Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 868 $750 $0.86 44d 1 0.15mi
3909 Baker Plaza Dr Columbus, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $1,010 $1.16 14d 1 0.43mi
3213 Lee St Unit 3 Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $925 $0.84 14d 1 0.56mi
3390 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1073 $1,099 $1.02 14d 14 0.58mi
3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1098 $1,099 $1.00 14d 8 0.70mi
1414 Foye Ave Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1021 $895 $0.88 14d 1 0.73mi
2823 Lee St Columbus, GA 4.0 2.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 21d 1 0.83mi
4225 Alpine Dr Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1205 $767 $0.64 14d 1 0.90mi
2885 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,075 $0.83 14d 1 0.95mi
1459 Ivan Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1003 $975 $0.97 44d 1 0.99mi
2829 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1252 $1,100 $0.88 14d 1 1.04mi
2630 Garden Dr Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1008 $755 $0.75 44d 1 1.09mi
2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,175 $0.94 21d 1 1.14mi
909 Farr Rd Columbus, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1200 $777 $0.65 21d 1 1.15mi
243 Oakley Ct Columbus, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1005 $1,149 $1.14 14d 6 1.24mi
48 Douglas St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1038 $980 $0.94 14d 1 1.24mi
2051 Somerset Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,100 $1.01 44d 1 1.29mi
513 Farr Rd Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $968 $0.97 44d 1 1.30mi
4224 Ridgefield Ct Columbus, GA 4.0 2.0 1465 $1,650 $1.13 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,000 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,000 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,000 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,000 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $77,000 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,000 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $77,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,000 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $77,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $77,000 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,000 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $77,000 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-03-25
    price $77,000 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.

  18. 2026-02-07
    listed $79,000 Active 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch-style home offering 1,151 sq ft of single-level living in the established Benning Park area. This functional floor plan features spacious bedrooms, a convenient half bath, and an easy-flow layout ideal for long-term rental or value-add potential. Ranch homes remain in high demand for their accessibility and low maintenance appeal. Located minutes from Ft Benning, and public transportation. A great opportunity for investors seeking a property with strong rental upside or future appreciation.

  19. 2018-01-31
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$423 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$708 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$286/yr (+$24/mo · 67.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,261
− Mortgage interest
−$4,313
− Property taxes
−$423
− Insurance
−$385
− Repairs & maintenance
−$981
− Management
−$981
− Depreciation
−$2,240
Taxable income
$2,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$705
After-tax cash flow
$3,327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
20,644
Household income
$32,401
Rent vs Own
71.9% rent · 28.1% own
Severe rent burden
1878.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.30%
Current HPI
131.4761
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $77,000 CBOR
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $79,000 CBOR
  • 2018-01-31 Listed $20,000 CBOR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $423 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…